National Fertilizers (NSE:NFL) Risk Assessment

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

NSE:NFL National Fertilizers Ltd NSE:NFL
72 GF Score
Price ₹70.15
GF Value ₹305.46
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is National Fertilizers Risk Assessment?

Risk Assessment represents the investment risk of a stock derived from our exclusive method. It suggests how risky the investment opportunity is based on the valuation and the fundamental performance of the stock. It is derived from following key aspects:

1. GuruFocus internally developed valuations of the stock, such as GF valuation.
2. Quality Rank, a business quality indicator developed by GuruFocus.
3. Fundamental performance: Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score, Beneish M-Score, etc.
4. Growth opportunities: 5-year revenue growth rate, 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate, etc.

Value investors are always willing to find undervalued stocks. However, not all the undervalued stocks are good deals, we should also be careful of how risky the investment opportunity is. We believe that if the company's financial strength and profitability are strong, and the stock price is within a reasonable range of the GF valuation, or stock has a high return with its price being undervalued, then it might be a good investment opportunity with low risk.

Based on those aspects listed above, GuruFocus believes the risk assessment of National Fertilizers is: High Risk: Sensitive to economic or industry trends.

National Fertilizers  (NSE:NFL) Risk Assessment Explanation

Based on the four aspects listed above, GuruFocus provides the following 7 evaluations:

All-in-One Screener Examples (1)
Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding
Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock
High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff
High Risk: Good fundamentals, beware of shrinking business
High Risk: Sensitive to economic or industry trends
High Risk: High uncertainty
No Data: Cannot be evaluated

(1) These are some simple examples. You can access our Risk Assessment filter under All-in-One Screener’s Fundamental tab and set your own criteria.

National Fertilizers Risk Assessment Related Terms

NSE:NFL vs CTVA, CF, MOS: Risk Assessment Comparison

For the Agricultural Inputs subindustry, National Fertilizers's Risk Assessment, along with its competitors' market caps and Risk Assessment data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

National Fertilizers Risk Assessment vs Agriculture Industry

For the Agriculture industry and Basic Materials sector, National Fertilizers's Risk Assessment distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where National Fertilizers's Risk Assessment falls into.


NSE:NFL
72GF Score
National Fertilizers Ltd NSE:NFL
Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Is National Fertilizers (NSE:NFL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, National Fertilizers stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of ₹70.15 is trading 77% below its estimated GF Value™ of ₹305.46. GuruFocus considers National Fertilizers to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for NSE:NFL:

  • Risk Assessment:
  • GF Value™: ₹305.46 vs. price of ₹70.15 (77% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 72/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the NSE:NFL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

National Fertilizers Business Description

Other Exchanges 523630:India
Address A-11, Sector-24, Gautam Budh Nagar, Noida, UP, IND, 201301
National Fertilizers Ltd is engaged in the business of manufacturing agro chemicals. Its product portfolio includes Neem Coated Urea, four strains of Bio-Fertilizers (solid & liquid), Bentonite Sulphur, and other allied Industrial products like Ammonia, Nitric Acid, Ammonium Nitrate, Sodium Nitrite and Sodium Nitrate. The brand name of the company is known in the market as KISAN. The company also provides agriculture extension services to educate farmers on fertilizers and the know-how on scientific methods of cultivation. Its operating segments include Manufactured Fertilizers which derive key revenue, Manufactured Chemicals, Traded Imported Fertilizers, and Others. Geographically, the company caters only to the Indian market.
72GF Score

Get the complete analysis for NSE:NFL

Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

₹70.15
Price
₹305.46
GF Value