RIVN (Rivian Automotive) Risk Assessment

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

RIVN Rivian Automotive Inc RIVN
51 GF Score
Price $17.76
GF Value $15.05
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 3 Warning Signs
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What is Rivian Automotive Risk Assessment?

Risk Assessment represents the investment risk of a stock derived from our exclusive method. It suggests how risky the investment opportunity is based on the valuation and the fundamental performance of the stock. It is derived from following key aspects:

1. GuruFocus internally developed valuations of the stock, such as GF valuation.
2. Quality Rank, a business quality indicator developed by GuruFocus.
3. Fundamental performance: Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score, Beneish M-Score, etc.
4. Growth opportunities: 5-year revenue growth rate, 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate, etc.

Value investors are always willing to find undervalued stocks. However, not all the undervalued stocks are good deals, we should also be careful of how risky the investment opportunity is. We believe that if the company's financial strength and profitability are strong, and the stock price is within a reasonable range of the GF valuation, or stock has a high return with its price being undervalued, then it might be a good investment opportunity with low risk.

Based on those aspects listed above, GuruFocus believes the risk assessment of Rivian Automotive is: No Data: Cannot be evaluated.

Rivian Automotive  (NAS:RIVN) Risk Assessment Explanation

Based on the four aspects listed above, GuruFocus provides the following 7 evaluations:

All-in-One Screener Examples (1)
Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding
Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock
High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff
High Risk: Good fundamentals, beware of shrinking business
High Risk: Sensitive to economic or industry trends
High Risk: High uncertainty
No Data: Cannot be evaluated

(1) These are some simple examples. You can access our Risk Assessment filter under All-in-One Screener’s Fundamental tab and set your own criteria.

Rivian Automotive Risk Assessment Related Terms

RIVN vs NIO, LI, XPEV: Risk Assessment Comparison

For the Auto Manufacturers subindustry, Rivian Automotive's Risk Assessment, along with its competitors' market caps and Risk Assessment data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Rivian Automotive Risk Assessment vs Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Rivian Automotive's Risk Assessment distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Rivian Automotive's Risk Assessment falls into.


RIVN
51GF Score
Rivian Automotive Inc RIVN
Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Is Rivian Automotive (RIVN) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Rivian Automotive stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $17.76 is trading 18% above its estimated GF Value™ of $15.05. GuruFocus considers Rivian Automotive to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for RIVN:

  • Risk Assessment:
  • GF Value™: $15.05 vs. price of $17.76 (18% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 51/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the RIVN stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Rivian Automotive Business Description

Address 14600 Myford Road, Irvine, CA, USA, 92606
Rivian is a battery electric vehicle automaker that sells its vehicles in the US and Canada. The company also develops electronic control units and related software for autos in a joint venture with Volkswagen. Rivian has multiple vehicles in its fleet, which include a luxury truck and full-size SUV and a delivery van. The company plans to begin selling a midsize SUV in 2026. Total deliveries were over 42,000 in 2025. Rivian is also developing autonomous driving software to be used in its vehicles and for robotaxis on the Uber ride-hailing network.
51GF Score

Get the complete analysis for RIVN

Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$17.76
Price
$15.05
GF Value