SEED (Origin Agritech) Risk Assessment

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

SEED Origin Agritech Ltd SEED
32 GF Score
Price $1.01
GF Value $0.94
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 7 Warning Signs
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What is Origin Agritech Risk Assessment?

Risk Assessment represents the investment risk of a stock derived from our exclusive method. It suggests how risky the investment opportunity is based on the valuation and the fundamental performance of the stock. It is derived from following key aspects:

1. GuruFocus internally developed valuations of the stock, such as GF valuation.
2. Quality Rank, a business quality indicator developed by GuruFocus.
3. Fundamental performance: Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score, Beneish M-Score, etc.
4. Growth opportunities: 5-year revenue growth rate, 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate, etc.

Value investors are always willing to find undervalued stocks. However, not all the undervalued stocks are good deals, we should also be careful of how risky the investment opportunity is. We believe that if the company's financial strength and profitability are strong, and the stock price is within a reasonable range of the GF valuation, or stock has a high return with its price being undervalued, then it might be a good investment opportunity with low risk.

Based on those aspects listed above, GuruFocus believes the risk assessment of Origin Agritech is: High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff.

Origin Agritech  (NAS:SEED) Risk Assessment Explanation

Based on the four aspects listed above, GuruFocus provides the following 7 evaluations:

All-in-One Screener Examples (1)
Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding
Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock
High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff
High Risk: Good fundamentals, beware of shrinking business
High Risk: Sensitive to economic or industry trends
High Risk: High uncertainty
No Data: Cannot be evaluated

(1) These are some simple examples. You can access our Risk Assessment filter under All-in-One Screener’s Fundamental tab and set your own criteria.

Origin Agritech Risk Assessment Related Terms

SEED vs SGTM, PUBC, GNVR: Risk Assessment Comparison

For the Agricultural Inputs subindustry, Origin Agritech's Risk Assessment, along with its competitors' market caps and Risk Assessment data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Origin Agritech Risk Assessment vs Agriculture Industry

For the Agriculture industry and Basic Materials sector, Origin Agritech's Risk Assessment distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Origin Agritech's Risk Assessment falls into.


SEED
32GF Score
Origin Agritech Ltd SEED
Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Is Origin Agritech (SEED) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Origin Agritech stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $1.01 is trading 7.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of $0.94. GuruFocus considers Origin Agritech to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for SEED:

  • Risk Assessment:
  • GF Value™: $0.94 vs. price of $1.01 (7.4% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 32/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the SEED stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Origin Agritech Business Description

Other Exchanges 39O1:Germany
Address Xushuang Road, Tongzhou District, Songzhuang Town, Beijing, CHN, 101119
Origin Agritech Ltd is a Chinese agricultural technology company operating in the PRC including seed research and development activities featured in crop seed breeding and genetic improvement. The company's phytase corn was the first transgenic corn to receive the Bio-Safety Certificate from China's Ministry of Agriculture. Origin has established a robust biotechnology seed pipeline including products with glyphosate tolerance and pest resistance (Bt) traits.
32GF Score

Get the complete analysis for SEED

Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$1.01
Price
$0.94
GF Value