ULCC (Frontier Group Holdings) Risk Assessment

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

ULCC Frontier Group Holdings Inc ULCC
76 GF Score
Price $6.23
GF Value $5.66
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 7 Warning Signs
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What is Frontier Group Holdings Risk Assessment?

Risk Assessment represents the investment risk of a stock derived from our exclusive method. It suggests how risky the investment opportunity is based on the valuation and the fundamental performance of the stock. It is derived from following key aspects:

1. GuruFocus internally developed valuations of the stock, such as GF valuation.
2. Quality Rank, a business quality indicator developed by GuruFocus.
3. Fundamental performance: Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score, Beneish M-Score, etc.
4. Growth opportunities: 5-year revenue growth rate, 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate, etc.

Value investors are always willing to find undervalued stocks. However, not all the undervalued stocks are good deals, we should also be careful of how risky the investment opportunity is. We believe that if the company's financial strength and profitability are strong, and the stock price is within a reasonable range of the GF valuation, or stock has a high return with its price being undervalued, then it might be a good investment opportunity with low risk.

Based on those aspects listed above, GuruFocus believes the risk assessment of Frontier Group Holdings is: High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff.

Frontier Group Holdings  (NAS:ULCC) Risk Assessment Explanation

Based on the four aspects listed above, GuruFocus provides the following 7 evaluations:

All-in-One Screener Examples (1)
Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding
Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock
High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff
High Risk: Good fundamentals, beware of shrinking business
High Risk: Sensitive to economic or industry trends
High Risk: High uncertainty
No Data: Cannot be evaluated

(1) These are some simple examples. You can access our Risk Assessment filter under All-in-One Screener’s Fundamental tab and set your own criteria.

Frontier Group Holdings Risk Assessment Related Terms

ULCC vs JBLU, RJET, ALGT: Risk Assessment Comparison

For the Airlines subindustry, Frontier Group Holdings's Risk Assessment, along with its competitors' market caps and Risk Assessment data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Frontier Group Holdings Risk Assessment vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Frontier Group Holdings's Risk Assessment distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Frontier Group Holdings's Risk Assessment falls into.


ULCC
76GF Score
Frontier Group Holdings Inc ULCC
Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Is Frontier Group Holdings (ULCC) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Frontier Group Holdings stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $6.23 is trading 10.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of $5.66. GuruFocus considers Frontier Group Holdings to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for ULCC:

  • Risk Assessment:
  • GF Value™: $5.66 vs. price of $6.23 (10.1% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 76/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the ULCC stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Frontier Group Holdings Business Description

Other Exchanges 0VN:Germany
Address 4545 Airport Way, Denver, CO, USA, 80239
Frontier Group Holdings Inc is an ultra-low-cost carrier whose business is focused on Low Fares Done Right. The company owns a fleet of 120 Airbus single-aisle aircraft, consisting of 13 A320ceos, 82 A320neos, 21 A321ceos, and 4 A321neos. The use of these aircraft, their seating configuration, weight-saving tactics, and baggage process have all contributed to the ability to continue to be the fuel-efficient of all the U.S. The Company is managed as a single business unit that provides air transportation for passengers. The majority of revenue is from Domestic flight follow by International.
76GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ULCC

Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$6.23
Price
$5.66
GF Value