Carrier Global (XSWX:CARR) Risk Assessment

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

XSWX:CARR Carrier Global Corp XSWX:CARR
81 GF Score
Price CHF55.77
GF Value CHF55.10
! 10 Warning Signs
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What is Carrier Global Risk Assessment?

Risk Assessment represents the investment risk of a stock derived from our exclusive method. It suggests how risky the investment opportunity is based on the valuation and the fundamental performance of the stock. It is derived from following key aspects:

1. GuruFocus internally developed valuations of the stock, such as GF valuation.
2. Quality Rank, a business quality indicator developed by GuruFocus.
3. Fundamental performance: Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score, Beneish M-Score, etc.
4. Growth opportunities: 5-year revenue growth rate, 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate, etc.

Value investors are always willing to find undervalued stocks. However, not all the undervalued stocks are good deals, we should also be careful of how risky the investment opportunity is. We believe that if the company's financial strength and profitability are strong, and the stock price is within a reasonable range of the GF valuation, or stock has a high return with its price being undervalued, then it might be a good investment opportunity with low risk.

Based on those aspects listed above, GuruFocus believes the risk assessment of Carrier Global is: No Data: Cannot be evaluated.

Carrier Global  (XSWX:CARR) Risk Assessment Explanation

Based on the four aspects listed above, GuruFocus provides the following 7 evaluations:

All-in-One Screener Examples (1)
Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding
Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock
High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff
High Risk: Good fundamentals, beware of shrinking business
High Risk: Sensitive to economic or industry trends
High Risk: High uncertainty
No Data: Cannot be evaluated

(1) These are some simple examples. You can access our Risk Assessment filter under All-in-One Screener’s Fundamental tab and set your own criteria.

Carrier Global Risk Assessment Related Terms

XSWX:CARR vs JCI, LII, MAIR: Risk Assessment Comparison

For the Building Products & Equipment subindustry, Carrier Global's Risk Assessment, along with its competitors' market caps and Risk Assessment data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Carrier Global Risk Assessment vs Construction Industry

For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, Carrier Global's Risk Assessment distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Carrier Global's Risk Assessment falls into.


XSWX:CARR
81GF Score
Carrier Global Corp XSWX:CARR
Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Is Carrier Global (XSWX:CARR) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Carrier Global stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of CHF55.77 is trading 1.2% above its estimated GF Value™ of CHF55.10.

Key valuation signals for XSWX:CARR:

  • Risk Assessment:
  • GF Value™: CHF55.10 vs. price of CHF55.77 (1.2% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 81/100 with 10 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the XSWX:CARR stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Carrier Global Business Description

Address 13995 Pasteur Boulevard, Palm Beach Gardens, FL, USA, 33418
Carrier Global, spun out of United Technologies in 2020, manufactures and services commercial and residential HVAC systems and transportation refrigeration solutions under its flagship Carrier brand, as well as Bryant, Payne, Heil, and others across various price points. In 2024, Carrier acquired Viessmann Climate Solutions to expand its footprint in Europe with heat pumps, boilers, and solar PV equipment. Proceeds from the sale of Carrier's fire and security (Honeywell) and commercial refrigeration (Haier) businesses reduced debt and focused the company on global HVAC and refrigeration solutions. Carrier generates 75% of sales from equipment and 25% from parts and services. The company derives 50% of revenue from the US, 30% from Europe, and 20% from the Asia-Pacific region.
81GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XSWX:CARR

Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

CHF55.77
Price
CHF55.10
GF Value