Ashdod Refinery (XTAE:ARF) Risk Assessment

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

XTAE:ARF Ashdod Refinery Ltd XTAE:ARF
66 GF Score
Price ₪143.90
GF Value ₪66.62
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
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What is Ashdod Refinery Risk Assessment?

Risk Assessment represents the investment risk of a stock derived from our exclusive method. It suggests how risky the investment opportunity is based on the valuation and the fundamental performance of the stock. It is derived from following key aspects:

1. GuruFocus internally developed valuations of the stock, such as GF valuation.
2. Quality Rank, a business quality indicator developed by GuruFocus.
3. Fundamental performance: Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score, Beneish M-Score, etc.
4. Growth opportunities: 5-year revenue growth rate, 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate, etc.

Value investors are always willing to find undervalued stocks. However, not all the undervalued stocks are good deals, we should also be careful of how risky the investment opportunity is. We believe that if the company's financial strength and profitability are strong, and the stock price is within a reasonable range of the GF valuation, or stock has a high return with its price being undervalued, then it might be a good investment opportunity with low risk.

Based on those aspects listed above, GuruFocus believes the risk assessment of Ashdod Refinery is: High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff.


Ashdod Refinery  (XTAE:ARF) Risk Assessment Explanation

Based on the four aspects listed above, GuruFocus provides the following 7 evaluations:

All-in-One Screener Examples (1)
Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding
Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock
High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff
High Risk: Good fundamentals, beware of shrinking business
High Risk: Sensitive to economic or industry trends
High Risk: High uncertainty
No Data: Cannot be evaluated

(1) These are some simple examples. You can access our Risk Assessment filter under All-in-One Screener’s Fundamental tab and set your own criteria.


Ashdod Refinery Risk Assessment Related Terms


XTAE:ARF vs MPC, VLO, PSX: Risk Assessment Comparison

For the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing subindustry, Ashdod Refinery's Risk Assessment, along with its competitors' market caps and Risk Assessment data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ashdod Refinery Risk Assessment vs Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Ashdod Refinery's Risk Assessment distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ashdod Refinery's Risk Assessment falls into.


XTAE:ARF
66GF Score
Ashdod Refinery Ltd XTAE:ARF
Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Is Ashdod Refinery (XTAE:ARF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Ashdod Refinery stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of ₪143.90 is trading 116% above its estimated GF Value™ of ₪66.62. GuruFocus considers Ashdod Refinery to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for XTAE:ARF:

  • Risk Assessment:
  • GF Value™: ₪66.62 vs. price of ₪143.90 (116% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 66/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the XTAE:ARF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Ashdod Refinery Business Description

Industry EnergyOil & Gas
Address Hanet 1, Ashdod, ISR, 7752169
Ashdod Refinery Ltd is a company involved in imports and refining of crude oil and intermediates for petroleum distillates intended for marketing in the local market and for export purposes.
66GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XTAE:ARF

Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

₪143.90
Price
₪66.62
GF Value