Walmart (WMT) Risk Assessment


WMT Walmart Inc WMT
86 GF Score
Price $113.90
GF Value $94.29
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 2 Warning Signs
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What is Walmart Risk Assessment?

Risk Assessment represents the investment risk of a stock derived from our exclusive method. It suggests how risky the investment opportunity is based on the valuation and the fundamental performance of the stock. It is derived from following key aspects:

1. GuruFocus internally developed valuations of the stock, such as GF valuation.
2. Quality Rank, a business quality indicator developed by GuruFocus.
3. Fundamental performance: Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score, Beneish M-Score, etc.
4. Growth opportunities: 5-year revenue growth rate, 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate, etc.

Value investors are always willing to find undervalued stocks. However, not all the undervalued stocks are good deals, we should also be careful of how risky the investment opportunity is. We believe that if the company's financial strength and profitability are strong, and the stock price is within a reasonable range of the GF valuation, or stock has a high return with its price being undervalued, then it might be a good investment opportunity with low risk.

Based on those aspects listed above, GuruFocus believes the risk assessment of Walmart is: Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding.

Walmart  (NAS:WMT) Risk Assessment Explanation

Based on the four aspects listed above, GuruFocus provides the following 7 evaluations:

All-in-One Screener Examples (1)
Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding
Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock
High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff
High Risk: Good fundamentals, beware of shrinking business
High Risk: Sensitive to economic or industry trends
High Risk: High uncertainty
No Data: Cannot be evaluated

(1) These are some simple examples. You can access our Risk Assessment filter under All-in-One Screener’s Fundamental tab and set your own criteria.

Walmart Risk Assessment Related Terms

WMT vs COST, TGT, DG: Risk Assessment Comparison

For the Discount Stores subindustry, Walmart's Risk Assessment, along with its competitors' market caps and Risk Assessment data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Walmart Risk Assessment vs Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Walmart's Risk Assessment distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Walmart's Risk Assessment falls into.


WMT
86GF Score
Walmart Inc WMT
Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Is Walmart (WMT) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Walmart stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $113.90 is trading 20.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of $94.29. GuruFocus considers Walmart to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for WMT:

  • Risk Assessment:
  • GF Value™: $94.29 vs. price of $113.90 (20.8% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 86/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the WMT stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Walmart Business Description

Address 1 Customer Drive, Bentonville, AR, USA, 72716
Since its founding in 1962, Walmart has become the world's largest retailer, operating over 10,700 stores globally (including 4,600 namesake locations on its home turf and another 600 Sam's Club outlets) and growing its e-commerce presence, attracting 270 million customers weekly. In aggregate, the firm posted more than $713 billion in fiscal 2026 sales. Its core operations span three reporting segments: Walmart US (68% of fiscal 2026 sales), Walmart International (19%), and Sam's Club (13%).Within the US, nearly 60% of its $486 billion in fiscal 2026 revenue came from its grocery offerings, with another quarter from general merchandise. Internationally, Walmart's operations are concentrated in Mexico, though it also has budding exposure to India.
86GF Score

Get the complete analysis for WMT

Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$113.90
Price
$94.29
GF Value