Alcoa (MIL:1AA) ROC %: 11.24% (As of Mar. 2026)


MIL:1AA Alcoa Corp MIL:1AA
41 GF Score
Price €47.96
GF Value €26.19
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 7 Warning Signs
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What is Alcoa ROC %?

Alcoa MIL:1AA 41 ROC % is 11.24% as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates MIL:1AA with a GF Score™ of 41/100 and a GF Value™ of €26.19 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review.

ROC % measures how well a company generates cash flow relative to the capital it has invested in its business. It is also called ROIC %. Alcoa's annualized return on capital (ROC %) for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was 11.24%.

As of today (2026-06-25), Alcoa's WACC % is 10.16%. Alcoa's ROC % is 3.95% (calculated using TTM income statement data). Alcoa earns returns that do not match up to its cost of capital. It will destroy value as it grows.


Alcoa  (MIL:1AA) ROC % Explanation

ROC % measures how well a company generates cash flow relative to the capital it has invested in its business. It is also called ROIC %. The reason book values of debt and equity are used is because the book values are the capital the company received when issuing the debt or receiving the equity investments.

There are four key components to this definition. The first is the use of operating income or EBIT rather than net income in the numerator. The second is the tax adjustment to this operating income or EBIT, computed as a hypothetical tax based on an effective or marginal tax rate. The third is the use of book values for invested capital, rather than market values. The final is the timing difference; the capital invested is from the end of the prior year whereas the operating income or EBIT is the current year's number.

Why is ROC % important?

Because it costs money to raise capital. A firm that generates higher returns on investment than it costs the company to raise the capital needed for that investment is earning excess returns. A firm that expects to continue generating positive excess returns on new investments in the future will see its value increase as growth increases, whereas a firm that earns returns that do not match up to its cost of capital will destroy value as it grows.

As of today, Alcoa's WACC % is 10.16%. Alcoa's ROC % is 3.95% (calculated using TTM income statement data). Alcoa earns returns that do not match up to its cost of capital. It will destroy value as it grows.


Be Aware

Like ROE % and ROA %, ROC % is calculated with only 12 months of data. Fluctuations in the company's earnings or business cycles can affect the ratio drastically. It is important to look at the ratio from a long term perspective.


Alcoa ROC % Related Terms


Alcoa ROC % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Alcoa's ROC % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Alcoa ROC % Chart

Alcoa Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
ROC %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 8.77 0.66 -1.96 0.63 6.16

Alcoa Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
ROC % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 19.95 3.72 1.68 -3.61 11.24
MIL:1AA
41GF Score
Alcoa Corp MIL:1AA
ROC % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Alcoa ROC % Calculation

Alcoa's annualized Return on Capital (ROC %) for the fiscal year that ended in Dec. 2025 is calculated as:

ROC % (A: Dec. 2025 )
=NOPAT/Average Invested Capital
=Operating Income * ( 1 - Tax Rate % )/( (Invested Capital (A: Dec. 2024 ) + Invested Capital (A: Dec. 2025 ))/ count )
=647.332 * ( 1 - 0% )/( (10523.145 + 10504.2)/ 2 )
=647.332/10513.6725
=6.16 %

where

Invested Capital(A: Dec. 2024 )
=Total Assets - Accounts Payable & Accrued Expense - Excess Cash
=Total Assets - Accounts Payable & Accrued Expense - ( Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities - max(0, Total Current Liabilities - Total Current Assets+Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities))
=13431.12 - 1821.185 - ( 1086.79 - max(0, 3242.225 - 4692.87+1086.79))
=10523.145

Invested Capital(A: Dec. 2025 )
=Total Assets - Accounts Payable & Accrued Expense - Excess Cash
=Total Assets - Accounts Payable & Accrued Expense - ( Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities - max(0, Total Current Liabilities - Total Current Assets+Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities))
=13774.166 - 1906.128 - ( 1363.838 - max(0, 3246.054 - 4670.526+1363.838))
=10504.2

Alcoa's annualized Return on Capital (ROC %) for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 is calculated as:

ROC % (Q: Mar. 2026 )
=NOPAT/Average Invested Capital
=Operating Income * ( 1 - Tax Rate % )/( (Invested Capital (Q: Dec. 2025 ) + Invested Capital (Q: Mar. 2026 ))/ count )
=1473.96 * ( 1 - 16.43% )/( (10504.2 + 11423.19)/ 2 )
=1231.788372/10963.695
=11.24 %

where

Invested Capital(Q: Dec. 2025 )
=Total Assets - Accounts Payable & Accrued Expense - Excess Cash
=Total Assets - Accounts Payable & Accrued Expense - ( Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities - max(0, Total Current Liabilities - Total Current Assets+Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities))
=13774.166 - 1906.128 - ( 1363.838 - max(0, 3246.054 - 4670.526+1363.838))
=10504.2

Invested Capital(Q: Mar. 2026 )
=Total Assets - Accounts Payable & Accrued Expense - Excess Cash
=Total Assets - Accounts Payable & Accrued Expense - ( Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities - max(0, Total Current Liabilities - Total Current Assets+Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities))
=14393.6 - 1800.065 - ( 1170.345 - max(0, 3309.49 - 4911.47+1170.345))
=11423.19

Note: The Operating Income data used here is four times the quarterly (Mar. 2026) data. The tax rate is limited to between 0% and 100%.

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about ROC % →
What does a ROC % of 11.24% mean?
Alcoa (MIL:1AA) has a ROC % of 11.24% as of Mar. 2026. Return on capital is the ratio of current-period net income to average two-period capital. View historical data on Alcoa and its competitors.
Is Alcoa's ROC % too high?
Alcoa's current ROC % is 11.24%. Overall, Alcoa has a GF Score™ of 41/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Alcoa's ROC % compare to CENX and CSTM?
Alcoa's ROC % of 11.24% can be compared against companies in the Metals & Mining industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good ROC % for a Metals & Mining company?
A good ROC % depends on the Metals & Mining industry context. However, ROC % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high ROC % mean?
A high ROC % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Return on capital is the ratio of current-period net income to average two-period capital. View historical data on Alcoa and its competitors. Alcoa's current ROC % is 11.24%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Alcoa stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Alcoa (MIL:1AA) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €26.19, compared to a current price of €47.96 — trading 83.1% above its estimated fair value. The current ROC % is 11.24%. Alcoa's overall GF Score™ is 41/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is ROC % calculated?
ROC % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Alcoa (MIL:1AA), the current ROC % is 11.24% as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Alcoa (MIL:1AA) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Alcoa stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €47.96 is trading 83.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of €26.19. GuruFocus considers Alcoa to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for MIL:1AA:

  • ROC %: 11.24%
  • GF Value™: €26.19 vs. price of €47.96 (83.1% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 41/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MIL:1AA stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Alcoa Business Description

Address 201 Isabella Street, Suite 500, Pittsburgh, PA, USA, 15212-5858
Alcoa is a vertically integrated aluminum company whose operations include bauxite mining, alumina refining, and manufacturing primary aluminum. It is one of the world's largest bauxite miners and alumina refiners by production volume, but sits outside the top-10 aluminum producers, a list dominated by Chinese companies. Profits are closely tied to prevailing commodity prices along the aluminum supply chain.Alcoa was the first mass producer of aluminum, launching the world-changing Hall-Heroult smelting process in the 1880s, making aluminum affordable. It listed as a public company in 1925. In 2016, Alcoa spun off its automotive and aerospace metal parts segment to focus on mining, smelting, and refining. It bought the 40% unowned balance of AWAC in mid-2024.
41GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MIL:1AA

ROC % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€47.96
Price
€26.19
GF Value