Norfolk Southern (FRA:NFS) Shiller PE Ratio: 24.82 (As of Aug. 31, 2026) — 11% Above Median

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

FRA:NFS Norfolk Southern Corp FRA:NFS
86 GF Score
Price €298.10
GF Value €228.98
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 8 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Norfolk Southern Shiller PE Ratio?

Norfolk Southern FRA:NFS -1.36% 86 Shiller PE Ratio is 24.82 as of Aug. 31, 2026, which is 11% above its 10-year median of 22.45. GuruFocus rates FRA:NFS with a GF Score™ of 86/100 and a GF Value™ of €228.98 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 599 Transportation companies, Norfolk Southern ranks worse than 69.45% on this metric.

As of today (2026-08-31), Norfolk Southern's current share price is €298.10. Norfolk Southern's E10 for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2026 was €12.01. Norfolk Southern's Shiller PE Ratio for today is 24.82.

The historical rank and industry rank for Norfolk Southern's Shiller PE Ratio or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:NFS' s Shiller PE Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 15.16   Med: 22.45   Max: 32.6
Current: 25.6

During the past years, Norfolk Southern's highest Shiller PE Ratio was 32.60. The lowest was 15.16. And the median was 22.45.

FRA:NFS's Shiller PE Ratio is ranked worse than
69.45% of 599 companies
in the Transportation industry
Industry Median: 18.27 vs FRA:NFS: 25.60

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.

Norfolk Southern's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was €2.830. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our E10, which is €12.01 for the trailing ten years ended in Jun. 2026.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Norfolk Southern  (FRA:NFS) Shiller PE Ratio Explanation

Compared with the regular PE Ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Shiller PE Ratio smoothed out the fluctuations of profit margins during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Shiller PE Ratio should give similar results to regular PE Ratio.

Compared with the PS Ratio, the Shiller PE Ratio makes the comparison between different industries more meaningful.


Be Aware

Shiller PE Ratio assumes that over the long term, businesses and profitability revert to their means. If a company's business model does not work in the future compared with the past, Shiller PE Ratio and PS Ratio will give false valuations.


Norfolk Southern Shiller PE Ratio Related Terms


Norfolk Southern Shiller PE Ratio Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Norfolk Southern's Shiller PE Ratio can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Norfolk Southern Shiller PE Ratio Chart

Norfolk Southern Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Shiller PE Ratio
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 30.53 22.22 20.61 19.38 22.18

Norfolk Southern Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Shiller PE Ratio Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 20.12 23.24 22.18 21.53 23.10

FRA:NFS vs CSX, WAB, TRN: Shiller PE Ratio Comparison

For the Railroads subindustry, Norfolk Southern's Shiller PE Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Shiller PE Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Norfolk Southern Shiller PE Ratio vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Norfolk Southern's Shiller PE Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Norfolk Southern's Shiller PE Ratio falls into.


FRA:NFS
86GF Score
Norfolk Southern Corp FRA:NFS
Shiller PE Ratio is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Norfolk Southern Shiller PE Ratio Calculation

For Shiller PE Ratio, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller PE Ratio is also called PE10.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.

Norfolk Southern's Shiller PE Ratio for today is calculated as

Shiller PE Ratio=Share Price/ E10
=298.10/12.01
=24.82

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Norfolk Southern's E10 for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2026 is calculated as:

For example, Norfolk Southern's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was:

Adj_EPS=Earnings per Share (Diluted)/CPI of Jun. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Jun. 2026)
=2.83/333.9520*333.9520
=2.830

Current CPI (Jun. 2026) = 333.9520.

Norfolk Southern Quarterly Data

Earnings per Share (Diluted) CPI Adj_EPS
201609 1.381 241.428 1.910
201612 1.346 241.432 1.862
201703 1.384 243.801 1.896
201706 1.522 244.955 2.075
201709 1.468 246.819 1.986
201712 11.653 246.524 15.786
201803 1.565 249.554 2.094
201806 2.140 251.989 2.836
201809 2.160 252.439 2.857
201812 2.259 251.233 3.003
201903 2.221 254.202 2.918
201906 2.390 256.143 3.116
201909 2.261 256.759 2.941
201912 2.295 256.974 2.982
202003 1.330 258.115 1.721
202006 1.359 257.797 1.760
202009 1.885 260.280 2.419
202012 2.170 260.474 2.782
202103 2.234 264.877 2.817
202106 2.722 271.696 3.346
202109 2.601 274.310 3.167
202112 2.761 278.802 3.307
202203 2.660 287.504 3.090
202206 3.264 296.311 3.679
202209 4.141 296.808 4.659
202212 3.228 296.797 3.632
202303 1.905 301.836 2.108
202306 1.440 305.109 1.576
202309 1.968 307.789 2.135
202312 2.127 306.746 2.316
202403 0.212 312.332 0.227
202406 3.019 314.175 3.209
202409 4.370 315.301 4.628
202412 3.085 315.605 3.264
202503 3.062 319.799 3.198
202506 2.956 322.561 3.060
202509 2.692 324.800 2.768
202512 2.451 324.054 2.526
202603 2.102 330.213 2.126
202606 2.830 333.952 2.830

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our E10.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Shiller PE Ratio →
What does a Shiller PE Ratio of 24.82 mean?
Norfolk Southern (FRA:NFS) has a Shiller PE Ratio of 24.82 as of Aug. 31, 2026. Shiller price-earnings ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted earnings over a 10-year period. View historical data on Norfolk Southern and its competitors. This is 11% above median its historical median of 22.45. Over the past decade, Norfolk Southern's Shiller PE Ratio has ranged from 15.16 to 32.60. According to the industry distribution chart, Norfolk Southern ranks #416 out of 599 companies in the Transportation industry, placing it in the top 69.4%.
Is Norfolk Southern's Shiller PE Ratio too high?
Norfolk Southern's current Shiller PE Ratio of 24.82 is 11% above median its 10-year median of 22.45. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 15.16 to a high of 32.60. The Transportation industry median Shiller PE Ratio is 18.27. Norfolk Southern's value of 24.82 is 35.9% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Norfolk Southern ranks #416 out of 599 companies in the Transportation industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Norfolk Southern has a GF Score™ of 86/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Norfolk Southern's Shiller PE Ratio compare to CSX and WAB?
According to the Transportation industry distribution chart, Norfolk Southern ranks #416 out of 599 companies for Shiller PE Ratio. This places Norfolk Southern in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Shiller PE Ratio is 18.27. Norfolk Southern's value of 24.82 is 35.9% above this benchmark. Historically, Norfolk Southern's own Shiller PE Ratio has ranged from 15.16 to 32.60 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 22.45 vs. the industry median of 18.27, Norfolk Southern has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Shiller PE Ratio for a Transportation company?
The median Shiller PE Ratio among Transportation companies is 18.27, based on 599 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Shiller PE Ratio significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Shiller PE Ratio should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Norfolk Southern's current Shiller PE Ratio of 24.82 is 35.9% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Shiller PE Ratio mean?
A high Shiller PE Ratio can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Shiller price-earnings ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted earnings over a 10-year period. View historical data on Norfolk Southern and its competitors. For the Transportation industry, the median Shiller PE Ratio is 18.27 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Norfolk Southern's current Shiller PE Ratio is 24.82, which is 11% above median its own 10-year median of 22.45. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Norfolk Southern stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Norfolk Southern (FRA:NFS) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €228.98, compared to a current price of €298.10 — trading 30.2% above its estimated fair value. The current Shiller PE Ratio is 24.82, which is 11% above median its 10-year median of 22.45 and 35.9% above the Transportation industry median of 18.27. Norfolk Southern's overall GF Score™ is 86/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Shiller PE Ratio calculated?
Shiller PE Ratio is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Norfolk Southern (FRA:NFS), the current Shiller PE Ratio is 24.82 as of Aug. 31, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Norfolk Southern (FRA:NFS) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Norfolk Southern stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €298.10 is trading 30.2% above its estimated GF Value™ of €228.98. GuruFocus considers Norfolk Southern to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for FRA:NFS:

  • Shiller PE Ratio: 24.82 (11% above median its 10-year median of 22.45)
  • GF Value™: €228.98 vs. price of €298.10 (30.2% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 86/100 with 8 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 35.9% above the Transportation median (#416 of 599)

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:NFS stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Norfolk Southern Business Description

Address 650 West Peachtree Street NW, Atlanta, GA, USA, 30308-1925
Class I railroad Norfolk Southern operates in the Eastern United States. On more than 20,000 miles of track, the rail hauls shipments of coal, intermodal traffic, and a diverse mix of automotive, agricultural, metal, chemical, and forest products.
86GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:NFS

Shiller PE Ratio is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€298.10
Price
€228.98
GF Value