Volatility is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns for a given security or market index, it shows how the price swings around its mean. The volatility here is measured as the annualized standard deviation between monthly returns from the security over the past year. In most cases, the higher the volatility, the riskier the security.
Northern Star Resources (ASX:NST) Volatility Explanation
Volatility is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns for a given security or market index. It’s often measured as standard deviation or variance of historical returns over a certain period. The volatility here is measured as the annualized standard deviation between monthly returns from the security over the past year.
Volatility reflects the uncertainty or risk of a security’s value. Generally speaking, a higher volatility suggests a higher risk, because it implies a wider fluctuation around average price. This means the price of the security can change dramatically in either direction within a short period. Conversely, a lower volatility means that the security's price is more steady, which suggests a lower risk.
Another measurement of relative volatility is Beta. Beta is a measure of systematic risk of a security or a portfolio in comparison to the market as a whole. Beta is usually compared to 1. A beta of greater than 1 indicates that the security's price will be more volatile than the market.
Northern Star Resources Volatility Related Terms
ASX:NST vs NEM, AU: Volatility Comparison
For the Gold subindustry, Northern Star Resources's Volatility, along with its competitors' market caps and Volatility data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Northern Star Resources Volatility vs Metals & Mining Industry
For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Northern Star Resources's Volatility distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Northern Star Resources's Volatility falls into.
Northern Star Resources (ASX:NST) Volatility Calculation
The annualized volatility is calculated as following:
σA
=
σM
*
√12
=
√ 1/(n-1) ∑(Ri - R')^2
*
√12
Where: σM is the monthly volatility, n is the number of months in the period, Ri is the security's historical monthly returns and R' is the arithmetic mean of monthly returns.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Northern Star Resources (ASX:NST) has a Volatility of 56.59% as of Jun. 26, 2026. Volatility is measured as the annualized standard deviation between monthly returns from the security over the past year. View historical data on Northern Star Resources and its competitors.
Is Northern Star Resources' Volatility too high?
Northern Star Resources' current Volatility is 56.59%. Overall, Northern Star Resources has a GF Score™ of 96/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Northern Star Resources' Volatility compare to NEM and AU?
Northern Star Resources' Volatility of 56.59% can be compared against companies in the Metals & Mining industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Volatility for a Metals & Mining company?
A good Volatility depends on the Metals & Mining industry context. However, Volatility should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Volatility mean?
A high Volatility can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Volatility is measured as the annualized standard deviation between monthly returns from the security over the past year. View historical data on Northern Star Resources and its competitors. Northern Star Resources's current Volatility is 56.59%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Northern Star Resources stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Northern Star Resources (ASX:NST) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is A$20.05, compared to a current price of A$20.59 — trading 2.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Volatility is 56.59%. Northern Star Resources' overall GF Score™ is 96/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Volatility calculated?
Volatility is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Northern Star Resources (ASX:NST), the current Volatility is 56.59% as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Northern Star Resources (ASX:NST) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Northern Star Resources stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of A$20.59 is trading 2.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of A$20.05.
GuruFocus considers Northern Star Resources to be Fairly Valued.
Key valuation signals for ASX:NST:
Volatility: 56.59%
GF Value™: A$20.05 vs. price of A$20.59 (2.7% above fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the ASX:NST stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Northern Star is an Australia-based midtier global gold miner that sold around 1.6 million ounces of gold in fiscal 2025 from its three wholly owned mining operations in Australia and Alaska. Its operations are the result of significant merger and acquisition activity including 14 acquisitions and four asset sales since 2010. It had roughly a decade of reserves at the end of fiscal 2025.
96GF Score
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Volatility is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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