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Volatility is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns for a given security or market index, it shows how the price swings around its mean. The volatility here is measured as the annualized standard deviation between monthly returns from the security over the past year. In most cases, the higher the volatility, the riskier the security.
China XLX Fertiliser (HKSE:01866) Volatility Explanation
Volatility is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns for a given security or market index. It’s often measured as standard deviation or variance of historical returns over a certain period. The volatility here is measured as the annualized standard deviation between monthly returns from the security over the past year.
Volatility reflects the uncertainty or risk of a security’s value. Generally speaking, a higher volatility suggests a higher risk, because it implies a wider fluctuation around average price. This means the price of the security can change dramatically in either direction within a short period. Conversely, a lower volatility means that the security's price is more steady, which suggests a lower risk.
Another measurement of relative volatility is Beta. Beta is a measure of systematic risk of a security or a portfolio in comparison to the market as a whole. Beta is usually compared to 1. A beta of greater than 1 indicates that the security's price will be more volatile than the market.
China XLX Fertiliser Volatility Related Terms
HKSE:01866 vs CTVA, CF, MOS: Volatility Comparison
For the Agricultural Inputs subindustry, China XLX Fertiliser's Volatility, along with its competitors' market caps and Volatility data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
China XLX Fertiliser Volatility vs Agriculture Industry
For the Agriculture industry and Basic Materials sector, China XLX Fertiliser's Volatility distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where China XLX Fertiliser's Volatility falls into.
China XLX Fertiliser (HKSE:01866) Volatility Calculation
The annualized volatility is calculated as following:
σA
=
σM
*
√12
=
√ 1/(n-1) ∑(Ri - R')^2
*
√12
Where: σM is the monthly volatility, n is the number of months in the period, Ri is the security's historical monthly returns and R' is the arithmetic mean of monthly returns.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
China XLX Fertiliser (HKSE:01866) has a Volatility of 37.37% as of Aug. 29, 2026. Volatility is measured as the annualized standard deviation between monthly returns from the security over the past year. View historical data on China XLX Fertiliser and its competitors.
Is China XLX Fertiliser's Volatility too high?
China XLX Fertiliser's current Volatility is 37.37%. Overall, China XLX Fertiliser has a GF Score™ of 78/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does China XLX Fertiliser's Volatility compare to CTVA and CF?
China XLX Fertiliser's Volatility of 37.37% can be compared against companies in the Agriculture industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Volatility for an Agriculture company?
A good Volatility depends on the Agriculture industry context. However, Volatility should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Volatility mean?
A high Volatility can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Volatility is measured as the annualized standard deviation between monthly returns from the security over the past year. View historical data on China XLX Fertiliser and its competitors. China XLX Fertiliser's current Volatility is 37.37%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is China XLX Fertiliser stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, China XLX Fertiliser (HKSE:01866) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is HK$5.14, compared to a current price of HK$10.57 — trading 105.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Volatility is 37.37%. China XLX Fertiliser's overall GF Score™ is 78/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Volatility calculated?
Volatility is calculated from a company's financial statements. For China XLX Fertiliser (HKSE:01866), the current Volatility is 37.37% as of Aug. 29, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is China XLX Fertiliser (HKSE:01866) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, China XLX Fertiliser stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of HK$10.57 is trading 105.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of HK$5.14.
GuruFocus considers China XLX Fertiliser to be Significantly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for HKSE:01866:
Volatility: 37.37%
GF Value™: HK$5.14 vs. price of HK$10.57 (105.6% above fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the HKSE:01866 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
China XLX Fertiliser Ltd is an investment holding company. Along with its subsidiaries, it is engaged in the manufacturing and sale of fertilizers. It operates in the following segments: Manufacturing of Urea, Compound fertilizer, DMF, Methanol, Melamine, Urea Solution for vehicles, Liquid ammonia, Medical Intermediate, Dimethylformamide, Polyoxymethylene, and Others . Its geographical segments are China and Overseas, of which China accounts for the vast majority of its revenue.
78GF Score
Get the complete analysis for HKSE:01866
Volatility is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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