Volatility is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns for a given security or market index, it shows how the price swings around its mean. The volatility here is measured as the annualized standard deviation between monthly returns from the security over the past year. In most cases, the higher the volatility, the riskier the security.
The Swatch Group AG (XSWX:UHRN) Volatility Explanation
Volatility is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns for a given security or market index. It’s often measured as standard deviation or variance of historical returns over a certain period. The volatility here is measured as the annualized standard deviation between monthly returns from the security over the past year.
Volatility reflects the uncertainty or risk of a security’s value. Generally speaking, a higher volatility suggests a higher risk, because it implies a wider fluctuation around average price. This means the price of the security can change dramatically in either direction within a short period. Conversely, a lower volatility means that the security's price is more steady, which suggests a lower risk.
Another measurement of relative volatility is Beta. Beta is a measure of systematic risk of a security or a portfolio in comparison to the market as a whole. Beta is usually compared to 1. A beta of greater than 1 indicates that the security's price will be more volatile than the market.
The Swatch Group AG Volatility Related Terms
XSWX:UHRN vs TPR, SIG: Volatility Comparison
For the Luxury Goods subindustry, The Swatch Group AG's Volatility, along with its competitors' market caps and Volatility data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
The Swatch Group AG Volatility vs Retail - Cyclical Industry
For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, The Swatch Group AG's Volatility distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where The Swatch Group AG's Volatility falls into.
The Swatch Group AG (XSWX:UHRN) Volatility Calculation
The annualized volatility is calculated as following:
σA
=
σM
*
√12
=
√ 1/(n-1) ∑(Ri - R')^2
*
√12
Where: σM is the monthly volatility, n is the number of months in the period, Ri is the security's historical monthly returns and R' is the arithmetic mean of monthly returns.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
The Swatch Group AG (XSWX:UHRN) has a Volatility of 28.39% as of Jun. 26, 2026. Volatility is measured as the annualized standard deviation between monthly returns from the security over the past year. View historical data on The Swatch Group AG and its competitors.
Is The Swatch Group AG's Volatility too high?
The Swatch Group AG's current Volatility is 28.39%. Overall, The Swatch Group AG has a GF Score™ of 73/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does The Swatch Group AG's Volatility compare to TPR and SIG?
The Swatch Group AG's Volatility of 28.39% can be compared against companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Volatility for a Retail - Cyclical company?
A good Volatility depends on the Retail - Cyclical industry context. However, Volatility should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Volatility mean?
A high Volatility can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Volatility is measured as the annualized standard deviation between monthly returns from the security over the past year. View historical data on The Swatch Group AG and its competitors. The Swatch Group AG's current Volatility is 28.39%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is The Swatch Group AG stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, The Swatch Group AG (XSWX:UHRN) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is CHF30.86, compared to a current price of CHF40.55 — trading 31.4% above its estimated fair value. The current Volatility is 28.39%. The Swatch Group AG's overall GF Score™ is 73/100 with 10 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Volatility calculated?
Volatility is calculated from a company's financial statements. For The Swatch Group AG (XSWX:UHRN), the current Volatility is 28.39% as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is The Swatch Group AG (XSWX:UHRN) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, The Swatch Group AG stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of CHF40.55 is trading 31.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of CHF30.86.
GuruFocus considers The Swatch Group AG to be Significantly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for XSWX:UHRN:
Volatility: 28.39%
GF Value™: CHF30.86 vs. price of CHF40.55 (31.4% above fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the XSWX:UHRN stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Swatch Group's biggest brands are Omega (number two or three in its category), Breguet, Tissot (the leader in midrange Swiss watches), and Swatch. The company employs over 32,000 people, half of them in Switzerland. We estimate Omega and Longines to be the group's most profitable brands.
73GF Score
Get the complete analysis for XSWX:UHRN
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