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Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.
Marathon PetroleumFRA:MPN -0.75%62 5-Year Yield-on-Cost % is 2.18 as of Jul. 18, 2026, which is 50% below its 10-year median of 4.32. GuruFocus rates FRA:MPN with a GF Score™ of 62/100 and a GF Value™ of €184.25 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 502 Oil & Gas companies, Marathon Petroleum ranks worse than 76.89% on this metric.
Marathon Petroleum's yield on cost for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was 2.18.
The historical rank and industry rank for Marathon Petroleum's 5-Year Yield-on-Cost % or its related term are showing as below:
FRA:MPN'
s 5-Year Yield-on-Cost % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.13 Med: 4.32 Max: 19.03
Current: 2.18
During the past 13 years, Marathon Petroleum's highest Yield on Cost was 19.03. The lowest was 2.13. And the median was 4.32.
FRA:MPN's 5-Year Yield-on-Cost % is ranked worse than 76.89% of 502
companies
in the Oil & Gas industry
Industry Median: 4.995
vs FRA:MPN: 2.18
Of course the risk here is that the company may not raise its dividends as it did before. The key is to select the companies that can consistently raise its dividends. Usually companies with long history of raising dividends tend to do so.
Marathon Petroleum 5-Year Yield-on-Cost % Related Terms
FRA:MPN vs VLO, PSX, SUN: 5-Year Yield-on-Cost % Comparison
For the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing subindustry, Marathon Petroleum's 5-Year Yield-on-Cost %, along with its competitors' market caps and 5-Year Yield-on-Cost % data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Marathon Petroleum 5-Year Yield-on-Cost % vs Oil & Gas Industry
For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Marathon Petroleum's 5-Year Yield-on-Cost % distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Marathon Petroleum's 5-Year Yield-on-Cost % falls into.
Dividend Yield % and dividend growth of a stock is an important factor for income investors. But if company A raises its dividend constantly faster than company B, company A's future dividend yield might be much higher than Company B's even if their yields are the same now and their stock prices do not change.
Yield on Cost assumes that you buy and the stock today, and hold it for 5 years. If the company raises it dividends at the same rate as it did over the past 5 years, the dividends investors receive annually in 5 years relative to the stock price today.
Marathon Petroleum (FRA:MPN) has a 5-Year Yield-on-Cost % of 2.18 as of Jul. 18, 2026. 5-Year Yield on Cost measures the expected yield based on a company's current yield and 5-year dividend growth. View historical data on Marathon Petroleum and its competitors. This is 50% below median its historical median of 4.32. Over the past decade, Marathon Petroleum's 5-Year Yield-on-Cost % has ranged from 2.13 to 19.03. According to the industry distribution chart, Marathon Petroleum ranks #386 out of 502 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, placing it in the top 76.9%.
Is Marathon Petroleum's 5-Year Yield-on-Cost % too high?
Marathon Petroleum's current 5-Year Yield-on-Cost % of 2.18 is 50% below median its 10-year median of 4.32. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 2.13 to a high of 19.03. The Oil & Gas industry median 5-Year Yield-on-Cost % is 5.00. Marathon Petroleum's value of 2.18 is 56.4% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Marathon Petroleum ranks #386 out of 502 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Marathon Petroleum has a GF Score™ of 62/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Marathon Petroleum's 5-Year Yield-on-Cost % compare to VLO and PSX?
According to the Oil & Gas industry distribution chart, Marathon Petroleum ranks #386 out of 502 companies for 5-Year Yield-on-Cost %. This places Marathon Petroleum in the lower half of its industry. The industry median 5-Year Yield-on-Cost % is 5.00. Marathon Petroleum's value of 2.18 is 56.4% below this benchmark. Historically, Marathon Petroleum's own 5-Year Yield-on-Cost % has ranged from 2.13 to 19.03 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 4.32 vs. the industry median of 5.00, Marathon Petroleum has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good 5-Year Yield-on-Cost % for an Oil & Gas company?
The median 5-Year Yield-on-Cost % among Oil & Gas companies is 5.00, based on 502 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a 5-Year Yield-on-Cost % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, 5-Year Yield-on-Cost % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Marathon Petroleum's current 5-Year Yield-on-Cost % of 2.18 is 56.4% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high 5-Year Yield-on-Cost % mean?
A high 5-Year Yield-on-Cost % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. 5-Year Yield on Cost measures the expected yield based on a company's current yield and 5-year dividend growth. View historical data on Marathon Petroleum and its competitors. For the Oil & Gas industry, the median 5-Year Yield-on-Cost % is 5.00 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Marathon Petroleum's current 5-Year Yield-on-Cost % is 2.18, which is 50% below median its own 10-year median of 4.32. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Marathon Petroleum stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Marathon Petroleum (FRA:MPN) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €184.25, compared to a current price of €266.00 — trading 44.4% above its estimated fair value. The current 5-Year Yield-on-Cost % is 2.18, which is 50% below median its 10-year median of 4.32 and 56.4% below the Oil & Gas industry median of 5.00. Marathon Petroleum's overall GF Score™ is 62/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is 5-Year Yield-on-Cost % calculated?
5-Year Yield-on-Cost % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Marathon Petroleum (FRA:MPN), the current 5-Year Yield-on-Cost % is 2.18 as of Jul. 18, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Marathon Petroleum (FRA:MPN) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Marathon Petroleum stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of €266.00 is trading 44.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of €184.25.
GuruFocus considers Marathon Petroleum to be Significantly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for FRA:MPN:
5-Year Yield-on-Cost %: 2.18 (50% below median its 10-year median of 4.32)
GF Value™: €184.25 vs. price of €266.00 (44.4% above fair value)
Industry Position: 56.4% below the Oil & Gas median (#386 of 502)
No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:MPN stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Marathon Petroleum is a leading integrated downstream and midstream energy company that operates 13 refineries in the Gulf Coast, Mid-Continent, and West Coast regions of the United States with an aggregate crude oil refining capacity of 3.0 million barrels per day. The company is one of the largest producers of renewable diesel in the US; its Dickinson, North Dakota facility has the capacity to produce 184 million gallons per year, and its Martinez, California, joint venture facility (a 50/50 partnership with Neste) reached its full capacity of 730 million gallons per year in late 2024. Marathon also owns the general partner and approximately 64% of MPLX LP, a large-cap master limited partnership that owns and operates midstream energy infrastructure and logistics assets.
62GF Score
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5-Year Yield-on-Cost % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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