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ARKO (ARKO) Altman Z2-Score : 0.90 (As of May. 05, 2024)


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What is ARKO Altman Z2-Score?

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Warning Sign:

ARKO has a Altman Z2-Score of 0.90, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for ARKO's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ARKO' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.79   Med: 0.99   Max: 1.16
Current: 0.9

During the past 6 years, ARKO's highest Altman Z2-Score was 1.16. The lowest was 0.79. And the median was 0.99.


ARKO Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for ARKO's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

ARKO Altman Z2-Score Chart

ARKO Annual Data
Trend Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - 0.79 1.08 1.16 0.90

ARKO Quarterly Data
Dec18 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.16 0.94 0.90 0.90 0.90

Competitive Comparison of ARKO's Altman Z2-Score

For the Specialty Retail subindustry, ARKO's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


ARKO's Altman Z2-Score Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, ARKO's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where ARKO's Altman Z2-Score falls into.



ARKO Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

ARKO's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*0.072+3.26*0.0263+6.72*0.0379+1.05*0.0843
=0.90

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $3,650 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $749 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $486 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $96 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 2.405 + 29.495 + 19.52 + -4.649 = $47 Mil.
Interest Expense was -24.278 + -23.95 + -22.588 + -20.812 = $-92 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $3,274 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(749.113 - 486.224)/3650.364
=0.072

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=96.097/3650.364
=0.0263

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(46.771 - -91.628)/3650.364
=0.0379

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(376.101 - 100)/3274.247
=0.0843

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

ARKO has a Altman Z2-Score of 0.90 indicating it is in Distress Zones.


ARKO  (NAS:ARKO) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


ARKO Altman Z2-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of ARKO's Altman Z2-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


ARKO (ARKO) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
8565 Magellan Parkway, Suite 400, Richmond, VA, USA, 23227-1150
ARKO Corp operates as a holding company. The company, through its subsidiaries, owns and operates convenience stores in the United States. Some of its regional store brands include Stop, Admiral, Apple Market, BreadBox, E-Z Mart, fas mart, Li'l Cricket, and Next Door Store. Its retail store offers hot food service, beverages, cigarettes & other tobacco products, candy, salty snacks, grocery, beer, and general merchandise. ARKO operates in four segments: Retail segment, Wholesale segment, fleet fueling segment, and GPM Petroleum segment. The company derives the majority of its revenue from retail and wholesale distribution of fuel.
Executives
Karet Laura Shapira director 301 GLADE RUN LANE, PITTSBURGH PA 15238
Avram Z Friedman director DAVIDSON KEMPNER CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LP, 520 MADISON AVENUE, 30TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Eyal Nuchamovitz officer: See Remarks 3284 NE 211 TERRACE, AVENTURA FL 33180
Kempner Partners Davidson 10 percent owner C/O MHD MANAGEMENT CO., 520 MADISON AVENUE, 30TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Gpm Owner Llc 10 percent owner 520 MADISON AVENUE, 30TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Starlette B Johnson director
Anthony Alexander Yoseloff 10 percent owner DAVIDSON KEMPNER CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LP, 520 MADISON AVENUE, 30TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Davidson Kempner Long-term Distressed Opportunities Fund Ii Lp 10 percent owner DK LONG-TERM DISTRESSED OPPS GP II LLC, 520 MADISON AVENUE, 30TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Davidson Kempner Capital Management Lp 10 percent owner 520 MADISON AVENUE, 30TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Davidson Kempner Long-term Distressed Opportunties International Master Fund Ii Lp 10 percent owner DK LONG-TERM DISTRESSED OPPS GP II LLC, 520 MADISON AVENUE, 30TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Davidson Kempner Institutional Partners, L.p. 10 percent owner C/O DAVIDSON KEMPNER ADVISERS INC., 520 MADISON AVENUE, 30TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Davidson Kempner International, Ltd. 10 percent owner C/O OFFSHORE INCORPORATION LTD, OFFSHORE, INCORPORATION CENTRE, POBOX 957, RD TOWN, TORTOLA D8 00000
Andrew R Heyer director 501 MADISON AVENUE, FLOOR 5, NEW YORK NY 10019
Michael J Gade director 5501 HEADQUARTERS DRIVE, PLANO TX 75024
Sherman Iii Edmiston director ONE CITYPLACE DRIVE, SUITE 300, ONE CITYPLACE DRIVE, SUITE 300, ST. LOUIS MO 63141

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