Ariadne Australia (ASX:ARA) Altman Z2-Score: 2.82 (As of Jun. 27, 2026) — 33% Below Median


ASX:ARA Ariadne Australia Ltd ASX:ARA
30 GF Score
Price A$0.47
! 2 Warning Signs
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What is Ariadne Australia Altman Z2-Score?

Ariadne Australia ASX:ARA 30 Altman Z2-Score is 2.82 as of Jun. 27, 2026, which is 33% below its 10-year median of 4.19. GuruFocus rates ASX:ARA with a GF Score™ of 30/100. The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 707 Asset Management companies, Ariadne Australia ranks worse than 68.74% on this metric.

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Good Sign:

Ariadne Australia has a Altman Z2-Score of 2.82, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z2-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Ariadne Australia's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ASX:ARA' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -1.79   Med: 4.19   Max: 24.33
Current: 2.82

During the past 13 years, Ariadne Australia's highest Altman Z2-Score was 24.33. The lowest was -1.79. And the median was 4.19.


Ariadne Australia  (ASX:ARA) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Ariadne Australia Altman Z2-Score Related Terms


Ariadne Australia Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Ariadne Australia's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Ariadne Australia Altman Z2-Score Chart

Ariadne Australia Annual Data
Trend Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24 Jun25
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.79 -1.46 -0.48 -0.46 2.82

Ariadne Australia Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 -0.46 0.00 2.82 0.00

ASX:ARA vs BLK, BX, KKR: Altman Z2-Score Comparison

For the Asset Management subindustry, Ariadne Australia's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ariadne Australia Altman Z2-Score vs Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, Ariadne Australia's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ariadne Australia's Altman Z2-Score falls into.


ASX:ARA
30GF Score
Ariadne Australia Ltd ASX:ARA
Altman Z2-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Ariadne Australia Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Ariadne Australia's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*0.1727+3.26*-2.303+6.72*0.0357+1.05*8.5306
=2.82

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Jun. 2025:
Total Assets was A$197.05 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$43.39 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$9.35 Mil.
Retained Earnings was A$-453.80 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was A$5.81 Mil.
Interest Expense was A$-1.22 Mil.
Total Liabilities was A$18.79 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(43.389 - 9.349)/197.049
=0.1727

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-453.801/197.049
=-2.303

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(5.812 - -1.224)/197.049
=0.0357

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(160.281 - 0)/18.789
=8.5306

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Ariadne Australia has a Altman Z2-Score of 2.82 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z2-Score →
What does a Altman Z2-Score of 2.82 mean?
Ariadne Australia (ASX:ARA) has a Altman Z2-Score of 2.82 as of Jun. 27, 2026. Z2-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies, which measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Ariadne Australia and its competitors. This is 33% below median its historical median of 4.19. According to the industry distribution chart, Ariadne Australia ranks #486 out of 707 companies in the Asset Management industry, placing it in the top 68.7%.
Is Ariadne Australia's Altman Z2-Score too high?
Ariadne Australia's current Altman Z2-Score of 2.82 is 33% below median its 10-year median of 4.19. The Asset Management industry median Altman Z2-Score is 6.10. Ariadne Australia's value of 2.82 is 53.8% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Ariadne Australia ranks #486 out of 707 companies in the Asset Management industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Ariadne Australia has a GF Score™ of 30/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Ariadne Australia's Altman Z2-Score compare to BLK and BX?
According to the Asset Management industry distribution chart, Ariadne Australia ranks #486 out of 707 companies for Altman Z2-Score. This places Ariadne Australia in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z2-Score is 6.10. Ariadne Australia's value of 2.82 is 53.8% below this benchmark. While the company's 10-year median is 4.19 vs. the industry median of 6.10, Ariadne Australia has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z2-Score for an Asset Management company?
The median Altman Z2-Score among Asset Management companies is 6.10, based on 707 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z2-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z2-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Ariadne Australia's current Altman Z2-Score of 2.82 is 53.8% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z2-Score mean?
A high Altman Z2-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Z2-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies, which measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Ariadne Australia and its competitors. For the Asset Management industry, the median Altman Z2-Score is 6.10 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Ariadne Australia's current Altman Z2-Score is 2.82, which is 33% below median its own 10-year median of 4.19. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Ariadne Australia stock overvalued right now?
Ariadne Australia (ASX:ARA) has a current Altman Z2-Score of 2.82. The current Altman Z2-Score is 2.82, which is 33% below median its 10-year median of 4.19 and 53.8% below the Asset Management industry median of 6.10. Ariadne Australia's overall GF Score™ is 30/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z2-Score calculated?
Altman Z2-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Ariadne Australia (ASX:ARA), the current Altman Z2-Score is 2.82 as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Ariadne Australia Business Description

Address 2 Chifley Square, Level 27, Chifley Tower, Sydney, NSW, AUS, 2000
Ariadne Australia Ltd is an investment company with operations in Australia and New Zealand. Its objective is to hold a portfolio of assets and investments to provide attractive investment returns that can generate regular dividends to shareholders and capital growth in the value of the shareholder's investments. It has two reportable segments. The investment division comprises the group's investments in securities. The property division includes all results derived from property and marina assets held by the group, either directly or through joint venture entities or joint venture operations.
30GF Score

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