Australian Strategic Materials (ASX:ASM) Altman Z2-Score: 2.06 (As of Jun. 25, 2026) — 54% Below Median


ASX:ASM Australian Strategic Materials Ltd ASX:ASM
56 GF Score
Price A$1.21
GF Value A$1.55
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 1 Warning Sign
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What is Australian Strategic Materials Altman Z2-Score?

Australian Strategic Materials ASX:ASM -5.84% 56 Altman Z2-Score is 2.06 as of Jun. 25, 2026, which is 54% below its 10-year median of 4.46. GuruFocus rates ASX:ASM with a GF Score™ of 56/100 and a GF Value™ of A$1.55 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review. Among 2,618 Metals & Mining companies, Australian Strategic Materials ranks worse than 50.38% on this metric.

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Australian Strategic Materials has a Altman Z2-Score of 2.06, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Australian Strategic Materials is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.1, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Australian Strategic Materials's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ASX:ASM' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.06   Med: 4.46   Max: 6.58
Current: 2.06

During the past 5 years, Australian Strategic Materials's highest Altman Z2-Score was 6.58. The lowest was 2.06. And the median was 4.46.


Australian Strategic Materials  (ASX:ASM) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Australian Strategic Materials Altman Z2-Score Related Terms


Australian Strategic Materials Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Australian Strategic Materials's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Australian Strategic Materials Altman Z2-Score Chart

Australian Strategic Materials Annual Data
Trend Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24 Jun25
Altman Z2-Score
6.58 4.53 4.46 3.01 2.06

Australian Strategic Materials Semi-Annual Data
Dec19 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 3.01 0.00 2.06 0.00

Australian Strategic Materials Altman Z2-Score Competitor Comparison

For the Other Industrial Metals & Mining subindustry, Australian Strategic Materials's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Australian Strategic Materials Altman Z2-Score vs Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Australian Strategic Materials's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Australian Strategic Materials's Altman Z2-Score falls into.


ASX:ASM
56GF Score
Australian Strategic Materials Ltd ASX:ASM
Altman Z2-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Australian Strategic Materials Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Australian Strategic Materials's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*0.0431+3.26*-0.5156+6.72*-0.1062+1.05*3.9699
=2.06

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Jun. 2025:
Total Assets was A$227.17 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$30.06 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$20.28 Mil.
Retained Earnings was A$-117.13 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was A$-25.12 Mil.
Interest Expense was A$-1.00 Mil.
Total Liabilities was A$45.70 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(30.064 - 20.278)/227.173
=0.0431

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-117.129/227.173
=-0.5156

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-25.122 - -0.999)/227.173
=-0.1062

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(181.438 - 0)/45.703
=3.9699

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Australian Strategic Materials has a Altman Z2-Score of 2.06 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z2-Score →
What does a Altman Z2-Score of 2.06 mean?
Australian Strategic Materials (ASX:ASM) has a Altman Z2-Score of 2.06 as of Jun. 25, 2026. Z2-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies, which measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Australian Strategic Materials and its competitors. This is 54% below median its historical median of 4.46. Over the past decade, Australian Strategic Materials' Altman Z2-Score has ranged from 2.06 to 6.58. According to the industry distribution chart, Australian Strategic Materials ranks #1319 out of 2618 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, placing it in the top 50.4%.
Is Australian Strategic Materials' Altman Z2-Score too high?
Australian Strategic Materials' current Altman Z2-Score of 2.06 is 54% below median its 10-year median of 4.46. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 2.06 to a high of 6.58. The Metals & Mining industry median Altman Z2-Score is 2.14. Australian Strategic Materials' value of 2.06 is 3.5% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Australian Strategic Materials ranks #1319 out of 2618 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Australian Strategic Materials has a GF Score™ of 56/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Australian Strategic Materials' Altman Z2-Score compare to competitors?
According to the Metals & Mining industry distribution chart, Australian Strategic Materials ranks #1319 out of 2618 companies for Altman Z2-Score. This places Australian Strategic Materials in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z2-Score is 2.14. Australian Strategic Materials' value of 2.06 is 3.5% below this benchmark. Historically, Australian Strategic Materials' own Altman Z2-Score has ranged from 2.06 to 6.58 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 4.46 vs. the industry median of 2.14, Australian Strategic Materials has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z2-Score for a Metals & Mining company?
The median Altman Z2-Score among Metals & Mining companies is 2.14, based on 2,618 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z2-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z2-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Australian Strategic Materials's current Altman Z2-Score of 2.06 is 3.5% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z2-Score mean?
A high Altman Z2-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Z2-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies, which measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Australian Strategic Materials and its competitors. For the Metals & Mining industry, the median Altman Z2-Score is 2.14 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Australian Strategic Materials's current Altman Z2-Score is 2.06, which is 54% below median its own 10-year median of 4.46. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Australian Strategic Materials stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Australian Strategic Materials (ASX:ASM) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is A$1.55, compared to a current price of A$1.21 — trading 21.9% below its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z2-Score is 2.06, which is 54% below median its 10-year median of 4.46 and 3.5% below the Metals & Mining industry median of 2.14. Australian Strategic Materials' overall GF Score™ is 56/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z2-Score calculated?
Altman Z2-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Australian Strategic Materials (ASX:ASM), the current Altman Z2-Score is 2.06 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Australian Strategic Materials (ASX:ASM) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Australian Strategic Materials stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of A$1.21 is trading 21.9% below its estimated GF Value™ of A$1.55. GuruFocus considers Australian Strategic Materials to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for ASX:ASM:

  • Altman Z2-Score: 2.06 (54% below median its 10-year median of 4.46)
  • GF Value™: A$1.55 vs. price of A$1.21 (21.9% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 56/100 with 1 warning sign
  • Industry Position: 3.5% below the Metals & Mining median (#1319 of 2618)

No single metric tells the full story. See the ASX:ASM stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Australian Strategic Materials Business Description

Other Exchanges ASMMF:USA80P:Germany
Address 66 Kings Park Road, Level 4, West Perth, Perth, WA, AUS, 6005
Australian Strategic Materials Ltd is engaged in the business of producing and mining specialty metal and oxides. The product portfolio includes neodymium, praseodymium, zirconium, hafnium, dysprosium, terbium and niobium oxides. Its Dubbo Project includes Central Western New South Wales, Australia. The company's segment includes Corporate, Dubbo, and Korea. The company generates majority of its revenue from Korea, which includes the Korean Metals Plant.
56GF Score

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Altman Z2-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

A$1.21
Price
A$1.55
GF Value