Alibaba Group Holding (BUE:BABA) Altman Z2-Score: 3.54 (As of Jun. 28, 2026) — 17% Below Median


BUE:BABA Alibaba Group Holding Ltd BUE:BABA
73 GF Score
Price ARS16,310.00
GF Value ARS20,461.04
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 4 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Alibaba Group Holding Altman Z2-Score?

Alibaba Group Holding BUE:BABA 73 Altman Z2-Score is 3.54 as of Jun. 28, 2026, which is 17% below its 10-year median of 4.25. GuruFocus rates BUE:BABA with a GF Score™ of 73/100 and a GF Value™ of ARS20,461.04 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,117 Retail - Cyclical companies, Alibaba Group Holding ranks better than 56.67% on this metric.

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Good Sign:

Alibaba Group Holding has a Altman Z2-Score of 3.54, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z2-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Alibaba Group Holding's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BUE:BABA' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 3.48   Med: 4.25   Max: 4.82
Current: 3.57

During the past 13 years, Alibaba Group Holding's highest Altman Z2-Score was 4.82. The lowest was 3.48. And the median was 4.25.


Alibaba Group Holding  (BUE:BABA) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Alibaba Group Holding Altman Z2-Score Related Terms


Alibaba Group Holding Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Alibaba Group Holding's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Alibaba Group Holding Altman Z2-Score Chart

Alibaba Group Holding Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.05 4.42 4.40 4.14 3.57

Alibaba Group Holding Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.14 3.97 3.82 3.58 3.57

BUE:BABA vs PDD, MELI, DASH: Altman Z2-Score Comparison

For the Internet Retail subindustry, Alibaba Group Holding's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Alibaba Group Holding Altman Z2-Score vs Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Alibaba Group Holding's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Alibaba Group Holding's Altman Z2-Score falls into.


BUE:BABA
73GF Score
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd BUE:BABA
Altman Z2-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Alibaba Group Holding Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Alibaba Group Holding's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*0.0704+3.26*0.371+6.72*0.0672+1.05*1.3544
=3.54

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026:
Total Assets was ARS387,406,876 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ARS123,910,676 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ARS96,649,958 Mil.
Retained Earnings was ARS143,714,060 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 6361598.372 + 4920248.933 + 4560260.524 + 8305870.185 = ARS24,147,978 Mil.
Interest Expense was -454646.234 + -526956.085 + -479836.785 + -409721.43 = ARS-1,871,161 Mil.
Total Liabilities was ARS158,913,161 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(123910676.279 - 96649958.262)/387406875.761
=0.0704

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=143714059.953/387406875.761
=0.371

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(24147978.014 - -1871160.534)/387406875.761
=0.0672

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(215228837.277 - 0)/158913161.489
=1.3544

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Alibaba Group Holding has a Altman Z2-Score of 3.54 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z2-Score →
What does a Altman Z2-Score of 3.54 mean?
Alibaba Group Holding (BUE:BABA) has a Altman Z2-Score of 3.54 as of Jun. 28, 2026. Z2-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies, which measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Alibaba Group Holding and its competitors. This is 17% below median its historical median of 4.25. Over the past decade, Alibaba Group Holding's Altman Z2-Score has ranged from 3.48 to 4.82. According to the industry distribution chart, Alibaba Group Holding ranks #484 out of 1117 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, placing it in the top 43.3%.
Is Alibaba Group Holding's Altman Z2-Score too high?
Alibaba Group Holding's current Altman Z2-Score of 3.54 is 17% below median its 10-year median of 4.25. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 3.48 to a high of 4.82. The Retail - Cyclical industry median Altman Z2-Score is 2.93. Alibaba Group Holding's value of 3.54 is 20.8% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Alibaba Group Holding ranks #484 out of 1117 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Alibaba Group Holding has a GF Score™ of 73/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Alibaba Group Holding's Altman Z2-Score compare to PDD and MELI?
According to the Retail - Cyclical industry distribution chart, Alibaba Group Holding ranks #484 out of 1117 companies for Altman Z2-Score. This puts Alibaba Group Holding in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z2-Score is 2.93. Alibaba Group Holding's value of 3.54 is 20.8% above this benchmark. Historically, Alibaba Group Holding's own Altman Z2-Score has ranged from 3.48 to 4.82 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 4.25 vs. the industry median of 2.93, Alibaba Group Holding has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z2-Score for a Retail - Cyclical company?
The median Altman Z2-Score among Retail - Cyclical companies is 2.93, based on 1,117 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z2-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z2-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Alibaba Group Holding's current Altman Z2-Score of 3.54 is 20.8% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z2-Score mean?
A high Altman Z2-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Z2-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies, which measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Alibaba Group Holding and its competitors. For the Retail - Cyclical industry, the median Altman Z2-Score is 2.93 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Alibaba Group Holding's current Altman Z2-Score is 3.54, which is 17% below median its own 10-year median of 4.25. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Alibaba Group Holding stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Alibaba Group Holding (BUE:BABA) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ARS20,461.04, compared to a current price of ARS16,310.00 — trading 20.3% below its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z2-Score is 3.54, which is 17% below median its 10-year median of 4.25 and 20.8% above the Retail - Cyclical industry median of 2.93. Alibaba Group Holding's overall GF Score™ is 73/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z2-Score calculated?
Altman Z2-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Alibaba Group Holding (BUE:BABA), the current Altman Z2-Score is 3.54 as of Jun. 28, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Alibaba Group Holding (BUE:BABA) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Alibaba Group Holding stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of ARS16,310.00 is trading 20.3% below its estimated GF Value™ of ARS20,461.04. GuruFocus considers Alibaba Group Holding to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for BUE:BABA:

  • Altman Z2-Score: 3.54 (17% below median its 10-year median of 4.25)
  • GF Value™: ARS20,461.04 vs. price of ARS16,310.00 (20.3% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 73/100 with 4 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 20.8% above the Retail - Cyclical median (#484 of 1117)

No single metric tells the full story. See the BUE:BABA stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Alibaba Group Holding Business Description

Address 1 Matheson Street, Causeway Bay, 26th Floor, Tower One, Times Square, Hong Kong, HKG
Alibaba is the world's largest online and mobile commerce company as measured by gross merchandise volume. It operates China's online marketplaces, including Taobao (consumer-to-consumer) and Tmall (business-to-consumer). The China retail e-commerce platform is the most valuable cash flow-generating business at Alibaba. Additional revenue sources include China wholesale e-commerce, international retail and wholesale e-commerce, local consumer services, travel services, cloud computing, digital media and entertainment, Cainiao logistics services, and other businesses.
73GF Score

Get the complete analysis for BUE:BABA

Altman Z2-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

ARS16,310.00
Price
ARS20,461.04
GF Value