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National Vision Holdings (National Vision Holdings) Altman Z2-Score : 0.88 (As of Apr. 29, 2024)


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What is National Vision Holdings Altman Z2-Score?

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Warning Sign:

National Vision Holdings has a Altman Z2-Score of 0.88, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for National Vision Holdings's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

EYE' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.17   Med: 1.05   Max: 2.11
Current: 0.88

During the past 9 years, National Vision Holdings's highest Altman Z2-Score was 2.11. The lowest was 0.17. And the median was 1.05.


National Vision Holdings Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for National Vision Holdings's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

National Vision Holdings Altman Z2-Score Chart

National Vision Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only 0.91 1.79 2.11 1.71 0.88

National Vision Holdings Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.71 1.67 1.66 1.25 0.88

Competitive Comparison of National Vision Holdings's Altman Z2-Score

For the Specialty Retail subindustry, National Vision Holdings's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


National Vision Holdings's Altman Z2-Score Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, National Vision Holdings's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where National Vision Holdings's Altman Z2-Score falls into.



National Vision Holdings Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

National Vision Holdings's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*-0.0005+3.26*0.1172+6.72*-0.0218+1.05*0.6175
=0.88

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $2,173 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $397 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $398 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $255 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -17.779 + -78.319 + 5.889 + 28.445 = $-62 Mil.
Interest Expense was -3.914 + -3.722 + -1.836 + -4.867 = $-14 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $1,343 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(396.67 - 397.7)/2172.511
=-0.0005

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=254.616/2172.511
=0.1172

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-61.764 - -14.339)/2172.511
=-0.0218

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(829.418 - 0)/1343.093
=0.6175

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

National Vision Holdings has a Altman Z2-Score of 0.88 indicating it is in Distress Zones.


National Vision Holdings  (NAS:EYE) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


National Vision Holdings Altman Z2-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of National Vision Holdings's Altman Z2-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


National Vision Holdings (National Vision Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2435 Commerce Avenue, Building 2200, Duluth, GA, USA, 30096
National Vision Holdings Inc is an optical retailer in the U.S. Its product portfolio includes eyeglasses and sunglasses, contact lenses, accessories, and other products. The company has two operating segments; Owned and Host segment includes company-owned brands America's Best and Eyeglass World, In America's Best stores, vision care services are provided by optometrists or by independent professional corporations and Host operating consist of Military and Fred Meyer which provide eye exams by independent optometrists, and the Legacy segment manages the operations of, and supplies inventory and lab processing services to Legacy retail Vision Centers. It earns a majority of its revenue from the Owned and Host segment.
Executives
D Randolph Peeler director, 10 percent owner CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC, 25 GREENS HILL LANE PO BOX 866, RUTLAND VT 05701
Thomas V Taylor director 2233 LAKE PARK DRIVE, STE. 400, SMYRNA GA 30080
Ravi Acharya officer: SVP, Chief Technology Officer C/O NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS, INC., 2435 COMMERCE AVE., BUILDING 2200, DULUTH GA 30096
Virginia A Hepner director 415 EAST PACES FERRY ROAD, SUITE 200, ATLANTA GA 30305
L Reade Fahs director, officer: Chief Executive Officer
Patrick R. Moore officer: SVP, Chief Financial Officer C/O NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS, INC., 2435 COMMERCE AVENUE, BLDG. 2200, DULUTH GA 30096
Jared Brandman officer: SVP, GC and Secretary C/O NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS, INC., 2435 COMMERCE AVENUE BLDG. 2200, DULUTH GA 30096-4980
David M Tehle director 100 MISSION RIDGE, GOODLETTSVILLE TN 37072
Joseph Vandette officer: SVP, Chief Marketing Officer C/O NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS, INC., 2435 COMMERCE AVE., BUILDING 2200, DULUTH GA 30096
Melissa Rasmussen officer: SVP, Chief Accounting Officer NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS, INC., 2435 COMMERCE AVENUE BLDG 2200, DULUTH GA 30095
Roger F. Francis officer: SVP, Chief Stores Officer C/O NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS, INC., 2435 COMMERCE AVE., BUILDING 2200, DULUTH GA 30096
Jose Armario director MCDONALD'S CORPORATION, 2915 JORIE BOULEVARD, OAK BROOK IL 60523
Susan S Johnson director 303 PEACHTREE STREET, NE, ATLANTA GA 30308
Naomi Kelman director C/O NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS, INC., 2435 COMMERCE AVE., BUILDING 2200, DULUTH GA 30096
Joan Blackwood officer: SVP, Chief Marketing Officer C/O NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS, INC., 2435 COMMERCE AVE., BUILDING 2200, DULUTH GA 30096