Guoco GroupGULRF -6.10%77 Altman Z2-Score is 4.58 as of Jun. 25, 2026, which is 21% above its 10-year median of 3.79. GuruFocus rates GULRF with a GF Score™ of 77/100 and a GF Value™ of $9.51. The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 559 Conglomerates companies, Guoco Group ranks better than 68.34% on this metric.
Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.
Good Sign:
Guoco Group has a Altman Z2-Score of 4.58, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z2-Score is strong.
The zones of discrimination were as such:
When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.
The historical rank and industry rank for Guoco Group's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:
GULRF'
s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.97 Med: 3.79 Max: 4.7
Current: 4.58
During the past 13 years, Guoco Group's highest Altman Z2-Score was 4.70. The lowest was 2.97. And the median was 3.79.
Guoco Group (OTCPK:GULRF) Altman Z2-Score Explanation
The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.
X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.
X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.
X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.
Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.
Guoco Group Altman Z2-Score Related Terms
Guoco Group Altman Z2-Score Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Guoco Group's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
For the Conglomerates subindustry, Guoco Group's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Guoco Group Altman Z2-Score vs Conglomerates Industry
For the Conglomerates industry and Industrials sector, Guoco Group's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Guoco Group's Altman Z2-Score falls into.
Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.
Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.
Guoco Group's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:
Z
=
6.56
*
X1
+
3.26
*
X2
+
6.72
*
X3
+
1.05
*
X4_2
=
6.56
*
0.2091
+
3.26
*
0.5122
+
6.72
*
0.0495
+
1.05
*
1.1486
=
4.58
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.
Guoco Group (GULRF) has a Altman Z2-Score of 4.58 as of Jun. 25, 2026. Z2-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies, which measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Guoco Group and its competitors. This is 21% above median its historical median of 3.79. Over the past decade, Guoco Group's Altman Z2-Score has ranged from 2.97 to 4.70. According to the industry distribution chart, Guoco Group ranks #177 out of 559 companies in the Conglomerates industry, placing it in the top 31.7%.
Is Guoco Group's Altman Z2-Score too high?
Guoco Group's current Altman Z2-Score of 4.58 is 21% above median its 10-year median of 3.79. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 2.97 to a high of 4.70. The Conglomerates industry median Altman Z2-Score is 2.90. Guoco Group's value of 4.58 is 57.9% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Guoco Group ranks #177 out of 559 companies in the Conglomerates industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Guoco Group has a GF Score™ of 77/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Guoco Group's Altman Z2-Score compare to HON and MMM?
According to the Conglomerates industry distribution chart, Guoco Group ranks #177 out of 559 companies for Altman Z2-Score. This puts Guoco Group in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z2-Score is 2.90. Guoco Group's value of 4.58 is 57.9% above this benchmark. Historically, Guoco Group's own Altman Z2-Score has ranged from 2.97 to 4.70 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 3.79 vs. the industry median of 2.90, Guoco Group has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z2-Score for a Conglomerates company?
The median Altman Z2-Score among Conglomerates companies is 2.90, based on 559 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z2-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z2-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Guoco Group's current Altman Z2-Score of 4.58 is 57.9% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z2-Score mean?
A high Altman Z2-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Z2-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies, which measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Guoco Group and its competitors. For the Conglomerates industry, the median Altman Z2-Score is 2.90 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Guoco Group's current Altman Z2-Score is 4.58, which is 21% above median its own 10-year median of 3.79. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Guoco Group stock overvalued right now?
Guoco Group (GULRF) has a current Altman Z2-Score of 4.58. The stock's GF Value™ is $9.51, compared to a current price of $8.34 — trading 12.3% below its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z2-Score is 4.58, which is 21% above median its 10-year median of 3.79 and 57.9% above the Conglomerates industry median of 2.90. Guoco Group's overall GF Score™ is 77/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z2-Score calculated?
Altman Z2-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Guoco Group (GULRF), the current Altman Z2-Score is 4.58 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Guoco Group (GULRF) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Guoco Group stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of $8.34 is trading 12.3% below its estimated GF Value™ of $9.51.
Key valuation signals for GULRF:
Altman Z2-Score: 4.58 (21% above median its 10-year median of 3.79)
GF Value™: $9.51 vs. price of $8.34 (12.3% below fair value)
Industry Position: 57.9% above the Conglomerates median (#177 of 559)
No single metric tells the full story. See the GULRF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Guoco Group Ltd is engaged in investment holding and management. The company operates in four main segments: principal investment, property development and investment, hospitality and leisure, and financial services. It generates additional revenue from oil and gas production. The principal investment segment covers direct and equity investments, as well as treasury operations. The property development and investment segment develops residential and commercial properties in Hong Kong, China, and other locations. The main revenue driver, the hospitality and leisure segment, owns, leases, and manages hotels and operates gaming businesses in the UK and Spain. The financial services segment includes commercial, consumer, and investment banking, as well as insurance services.
77GF Score
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