China Gingko Education Group Co (HKSE:01851) Altman Z2-Score: 4.26 (As of Sep. 10, 2026) — 85% Above Median

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HKSE:01851 China Gingko Education Group Co Ltd HKSE:01851
67 GF Score
Price HK$8.02
GF Value HK$1.33
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is China Gingko Education Group Co Altman Z2-Score?

China Gingko Education Group Co HKSE:01851 +4.29% 67 Altman Z2-Score is 4.26 as of Sep. 10, 2026, which is 85% above its 10-year median of 2.30. GuruFocus rates HKSE:01851 with a GF Score™ of 67/100 and a GF Value™ of HK$1.33 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 229 Education companies, China Gingko Education Group Co ranks better than 63.32% on this metric.

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Good Sign:

China Gingko Education Group Co has a Altman Z2-Score of 4.26, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z2-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for China Gingko Education Group Co's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:01851' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.08   Med: 2.3   Max: 4.26
Current: 4.26

During the past 11 years, China Gingko Education Group Co's highest Altman Z2-Score was 4.26. The lowest was 1.08. And the median was 2.30.


China Gingko Education Group Co  (HKSE:01851) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


China Gingko Education Group Co Altman Z2-Score Related Terms


China Gingko Education Group Co Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for China Gingko Education Group Co's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

China Gingko Education Group Co Altman Z2-Score Chart

China Gingko Education Group Co Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.27 1.08 2.45 2.88 4.26

China Gingko Education Group Co Semi-Annual Data
Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25 Jun26
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 2.88 0.00 4.26 0.00

HKSE:01851 vs EDU, TAL, LAUR: Altman Z2-Score Comparison

For the Education & Training Services subindustry, China Gingko Education Group Co's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


China Gingko Education Group Co Altman Z2-Score vs Education Industry

For the Education industry and Consumer Defensive sector, China Gingko Education Group Co's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where China Gingko Education Group Co's Altman Z2-Score falls into.


HKSE:01851
67GF Score
China Gingko Education Group Co Ltd HKSE:01851
Altman Z2-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

China Gingko Education Group Co Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

China Gingko Education Group Co's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*-0.0757+3.26*0.5221+6.72*0.1068+1.05*2.2251
=4.26

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2025:
Total Assets was HK$1,762.1 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$291.4 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$424.8 Mil.
Retained Earnings was HK$920.1 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was HK$180.1 Mil.
Interest Expense was HK$-8.1 Mil.
Total Liabilities was HK$546.4 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(291.37 - 424.814)/1762.104
=-0.0757

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=920.078/1762.104
=0.5221

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(180.125 - -8.12)/1762.104
=0.1068

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(1215.727 - 0)/546.377
=2.2251

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

China Gingko Education Group Co has a Altman Z2-Score of 4.26 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z2-Score →
What does a Altman Z2-Score of 4.26 mean?
China Gingko Education Group Co (HKSE:01851) has a Altman Z2-Score of 4.26 as of Sep. 10, 2026. Z2-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies, which measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on China Gingko Education Group Co and its competitors. This is 85% above median its historical median of 2.30. Over the past decade, China Gingko Education Group Co's Altman Z2-Score has ranged from 1.08 to 4.26. According to the industry distribution chart, China Gingko Education Group Co ranks #84 out of 229 companies in the Education industry, placing it in the top 36.7%.
Is China Gingko Education Group Co's Altman Z2-Score too high?
China Gingko Education Group Co's current Altman Z2-Score of 4.26 is 85% above median its 10-year median of 2.30. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 1.08 to a high of 4.26. The Education industry median Altman Z2-Score is 2.87. China Gingko Education Group Co's value of 4.26 is 48.4% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, China Gingko Education Group Co ranks #84 out of 229 companies in the Education industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, China Gingko Education Group Co has a GF Score™ of 67/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does China Gingko Education Group Co's Altman Z2-Score compare to EDU and TAL?
According to the Education industry distribution chart, China Gingko Education Group Co ranks #84 out of 229 companies for Altman Z2-Score. This puts China Gingko Education Group Co in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z2-Score is 2.87. China Gingko Education Group Co's value of 4.26 is 48.4% above this benchmark. Historically, China Gingko Education Group Co's own Altman Z2-Score has ranged from 1.08 to 4.26 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 2.30 vs. the industry median of 2.87, China Gingko Education Group Co has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z2-Score for an Education company?
The median Altman Z2-Score among Education companies is 2.87, based on 229 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z2-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z2-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. China Gingko Education Group Co's current Altman Z2-Score of 4.26 is 48.4% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z2-Score mean?
A high Altman Z2-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Z2-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies, which measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on China Gingko Education Group Co and its competitors. For the Education industry, the median Altman Z2-Score is 2.87 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. China Gingko Education Group Co's current Altman Z2-Score is 4.26, which is 85% above median its own 10-year median of 2.30. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is China Gingko Education Group Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, China Gingko Education Group Co (HKSE:01851) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is HK$1.33, compared to a current price of HK$8.02 — trading 503% above its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z2-Score is 4.26, which is 85% above median its 10-year median of 2.30 and 48.4% above the Education industry median of 2.87. China Gingko Education Group Co's overall GF Score™ is 67/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z2-Score calculated?
Altman Z2-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For China Gingko Education Group Co (HKSE:01851), the current Altman Z2-Score is 4.26 as of Sep. 10, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is China Gingko Education Group Co (HKSE:01851) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, China Gingko Education Group Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of HK$8.02 is trading 503% above its estimated GF Value™ of HK$1.33. GuruFocus considers China Gingko Education Group Co to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for HKSE:01851:

  • Altman Z2-Score: 4.26 (85% above median its 10-year median of 2.30)
  • GF Value™: HK$1.33 vs. price of HK$8.02 (503% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 67/100 with 4 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 48.4% above the Education median (#84 of 229)

No single metric tells the full story. See the HKSE:01851 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


China Gingko Education Group Co Business Description

Address 2 Jinli Zhonglu, Qingyang District, Sichuan Province, Chengdu, CHN
China Gingko Education Group Co Ltd is an investment holding company. The company and its subsidiaries are higher education and vocational training service providers in Sichuan Province. The company offers undergraduate majors and college diplomas. The group derives its revenue mainly from tuition fees and boarding fees.
67GF Score

Get the complete analysis for HKSE:01851

Altman Z2-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

HK$8.02
Price
HK$1.33
GF Value