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Tongaat Hulett (JSE:TON) Altman Z2-Score : -1.44 (As of May. 16, 2024)


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What is Tongaat Hulett Altman Z2-Score?

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Warning Sign:

Tongaat Hulett has a Altman Z2-Score of -1.44, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Tongaat Hulett's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:


Tongaat Hulett Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Tongaat Hulett's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Tongaat Hulett Altman Z2-Score Chart

Tongaat Hulett Annual Data
Trend Mar12 Mar13 Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.18 -2.59 -4.09 -2.44 -1.44

Tongaat Hulett Semi-Annual Data
Mar12 Sep12 Mar13 Sep13 Mar14 Sep14 Mar15 Sep15 Mar16 Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -2.44 - -1.44 -

Competitive Comparison of Tongaat Hulett's Altman Z2-Score

For the Confectioners subindustry, Tongaat Hulett's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Tongaat Hulett's Altman Z2-Score Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Tongaat Hulett's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Tongaat Hulett's Altman Z2-Score falls into.



Tongaat Hulett Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Tongaat Hulett's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*-0.2339+3.26*-0.1009+6.72*0.0763+1.05*-0.0826
=-1.44

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2021:
Total Assets was R13,276 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R7,393 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R10,498 Mil.
Retained Earnings was R-1,340 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was R-369 Mil.
Interest Expense was R-1,382 Mil.
Total Liabilities was R13,330 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(7393 - 10498)/13276
=-0.2339

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-1340/13276
=-0.1009

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-369 - -1382)/13276
=0.0763

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(-1101 - 0)/13330
=-0.0826

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Tongaat Hulett has a Altman Z2-Score of -1.44 indicating it is in Distress Zones.


Tongaat Hulett  (JSE:TON) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Tongaat Hulett Altman Z2-Score Related Terms

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Tongaat Hulett (JSE:TON) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Amanzimnyama Hill Road, P O Box 3, Tongaat, NL, ZAF, 4400
Tongaat Hulett Ltd produces sugar and glucose in Africa. It procures its raw materials both from land it owns and from private farmers. Tongaat sells its products to customers in the foodservice industry and to consumers as branded products. Raw sugar sales make up most of the company's revenue. Its biggest markets are South Africa, Zimbabwe, and Mozambique. The company also earns revenue by converting and developing land that it owns and has used for agricultural purposes. Additionally, the by-products from its manufacturing processes create renewable energy, which the company uses to supply electricity to the grid in some instances.

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