LKNCY (Luckin Coffee) Altman Z2-Score: 3.26 (As of Jul. 15, 2026) — 229% Above Median

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LKNCY Luckin Coffee Inc LKNCY
72 GF Score
Price $33.01
GF Value $50.78
Valuation Significantly Undervalued
! 1 Warning Sign
View Full Analysis

What is Luckin Coffee Altman Z2-Score?

Luckin Coffee LKNCY +6.24% 72 Altman Z2-Score is 3.26 as of Jul. 15, 2026, which is 229% above its 10-year median of 0.99. GuruFocus rates LKNCY with a GF Score™ of 72/100 and a GF Value™ of $50.78 (Significantly Undervalued). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review. Among 359 Restaurants companies, Luckin Coffee ranks better than 77.44% on this metric.

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Good Sign:

Luckin Coffee has a Altman Z2-Score of 3.26, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z2-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Luckin Coffee's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

LKNCY' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -6.78   Med: 0.99   Max: 5.88
Current: 3.26

During the past 9 years, Luckin Coffee's highest Altman Z2-Score was 5.88. The lowest was -6.78. And the median was 0.99.


Luckin Coffee  (OTCPK:LKNCY) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Luckin Coffee Altman Z2-Score Related Terms


Luckin Coffee Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Luckin Coffee's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Luckin Coffee Altman Z2-Score Chart

Luckin Coffee Annual Data
Trend Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only -1.39 0.17 1.20 2.45 3.28

Luckin Coffee Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.92 3.12 3.28 3.28 3.26

LKNCY vs EAT, CAVA, BROS: Altman Z2-Score Comparison

For the Restaurants subindustry, Luckin Coffee's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Luckin Coffee Altman Z2-Score vs Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Luckin Coffee's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Luckin Coffee's Altman Z2-Score falls into.


LKNCY
72GF Score
Luckin Coffee Inc LKNCY
Altman Z2-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Luckin Coffee Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Luckin Coffee's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*0.1964+3.26*-0.0606+6.72*0.1596+1.05*1.0426
=3.26

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026:
Total Assets was $4,627 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,266 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,357 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-280 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 111.983 + 120.464 + 258.083 + 247.964 = $738 Mil.
Interest Expense was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = $0 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $2,265 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(2266.408 - 1357.49)/4627.093
=0.1964

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-280.443/4627.093
=-0.0606

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(738.494 - 0)/4627.093
=0.1596

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(2361.789 - 0)/2265.304
=1.0426

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Luckin Coffee has a Altman Z2-Score of 3.26 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z2-Score →
What does a Altman Z2-Score of 3.26 mean?
Luckin Coffee (LKNCY) has a Altman Z2-Score of 3.26 as of Jul. 15, 2026. Z2-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies, which measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Luckin Coffee and its competitors. This is 229% above median its historical median of 0.99. According to the industry distribution chart, Luckin Coffee ranks #81 out of 359 companies in the Restaurants industry, placing it in the top 22.6%.
Is Luckin Coffee's Altman Z2-Score too high?
Luckin Coffee's current Altman Z2-Score of 3.26 is 229% above median its 10-year median of 0.99. The Restaurants industry median Altman Z2-Score is 1.31. Luckin Coffee's value of 3.26 is 148.9% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Luckin Coffee ranks #81 out of 359 companies in the Restaurants industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Luckin Coffee has a GF Score™ of 72/100 and is considered Significantly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Luckin Coffee's Altman Z2-Score compare to EAT and CAVA?
According to the Restaurants industry distribution chart, Luckin Coffee ranks #81 out of 359 companies for Altman Z2-Score. This places Luckin Coffee in the top 23% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Altman Z2-Score is 1.31. Luckin Coffee's value of 3.26 is 148.9% above this benchmark. While the company's 10-year median is 0.99 vs. the industry median of 1.31, Luckin Coffee has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z2-Score for a Restaurants company?
The median Altman Z2-Score among Restaurants companies is 1.31, based on 359 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z2-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z2-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Luckin Coffee's current Altman Z2-Score of 3.26 is 148.9% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z2-Score mean?
A high Altman Z2-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Z2-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies, which measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Luckin Coffee and its competitors. For the Restaurants industry, the median Altman Z2-Score is 1.31 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Luckin Coffee's current Altman Z2-Score is 3.26, which is 229% above median its own 10-year median of 0.99. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Luckin Coffee stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Luckin Coffee (LKNCY) is currently considered Significantly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $50.78, compared to a current price of $33.01 — trading 35% below its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z2-Score is 3.26, which is 229% above median its 10-year median of 0.99 and 148.9% above the Restaurants industry median of 1.31. Luckin Coffee's overall GF Score™ is 72/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z2-Score calculated?
Altman Z2-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Luckin Coffee (LKNCY), the current Altman Z2-Score is 3.26 as of Jul. 15, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Luckin Coffee (LKNCY) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Luckin Coffee stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $33.01 is trading 35% below its estimated GF Value™ of $50.78. GuruFocus considers Luckin Coffee to be Significantly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for LKNCY:

  • Altman Z2-Score: 3.26 (229% above median its 10-year median of 0.99)
  • GF Value™: $50.78 vs. price of $33.01 (35% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 72/100 with 1 warning sign
  • Industry Position: 148.9% above the Restaurants median (#81 of 359)

No single metric tells the full story. See the LKNCY stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Luckin Coffee Business Description

Other Exchanges 0A6U:UKLC0A:Germany
Address 1-3 Taibei Road, 28th Floor, Building T3, Haixi Jingu Plaza, Siming District, Fujian, Xiamen, CHN, 361008
Luckin Coffee Inc operates a coffee network in China, providing retail services for freshly brewed drinks and pre-made food and beverage items. Its technology-driven model is built on mobile apps and a store network, offering a cashier-less purchase experience with features such as store selection, advance ordering, multiple payment options, and real-time order tracking. The company mainly operates self-operated pick-up stores in high-demand locations, enabling rapid and cost-efficient expansion, and also uses partnership and franchise models. It offers multiple products, including coffee, tea drinks, snacks, and light meals, with recipes tailored to local preferences, supported by sourcing and proprietary technology for operations and supply chain management.
72GF Score

Get the complete analysis for LKNCY

Altman Z2-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$33.01
Price
$50.78
GF Value