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Synlait Milk (NZSE:SML) Altman Z2-Score : -0.88 (As of Dec. 12, 2024)


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What is Synlait Milk Altman Z2-Score?

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Warning Sign:

Synlait Milk has a Altman Z2-Score of -0.88, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Synlait Milk's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

NZSE:SML' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -0.88   Med: 1.84   Max: 2.87
Current: -0.88

During the past 8 years, Synlait Milk's highest Altman Z2-Score was 2.87. The lowest was -0.88. And the median was 1.84.


Synlait Milk Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Synlait Milk's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

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Synlait Milk Altman Z2-Score Chart

Synlait Milk Annual Data
Trend Jul17 Jul18 Jul19 Jul20 Jul21 Jul22 Jul23 Jul24
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial 1.98 2.03 1.59 1.35 -0.88

Synlait Milk Semi-Annual Data
Jan14 Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jul17 Jan18 Jul18 Jan19 Jul19 Jan20 Jul20 Jan21 Jul21 Jan22 Jul22 Jan23 Jul23 Jan24 Jul24
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.59 - 1.35 - -0.88

Competitive Comparison of Synlait Milk's Altman Z2-Score

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Synlait Milk's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Synlait Milk's Altman Z2-Score Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Synlait Milk's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Synlait Milk's Altman Z2-Score falls into.



Synlait Milk Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Synlait Milk's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*-0.1577+3.26*0.0975+6.72*-0.1299+1.05*0.6801
=-0.88

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Jul. 2024:
Total Assets was NZ$1,494 Mil.
Total Current Assets was NZ$407 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was NZ$642 Mil.
Retained Earnings was NZ$146 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was NZ$-238 Mil.
Interest Expense was NZ$-44 Mil.
Total Liabilities was NZ$889 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(406.741 - 642.309)/1494.015
=-0.1577

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=145.675/1494.015
=0.0975

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-237.752 - -43.679)/1494.015
=-0.1299

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(604.798 - 0)/889.217
=0.6801

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Synlait Milk has a Altman Z2-Score of -0.88 indicating it is in Distress Zones.


Synlait Milk  (NZSE:SML) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Synlait Milk Altman Z2-Score Related Terms

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Synlait Milk Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1028 Heslerton Road, RD13, Rakaia, STL, NZL, 7783
Synlait Milk Ltd is a dairy processing company that benefits from a differentiated milk supply and operating environment in New Zealand. The business operates within one industry that includes the manufacture of milk powder and its related products, liquid milk, cheese, and butter. Its segment are Synlait and Dairyworks, out of which it derives maximum revenue from Synlait segment.

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