TCOM (Trip.com Group) Altman Z2-Score: 3.83 (As of Jun. 26, 2026) — 96% Above Median


TCOM Trip.com Group Ltd TCOM
79 GF Score
Price $40.88
GF Value $79.08
Valuation Significantly Undervalued
! 2 Warning Signs
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What is Trip.com Group Altman Z2-Score?

Trip.com Group TCOM +0.99% 79 Altman Z2-Score is 3.83 as of Jun. 26, 2026, which is 96% above its 10-year median of 1.95. GuruFocus rates TCOM with a GF Score™ of 79/100 and a GF Value™ of $79.08 (Significantly Undervalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 851 Travel & Leisure companies, Trip.com Group ranks better than 71.21% on this metric.

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Good Sign:

Trip.com Group has a Altman Z2-Score of 3.83, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z2-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Trip.com Group's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TCOM' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.58   Med: 1.95   Max: 4.86
Current: 4.86

During the past 13 years, Trip.com Group's highest Altman Z2-Score was 4.86. The lowest was 1.58. And the median was 1.95.


Trip.com Group  (NAS:TCOM) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Trip.com Group Altman Z2-Score Related Terms


Trip.com Group Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Trip.com Group's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Trip.com Group Altman Z2-Score Chart

Trip.com Group Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.77 1.99 2.64 3.68 4.86

Trip.com Group Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.99 2.83 3.67 4.86 0.00

TCOM vs EXPE, CCL, VIK: Altman Z2-Score Comparison

For the Travel Services subindustry, Trip.com Group's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Trip.com Group Altman Z2-Score vs Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Trip.com Group's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Trip.com Group's Altman Z2-Score falls into.


TCOM
79GF Score
Trip.com Group Ltd TCOM
Altman Z2-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Trip.com Group Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Trip.com Group's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*0.1622+3.26*0+6.72*0.1441+1.05*1.7114
=3.83

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2025:
Total Assets was $38,191 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $17,890 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $11,694 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $0 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 662.933 + 729.214 + 3242.507 + 774.33 = $5,409 Mil.
Interest Expense was -16.686 + -16.328 + -25.69 + -36.906 = $-96 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $14,000 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(17890.048 - 11693.968)/38190.537
=0.1622

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=0/38190.537
=0

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(5408.984 - -95.61)/38190.537
=0.1441

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(23960.186 - 0)/14000.087
=1.7114

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Trip.com Group has a Altman Z2-Score of 3.83 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z2-Score →
What does a Altman Z2-Score of 3.83 mean?
Trip.com Group (TCOM) has a Altman Z2-Score of 3.83 as of Jun. 26, 2026. Z2-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies, which measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Trip.com Group and its competitors. This is 96% above median its historical median of 1.95. Over the past decade, Trip.com Group's Altman Z2-Score has ranged from 1.58 to 4.86. According to the industry distribution chart, Trip.com Group ranks #245 out of 851 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, placing it in the top 28.8%.
Is Trip.com Group's Altman Z2-Score too high?
Trip.com Group's current Altman Z2-Score of 3.83 is 96% above median its 10-year median of 1.95. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 1.58 to a high of 4.86. The Travel & Leisure industry median Altman Z2-Score is 2.46. Trip.com Group's value of 3.83 is 55.7% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Trip.com Group ranks #245 out of 851 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Trip.com Group has a GF Score™ of 79/100 and is considered Significantly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Trip.com Group's Altman Z2-Score compare to EXPE and CCL?
According to the Travel & Leisure industry distribution chart, Trip.com Group ranks #245 out of 851 companies for Altman Z2-Score. This puts Trip.com Group in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z2-Score is 2.46. Trip.com Group's value of 3.83 is 55.7% above this benchmark. Historically, Trip.com Group's own Altman Z2-Score has ranged from 1.58 to 4.86 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 1.95 vs. the industry median of 2.46, Trip.com Group has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z2-Score for a Travel & Leisure company?
The median Altman Z2-Score among Travel & Leisure companies is 2.46, based on 851 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z2-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z2-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Trip.com Group's current Altman Z2-Score of 3.83 is 55.7% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z2-Score mean?
A high Altman Z2-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Z2-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies, which measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Trip.com Group and its competitors. For the Travel & Leisure industry, the median Altman Z2-Score is 2.46 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Trip.com Group's current Altman Z2-Score is 3.83, which is 96% above median its own 10-year median of 1.95. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Trip.com Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Trip.com Group (TCOM) is currently considered Significantly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $79.08, compared to a current price of $40.88 — trading 48.3% below its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z2-Score is 3.83, which is 96% above median its 10-year median of 1.95 and 55.7% above the Travel & Leisure industry median of 2.46. Trip.com Group's overall GF Score™ is 79/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z2-Score calculated?
Altman Z2-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Trip.com Group (TCOM), the current Altman Z2-Score is 3.83 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Trip.com Group (TCOM) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Trip.com Group stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $40.88 is trading 48.3% below its estimated GF Value™ of $79.08. GuruFocus considers Trip.com Group to be Significantly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for TCOM:

  • Altman Z2-Score: 3.83 (96% above median its 10-year median of 1.95)
  • GF Value™: $79.08 vs. price of $40.88 (48.3% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 79/100 with 2 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 55.7% above the Travel & Leisure median (#245 of 851)

No single metric tells the full story. See the TCOM stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Trip.com Group Business Description

Address 30 Raffles Place, No. 29-01, Shanghai, SGP, 048622
Trip.com is the largest online travel agent in China and is positioned to benefit from the country's rising demand for higher-margin outbound travel as passport penetration is only 12% in China. The company generated about 79% of sales from accommodation reservations and transportation ticketing in 2024. The rest of revenue comes from package tours and corporate travel. Before the pandemic in 2019, the company generated 25% of revenue from international travel, which is important to its margin expansion. Most of sales come from its domestic platform, but the company is expanding its overseas business. The competes in a crowded OTA industry in China, including Meituan, Alibaba-backed Fliggy, Tongcheng, and Qunar. The company was founded in 1999 and listed on the Nasdaq in December 2003.
79GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TCOM

Altman Z2-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$40.88
Price
$79.08
GF Value