Cheng Loong (TPE:1904) Altman Z2-Score: 1.92 (As of Jul. 04, 2026) — 17% Below Median


TPE:1904 Cheng Loong Corp TPE:1904
71 GF Score
Price NT$23.20
GF Value NT$25.96
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 12 Warning Signs
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What is Cheng Loong Altman Z2-Score?

Cheng Loong TPE:1904 +5.69% 71 Altman Z2-Score is 1.92 as of Jul. 04, 2026, which is 17% below its 10-year median of 2.30. GuruFocus rates TPE:1904 with a GF Score™ of 71/100 and a GF Value™ of NT$25.96 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 12 warning signs investors should review. Among 282 Forest Products companies, Cheng Loong ranks worse than 61.7% on this metric.

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Cheng Loong has a Altman Z2-Score of 1.92, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Cheng Loong is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.1, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Cheng Loong's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TPE:1904' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.49   Med: 2.3   Max: 2.75
Current: 1.92

During the past 13 years, Cheng Loong's highest Altman Z2-Score was 2.75. The lowest was 1.49. And the median was 2.30.


Cheng Loong  (TPE:1904) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Cheng Loong Altman Z2-Score Related Terms


Cheng Loong Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Cheng Loong's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Cheng Loong Altman Z2-Score Chart

Cheng Loong Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.64 2.46 2.08 2.14 1.92

Cheng Loong Quarterly Data
Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.14 1.70 1.65 1.97 1.92

Cheng Loong Altman Z2-Score Competitor Comparison

For the Paper & Paper Products subindustry, Cheng Loong's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Cheng Loong Altman Z2-Score vs Forest Products Industry

For the Forest Products industry and Basic Materials sector, Cheng Loong's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Cheng Loong's Altman Z2-Score falls into.


TPE:1904
71GF Score
Cheng Loong Corp TPE:1904
Altman Z2-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Cheng Loong Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Cheng Loong's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*0.0612+3.26*0.1851+6.72*0.0273+1.05*0.6986
=1.92

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2025:
Total Assets was NT$71,983 Mil.
Total Current Assets was NT$23,056 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was NT$18,647 Mil.
Retained Earnings was NT$13,321 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 832.089 + 216.202 + -11.174 + 76.427 = NT$1,114 Mil.
Interest Expense was -193.605 + -212.529 + -214.591 + -231.99 = NT$-853 Mil.
Total Liabilities was NT$41,950 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(23055.877 - 18646.952)/71983.295
=0.0612

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=13321.291/71983.295
=0.1851

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(1113.544 - -852.715)/71983.295
=0.0273

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(29304.125 - 0)/41949.614
=0.6986

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Cheng Loong has a Altman Z2-Score of 1.92 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z2-Score →
What does a Altman Z2-Score of 1.92 mean?
Cheng Loong (TPE:1904) has a Altman Z2-Score of 1.92 as of Jul. 04, 2026. Z2-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies, which measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Cheng Loong and its competitors. This is 17% below median its historical median of 2.30. Over the past decade, Cheng Loong's Altman Z2-Score has ranged from 1.49 to 2.75. According to the industry distribution chart, Cheng Loong ranks #174 out of 282 companies in the Forest Products industry, placing it in the top 61.7%.
Is Cheng Loong's Altman Z2-Score too high?
Cheng Loong's current Altman Z2-Score of 1.92 is 17% below median its 10-year median of 2.30. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 1.49 to a high of 2.75. The Forest Products industry median Altman Z2-Score is 2.61. Cheng Loong's value of 1.92 is 26.4% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Cheng Loong ranks #174 out of 282 companies in the Forest Products industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Cheng Loong has a GF Score™ of 71/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Cheng Loong's Altman Z2-Score compare to competitors?
According to the Forest Products industry distribution chart, Cheng Loong ranks #174 out of 282 companies for Altman Z2-Score. This places Cheng Loong in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z2-Score is 2.61. Cheng Loong's value of 1.92 is 26.4% below this benchmark. Historically, Cheng Loong's own Altman Z2-Score has ranged from 1.49 to 2.75 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 2.30 vs. the industry median of 2.61, Cheng Loong has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z2-Score for a Forest Products company?
The median Altman Z2-Score among Forest Products companies is 2.61, based on 282 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z2-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z2-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Cheng Loong's current Altman Z2-Score of 1.92 is 26.4% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z2-Score mean?
A high Altman Z2-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Z2-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies, which measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Cheng Loong and its competitors. For the Forest Products industry, the median Altman Z2-Score is 2.61 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Cheng Loong's current Altman Z2-Score is 1.92, which is 17% below median its own 10-year median of 2.30. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Cheng Loong stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Cheng Loong (TPE:1904) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is NT$25.96, compared to a current price of NT$23.20 — trading 10.6% below its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z2-Score is 1.92, which is 17% below median its 10-year median of 2.30 and 26.4% below the Forest Products industry median of 2.61. Cheng Loong's overall GF Score™ is 71/100 with 12 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z2-Score calculated?
Altman Z2-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Cheng Loong (TPE:1904), the current Altman Z2-Score is 1.92 as of Jul. 04, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Cheng Loong (TPE:1904) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Cheng Loong stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of NT$23.20 is trading 10.6% below its estimated GF Value™ of NT$25.96. GuruFocus considers Cheng Loong to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for TPE:1904:

  • Altman Z2-Score: 1.92 (17% below median its 10-year median of 2.30)
  • GF Value™: NT$25.96 vs. price of NT$23.20 (10.6% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 71/100 with 12 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 26.4% below the Forest Products median (#174 of 282)

No single metric tells the full story. See the TPE:1904 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Cheng Loong Business Description

Address Min Sheng Road, No. 1, Section 1, Banqiao District, New Taipei, TWN, 220
Cheng Loong Corp manufactures and sells a variety of paper products. The company is engaged in the manufacturing and sale of paper products, materials for paper products, corrugated cartons, and related products. It is also engaged in building commercial and residential premises for rent and sale in partnership with construction companies. The company generates a majority of its revenue from the manufacturing and sale of industrial paper, corrugated containers, and related products. Its geographical segments are Taiwan, which generates key revenue, China, and Southeast Asia.
71GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TPE:1904

Altman Z2-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

NT$23.20
Price
NT$25.96
GF Value