AGLNF (AGL Energy) Altman Z-Score: 1.11 (As of Jun. 29, 2026) — 38% Below Median


AGLNF AGL Energy Ltd AGLNF
63 GF Score
Price $6.00
GF Value $7.15
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 8 Warning Signs
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What is AGL Energy Altman Z-Score?

AGL Energy AGLNF 63 Altman Z-Score is 1.11 as of Jun. 29, 2026, which is 38% below its 10-year median of 1.80. GuruFocus rates AGLNF with a GF Score™ of 63/100 and a GF Value™ of $7.15 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 411 Utilities - Independent Power Producers companies, AGL Energy ranks worse than 54.26% on this metric.

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 1.09 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

AGL Energy has a Altman Z-Score of 1.11, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for AGL Energy's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

AGLNF' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.52   Med: 1.8   Max: 3.19
Current: 1.09

During the past 13 years, AGL Energy's highest Altman Z-Score was 3.19. The lowest was 0.52. And the median was 1.80.


AGL Energy  (OTCPK:AGLNF) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


AGL Energy Altman Z-Score Related Terms


AGL Energy Altman Z-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for AGL Energy's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

AGL Energy Altman Z-Score Chart

AGL Energy Annual Data
Trend Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24 Jun25
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.52 1.00 0.95 1.52 1.14

AGL Energy Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 1.52 0.00 1.14 0.00

AGLNF vs CEG, VST, NRG: Altman Z-Score Comparison

For the Utilities - Independent Power Producers subindustry, AGL Energy's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


AGL Energy Altman Z-Score vs Utilities - Independent Power Producers Industry

For the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry and Utilities sector, AGL Energy's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where AGL Energy's Altman Z-Score falls into.


AGLNF
63GF Score
AGL Energy Ltd AGLNF
Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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AGL Energy Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

AGL Energy's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*-0.0148+1.4*-0.0618+3.3*0.0124+0.6*0.5291+1.0*0.8541
=1.11

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Jun. 2025:
Total Assets was $10,549 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,889 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $3,045 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-652 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was $-81 Mil.
Interest Expense was $-212 Mil.
Revenue was $9,010 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $3,908 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $7,387 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(2888.672 - 3044.922)/10549.479
=-0.0148

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-651.693/10549.479
=-0.0618

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-80.729 - -211.589)/10549.479
=0.0124

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=3908.415/7386.719
=0.5291

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=9010.417/10549.479
=0.8541

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

AGL Energy has a Altman Z-Score of 1.11 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z-Score →
What does a Altman Z-Score of 1.11 mean?
AGL Energy (AGLNF) has a Altman Z-Score of 1.11 as of Jun. 29, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on AGL Energy and its competitors. This is 38% below median its historical median of 1.80. Over the past decade, AGL Energy's Altman Z-Score has ranged from 0.52 to 3.19. According to the industry distribution chart, AGL Energy ranks #223 out of 411 companies in the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry, placing it in the top 54.3%.
Is AGL Energy's Altman Z-Score too high?
AGL Energy's current Altman Z-Score of 1.11 is 38% below median its 10-year median of 1.80. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.52 to a high of 3.19. The Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry median Altman Z-Score is 1.23. AGL Energy's value of 1.11 is 9.8% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, AGL Energy ranks #223 out of 411 companies in the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, AGL Energy has a GF Score™ of 63/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does AGL Energy's Altman Z-Score compare to CEG and VST?
According to the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry distribution chart, AGL Energy ranks #223 out of 411 companies for Altman Z-Score. This places AGL Energy in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 1.23. AGL Energy's value of 1.11 is 9.8% below this benchmark. Historically, AGL Energy's own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 0.52 to 3.19 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 1.80 vs. the industry median of 1.23, AGL Energy has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for an Utilities - Independent Power Producers company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Utilities - Independent Power Producers companies is 1.23, based on 411 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. AGL Energy's current Altman Z-Score of 1.11 is 9.8% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on AGL Energy and its competitors. For the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 1.23 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. AGL Energy's current Altman Z-Score is 1.11, which is 38% below median its own 10-year median of 1.80. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is AGL Energy stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, AGL Energy (AGLNF) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $7.15, compared to a current price of $6.00 — trading 16.1% below its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 1.11, which is 38% below median its 10-year median of 1.80 and 9.8% below the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry median of 1.23. AGL Energy's overall GF Score™ is 63/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For AGL Energy (AGLNF), the current Altman Z-Score is 1.11 as of Jun. 29, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is AGL Energy (AGLNF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, AGL Energy stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $6.00 is trading 16.1% below its estimated GF Value™ of $7.15. GuruFocus considers AGL Energy to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for AGLNF:

  • Altman Z-Score: 1.11 (38% below median its 10-year median of 1.80)
  • GF Value™: $7.15 vs. price of $6.00 (16.1% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 63/100 with 8 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 9.8% below the Utilities - Independent Power Producers median (#223 of 411)

No single metric tells the full story. See the AGLNF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


AGL Energy Business Description

Address 200 George Street, Level 24, Sydney, NSW, AUS, 2000
AGL Energy is one of Australia's largest retailers of electricity and gas. It services over 4 million retail electricity and gas accounts in Australian, or about one-third of the market. Profit is dominated by energy generation, underpinned by its low-cost coal-fired generation fleet. Founded in 1837, it is the oldest company on the ASX. Generation capacity comprises a portfolio of renewable, peaking, intermediate, and base-load electricity generation plants.
63GF Score

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Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$6.00
Price
$7.15
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