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Aravive (Aravive) Altman Z-Score : -76.66 (As of Apr. 30, 2024)


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What is Aravive Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of -76.66 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

Aravive has a Altman Z-Score of -76.66, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Aravive's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ARAV' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -76.66   Med: -3.78   Max: 80.01
Current: -76.66

During the past 11 years, Aravive's highest Altman Z-Score was 80.01. The lowest was -76.66. And the median was -3.78.


Aravive Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Aravive's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Aravive Altman Z-Score Chart

Aravive Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -9.10 1.65 -7.99 -11.07 -16.17

Aravive Quarterly Data
Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -23.01 -16.17 -28.72 -43.38 -76.30

Competitive Comparison of Aravive's Altman Z-Score

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Aravive's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Aravive's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Aravive's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Aravive's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Aravive Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Aravive's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*-0.0165+1.4*-48.0381+3.3*-3.0536+0.6*0.26+1.0*0.5361
=-76.66

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Sep. 2023:
Total Assets was $13.05 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $9.56 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $9.78 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-626.85 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 21.226 + 18.008 + -49.956 + -29.125 = $-39.85 Mil.
Interest Expense was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = $0.00 Mil.
Revenue was 2.756 + 1.274 + 1.491 + 1.474 = $7.00 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $2.95 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $11.35 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(9.562 - 9.777)/13.049
=-0.0165

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-626.849/13.049
=-48.0381

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-39.847 - 0)/13.049
=-3.0536

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=2.950/11.348
=0.26

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=6.995/13.049
=0.5361

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Aravive has a Altman Z-Score of -76.66 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Aravive  (NAS:ARAV) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Aravive Altman Z-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Aravive's Altman Z-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Aravive (Aravive) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
3730 Kirby Drive, River Oaks Tower, Suite 1200, Houston, TX, USA, 77098
Aravive Inc is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company. It focuses on developing treatments designed to halt the progression of life-threatening diseases, including cancer and fibrosis. The company pipeline product Batiraxcept (formerly AVB-500) which is an ultra-high affinity decoy protein that binds to GAS6 and thereby prevents AXL signaling to inhibit metastasis and tumor growth and restore sensitivity to anti-cancer agents. Batiraxcept is currently being evaluated in multiple clinical trials.
Executives
Maria Carolina Petrini officer: Chief Commercial Officer RIVER OAKS TOWER, 3730 KIRBY DRIVE, SUITE 1200, HOUSTON TX 77098
Robert B. Geller officer: Chief Medical Officer RIVER OAKS TOWER, 3730 KIRBY DRIVE, SUITE 1200, HOUSTON TX 77098
Rudy Howard officer: Chief Financial Officer 322 WINDCHASE LANE, WILMINGTON NC 28409
Leonard Scott Dove officer: Chief Operating Officer RIVER OAKS TOWER, 3730 KIRBY DRIVE, SUITE 1200, HOUSTON TX 77098
Amato Giaccia director, 10 percent owner C/O VERSARTIS, INC., 1020 MARSH ROAD, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Gail Frances Mcintyre officer: Chief Scientific Officer C/O FURIEX PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 3900 PARAMOUNT PARKWAY, SUITE 150, MORRISVILLE NC 27560
John Hohneker director C/O DIMENSION THERAPEUTICS, INC., 840 MEMORIAL DRIVE 4TH FLOOR, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
Sigurd Kirk director 225 SUMMIT AVENUE, MONTVALE NJ 07645
Peter Tai-ching Ho director C/O EPIZYME, INC., 400 TECHNOLOGY SQUARE, 4TH FLOOR, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
Vinay Shah officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O VERSARTIS, INC., 1020 MARSH ROAD, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Reshma Rangwala officer: Chief Medical Officer RIVER OAKS TOWER, 3730 KIRBY DRIVE, SUITE 1200, HOUSTON TX 77098
Michael W Rogers director C/O KERYX BIOPHARMACEUTICALS INC, ONE MARINA PARK DRIVE, BOSTON MA 02210
Eshelman Ventures, Llc director 319 N. 3RD STREET, SUITE 301, WILMINGTON NC 28401
Fredric N Eshelman director PPD INC, 929 NORTH FRONT STREET, WILMINGTON NC 28401
Rekha Hemrajani director, officer: President and CEO 3928 POINT EDEN WAY, HAYWARD CA 94545