Bega CheeseASX:BGA 73 Altman Z-Score is 2.88 as of Jun. 27, 2026, which is 13% above its 10-year median of 2.54. GuruFocus rates ASX:BGA with a GF Score™ of 73/100 and a GF Value™ of A$4.83 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,933 Consumer Packaged Goods companies, Bega Cheese ranks better than 50.54% on this metric.
The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.
Warning Sign:
Altman Z-score of 2.86 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.
Bega Cheese has a Altman Z-Score of 2.88, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Bega Cheese is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.
The zones of discrimination were as such:
When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.
The historical rank and industry rank for Bega Cheese's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:
ASX:BGA'
s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.81 Med: 2.54 Max: 5.05
Current: 2.86
During the past 13 years, Bega Cheese's highest Altman Z-Score was 5.05. The lowest was 1.81. And the median was 2.54.
Bega Cheese (ASX:BGA) Altman Z-Score Explanation
X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.
X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.
X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.
X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.
X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.
Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.
Bega Cheese Altman Z-Score Related Terms
Bega Cheese Altman Z-Score Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Bega Cheese's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Bega Cheese's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Bega Cheese Altman Z-Score vs Consumer Packaged Goods Industry
For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Bega Cheese's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Bega Cheese's Altman Z-Score falls into.
Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.
Bega Cheese's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:
Z
=
1.2
*
X1
+
1.4
*
X2
+
3.3
*
X3
+
0.6
*
X4
+
1.0
*
X5
=
1.2
*
0.0559
+
1.4
*
0.0329
+
3.3
*
0.0083
+
0.6
*
1.6683
+
1.0
*
1.7396
=
2.88
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.
Bega Cheese (ASX:BGA) has a Altman Z-Score of 2.88 as of Jun. 27, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Bega Cheese and its competitors. This is 13% above median its historical median of 2.54. Over the past decade, Bega Cheese's Altman Z-Score has ranged from 1.81 to 5.05. According to the industry distribution chart, Bega Cheese ranks #956 out of 1933 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, placing it in the top 49.5%.
Is Bega Cheese's Altman Z-Score too high?
Bega Cheese's current Altman Z-Score of 2.88 is 13% above median its 10-year median of 2.54. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 1.81 to a high of 5.05. The Consumer Packaged Goods industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.84. Bega Cheese's value of 2.88 is 1.4% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Bega Cheese ranks #956 out of 1933 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Bega Cheese has a GF Score™ of 73/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Bega Cheese's Altman Z-Score compare to KHC and GIS?
According to the Consumer Packaged Goods industry distribution chart, Bega Cheese ranks #956 out of 1933 companies for Altman Z-Score. This puts Bega Cheese in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.84. Bega Cheese's value of 2.88 is 1.4% above this benchmark. Historically, Bega Cheese's own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 1.81 to 5.05 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 2.54 vs. the industry median of 2.84, Bega Cheese has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Consumer Packaged Goods company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Consumer Packaged Goods companies is 2.84, based on 1,933 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Bega Cheese's current Altman Z-Score of 2.88 is 1.4% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Bega Cheese and its competitors. For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 2.84 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Bega Cheese's current Altman Z-Score is 2.88, which is 13% above median its own 10-year median of 2.54. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Bega Cheese stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Bega Cheese (ASX:BGA) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is A$4.83, compared to a current price of A$5.79 — trading 19.9% above its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 2.88, which is 13% above median its 10-year median of 2.54 and 1.4% above the Consumer Packaged Goods industry median of 2.84. Bega Cheese's overall GF Score™ is 73/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Bega Cheese (ASX:BGA), the current Altman Z-Score is 2.88 as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Bega Cheese (ASX:BGA) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Bega Cheese stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of A$5.79 is trading 19.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of A$4.83.
GuruFocus considers Bega Cheese to be Modestly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for ASX:BGA:
Altman Z-Score: 2.88 (13% above median its 10-year median of 2.54)
GF Value™: A$4.83 vs. price of A$5.79 (19.9% above fair value)
Industry Position: 1.4% above the Consumer Packaged Goods median (#956 of 1933)
No single metric tells the full story. See the ASX:BGA stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Bega Group is an Australia-based dairy processor and food manufacturer of well-known brands including Bega Cheese and Vegemite. Bega operates two segments: The branded segment produces consumer packaged goods primarily sold through the supermarket and foodservice channels, while the bulk segment produces commodity dairy ingredients primarily sold through the business-to-business channel.
73GF Score
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