Vulcan Steel (ASX:VSL) Altman Z-Score: 2.63 (As of Jun. 26, 2026) — 17% Below Median


ASX:VSL Vulcan Steel Ltd ASX:VSL
60 GF Score
Price A$5.01
GF Value A$6.22
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Vulcan Steel Altman Z-Score?

Vulcan Steel ASX:VSL -0.60% 60 Altman Z-Score is 2.63 as of Jun. 26, 2026, which is 17% below its 10-year median of 3.16. GuruFocus rates ASX:VSL with a GF Score™ of 60/100 and a GF Value™ of A$6.22 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 615 Steel companies, Vulcan Steel ranks better than 54.63% on this metric.

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 2.63 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

Vulcan Steel has a Altman Z-Score of 2.63, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Vulcan Steel is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Vulcan Steel's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ASX:VSL' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.63   Med: 3.16   Max: 3.86
Current: 2.63

During the past 4 years, Vulcan Steel's highest Altman Z-Score was 3.86. The lowest was 2.63. And the median was 3.16.


Vulcan Steel  (ASX:VSL) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Vulcan Steel Altman Z-Score Related Terms


Vulcan Steel Altman Z-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Vulcan Steel's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Vulcan Steel Altman Z-Score Chart

Vulcan Steel Annual Data
Trend Jun22 Jun23 Jun24 Jun25
Altman Z-Score
3.86 3.35 2.96 2.66

Vulcan Steel Semi-Annual Data
Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only 0.00 2.96 0.00 2.66 0.00

ASX:VSL vs NUE, STLD, RS: Altman Z-Score Comparison

For the Steel subindustry, Vulcan Steel's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Vulcan Steel Altman Z-Score vs Steel Industry

For the Steel industry and Basic Materials sector, Vulcan Steel's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Vulcan Steel's Altman Z-Score falls into.


ASX:VSL
60GF Score
Vulcan Steel Ltd ASX:VSL
Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Vulcan Steel Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Vulcan Steel's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.363+1.4*0.1729+3.3*0.0474+0.6*1.1494+1.0*1.1042
=2.63

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Jun. 2025:
Total Assets was A$796.0 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$449.7 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$160.7 Mil.
Retained Earnings was A$137.6 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was A$20.7 Mil.
Interest Expense was A$-17.0 Mil.
Revenue was A$878.9 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was A$734.1 Mil.
Total Liabilities was A$638.7 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(449.653 - 160.686)/795.959
=0.363

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=137.608/795.959
=0.1729

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(20.724 - -17.008)/795.959
=0.0474

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=734.115/638.694
=1.1494

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=878.916/795.959
=1.1042

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Vulcan Steel has a Altman Z-Score of 2.63 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z-Score →
What does a Altman Z-Score of 2.63 mean?
Vulcan Steel (ASX:VSL) has a Altman Z-Score of 2.63 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Vulcan Steel and its competitors. This is 17% below median its historical median of 3.16. Over the past decade, Vulcan Steel's Altman Z-Score has ranged from 2.63 to 3.86. According to the industry distribution chart, Vulcan Steel ranks #279 out of 615 companies in the Steel industry, placing it in the top 45.4%.
Is Vulcan Steel's Altman Z-Score too high?
Vulcan Steel's current Altman Z-Score of 2.63 is 17% below median its 10-year median of 3.16. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 2.63 to a high of 3.86. The Steel industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.47. Vulcan Steel's value of 2.63 is 6.5% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Vulcan Steel ranks #279 out of 615 companies in the Steel industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Vulcan Steel has a GF Score™ of 60/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Vulcan Steel's Altman Z-Score compare to NUE and STLD?
According to the Steel industry distribution chart, Vulcan Steel ranks #279 out of 615 companies for Altman Z-Score. This puts Vulcan Steel in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.47. Vulcan Steel's value of 2.63 is 6.5% above this benchmark. Historically, Vulcan Steel's own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 2.63 to 3.86 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 3.16 vs. the industry median of 2.47, Vulcan Steel has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Steel company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Steel companies is 2.47, based on 615 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Vulcan Steel's current Altman Z-Score of 2.63 is 6.5% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Vulcan Steel and its competitors. For the Steel industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 2.47 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Vulcan Steel's current Altman Z-Score is 2.63, which is 17% below median its own 10-year median of 3.16. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Vulcan Steel stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Vulcan Steel (ASX:VSL) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is A$6.22, compared to a current price of A$5.01 — trading 19.5% below its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 2.63, which is 17% below median its 10-year median of 3.16 and 6.5% above the Steel industry median of 2.47. Vulcan Steel's overall GF Score™ is 60/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Vulcan Steel (ASX:VSL), the current Altman Z-Score is 2.63 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Vulcan Steel (ASX:VSL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Vulcan Steel stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of A$5.01 is trading 19.5% below its estimated GF Value™ of A$6.22. GuruFocus considers Vulcan Steel to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for ASX:VSL:

  • Altman Z-Score: 2.63 (17% below median its 10-year median of 3.16)
  • GF Value™: A$6.22 vs. price of A$5.01 (19.5% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 60/100 with 5 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 6.5% above the Steel median (#279 of 615)

No single metric tells the full story. See the ASX:VSL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Vulcan Steel Business Description

Other Exchanges VSL:New Zealand
Address 29 Neales Road, East Tamaki, Auckland, NTL, NZL, 2013
Vulcan Steel Ltd is a metals distributor and processor. Its products include Steel, Stainless Steel, Engineering steel, Plate processing, and Coil processing. The company has two operating segments namely, the Steel business across New Zealand and Australia which includes Steel distribution, Plate processing, and Coil processing; and Metals business across New Zealand, which includes Stainless Steel, Engineering Steel, and Aluminium.
60GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ASX:VSL

Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

A$5.01
Price
A$6.22
GF Value