BGM (BGM Group) Altman Z-Score: 1.53 (As of Aug. 01, 2026) — 69% Below Median

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BGM BGM Group Ltd BGM
37 GF Score
Price $0.28
GF Value $0.26
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 7 Warning Signs
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What is BGM Group Altman Z-Score?

BGM Group BGM +0.68% 37 Altman Z-Score is 1.53 as of Aug. 01, 2026, which is 69% below its 10-year median of 4.86. GuruFocus rates BGM with a GF Score™ of 37/100 and a GF Value™ of $0.26 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 953 Drug Manufacturers companies, BGM Group ranks worse than 74.19% on this metric.

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 1.53 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

BGM Group has a Altman Z-Score of 1.53, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for BGM Group's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BGM' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.53   Med: 4.86   Max: 29.32
Current: 1.53

During the past 9 years, BGM Group's highest Altman Z-Score was 29.32. The lowest was 1.53. And the median was 4.86.


BGM Group  (NAS:BGM) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


BGM Group Altman Z-Score Related Terms


BGM Group Altman Z-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for BGM Group's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

BGM Group Altman Z-Score Chart

BGM Group Annual Data
Trend Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23 Sep24 Sep25
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only 6.17 4.48 3.66 4.86 29.32

BGM Group Semi-Annual Data
Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23 Mar24 Sep24 Mar25 Sep25
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.66 0.00 4.86 0.00 29.32

BGM vs CPIX, ADCT, ZYBT: Altman Z-Score Comparison

For the Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic subindustry, BGM Group's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


BGM Group Altman Z-Score vs Drug Manufacturers Industry

For the Drug Manufacturers industry and Healthcare sector, BGM Group's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where BGM Group's Altman Z-Score falls into.


BGM
37GF Score
BGM Group Ltd BGM
Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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BGM Group Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

BGM Group's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.0229+1.4*-0.0364+3.3*-0.046+0.6*2.6952+1.0*0.0874
=1.53

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Sep. 2025:
Total Assets was $433.81 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $51.55 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $41.60 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-15.78 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was $-19.94 Mil.
Interest Expense was $0.00 Mil.
Revenue was $37.92 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $112.98 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $41.92 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(51.547 - 41.598)/433.814
=0.0229

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-15.777/433.814
=-0.0364

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-19.938 - 0)/433.814
=-0.046

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=112.976/41.917
=2.6952

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=37.919/433.814
=0.0874

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

BGM Group has a Altman Z-Score of 1.53 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z-Score →
What does a Altman Z-Score of 1.53 mean?
BGM Group (BGM) has a Altman Z-Score of 1.53 as of Aug. 01, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on BGM Group and its competitors. This is 69% below median its historical median of 4.86. Over the past decade, BGM Group's Altman Z-Score has ranged from 1.53 to 29.32. According to the industry distribution chart, BGM Group ranks #707 out of 953 companies in the Drug Manufacturers industry, placing it in the top 74.2%.
Is BGM Group's Altman Z-Score too high?
BGM Group's current Altman Z-Score of 1.53 is 69% below median its 10-year median of 4.86. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 1.53 to a high of 29.32. The Drug Manufacturers industry median Altman Z-Score is 3.12. BGM Group's value of 1.53 is 51% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, BGM Group ranks #707 out of 953 companies in the Drug Manufacturers industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, BGM Group has a GF Score™ of 37/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does BGM Group's Altman Z-Score compare to CPIX and ADCT?
According to the Drug Manufacturers industry distribution chart, BGM Group ranks #707 out of 953 companies for Altman Z-Score. This places BGM Group in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 3.12. BGM Group's value of 1.53 is 51% below this benchmark. Historically, BGM Group's own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 1.53 to 29.32 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 4.86 vs. the industry median of 3.12, BGM Group has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Drug Manufacturers company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Drug Manufacturers companies is 3.12, based on 953 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. BGM Group's current Altman Z-Score of 1.53 is 51% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on BGM Group and its competitors. For the Drug Manufacturers industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 3.12 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. BGM Group's current Altman Z-Score is 1.53, which is 69% below median its own 10-year median of 4.86. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is BGM Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, BGM Group (BGM) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is $0.26, compared to a current price of $0.28 — trading 8.5% above its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 1.53, which is 69% below median its 10-year median of 4.86 and 51% below the Drug Manufacturers industry median of 3.12. BGM Group's overall GF Score™ is 37/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For BGM Group (BGM), the current Altman Z-Score is 1.53 as of Aug. 01, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is BGM Group (BGM) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, BGM Group stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $0.28 is trading 8.5% above its estimated GF Value™ of $0.26. GuruFocus considers BGM Group to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for BGM:

  • Altman Z-Score: 1.53 (69% below median its 10-year median of 4.86)
  • GF Value™: $0.26 vs. price of $0.28 (8.5% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 37/100 with 7 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 51% below the Drug Manufacturers median (#707 of 953)

No single metric tells the full story. See the BGM stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


BGM Group Business Description

Address No. 152 Hongliang East 1st Street No. 1703, Tianfu New District, Chengdu, CHN, 610200
BGM Group Ltd is a biopharmaceuticals, bio-extraction, and medical health business. Its product range includes oxytetracycline APIs, licorice preparations, and crude heparin sodium. Maximum revenue is from Oxytetracycline & Licorice and TCMD, followed by Heparin products and Sausage casing.
37GF Score

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Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

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