Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.
The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.
Warning Sign:
Altman Z-score of 2.82 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.
El Forge has a Altman Z-Score of 2.85, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that El Forge is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.
The zones of discrimination were as such:
When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.
The historical rank and industry rank for El Forge's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:
BOM:531144'
s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.54 Med: -2.43 Max: 7.38
Current: 2.82
During the past 13 years, El Forge's highest Altman Z-Score was 7.38. The lowest was -3.54. And the median was -2.43.
El Forge (BOM:531144) Altman Z-Score Explanation
X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.
X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.
X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.
X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.
X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.
Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.
El Forge Altman Z-Score Related Terms
El Forge Altman Z-Score Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for El Forge's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
BOM:531144 vs CRS, ATI, MLI: Altman Z-Score Comparison
For the Metal Fabrication subindustry, El Forge's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
El Forge Altman Z-Score vs Industrial Products Industry
For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, El Forge's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where El Forge's Altman Z-Score falls into.
Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.
El Forge's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:
Z
=
1.2
*
X1
+
1.4
*
X2
+
3.3
*
X3
+
0.6
*
X4
+
1.0
*
X5
=
1.2
*
0.2299
+
1.4
*
-0.9821
+
3.3
*
0.0719
+
0.6
*
2.8947
+
1.0
*
1.9715
=
2.85
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.
El Forge (BOM:531144) has a Altman Z-Score of 2.85 as of Jul. 17, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on El Forge and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, El Forge ranks #1791 out of 3006 companies in the Industrial Products industry, placing it in the top 59.6%.
Is El Forge's Altman Z-Score too high?
El Forge's current Altman Z-Score is 2.85. The Industrial Products industry median Altman Z-Score is 3.32. El Forge's value of 2.85 is 14.2% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, El Forge ranks #1791 out of 3006 companies in the Industrial Products industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, El Forge has a GF Score™ of 62/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does El Forge's Altman Z-Score compare to CRS and ATI?
According to the Industrial Products industry distribution chart, El Forge ranks #1791 out of 3006 companies for Altman Z-Score. This places El Forge in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 3.32. El Forge's value of 2.85 is 14.2% below this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for an Industrial Products company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Industrial Products companies is 3.32, based on 3,006 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. El Forge's current Altman Z-Score of 2.85 is 14.2% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on El Forge and its competitors. For the Industrial Products industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 3.32 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. El Forge's current Altman Z-Score is 2.85. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is El Forge stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, El Forge (BOM:531144) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is ₹17.56, compared to a current price of ₹19.33 — trading 10.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 2.85 and 14.2% below the Industrial Products industry median of 3.32. El Forge's overall GF Score™ is 62/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For El Forge (BOM:531144), the current Altman Z-Score is 2.85 as of Jul. 17, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is El Forge (BOM:531144) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, El Forge stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of ₹19.33 is trading 10.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of ₹17.56.
GuruFocus considers El Forge to be Fairly Valued.
Key valuation signals for BOM:531144:
Altman Z-Score: 2.85
GF Value™: ₹17.56 vs. price of ₹19.33 (10.1% above fair value)
Industry Position: 14.2% below the Industrial Products median (#1791 of 3006)
No single metric tells the full story. See the BOM:531144 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
El Forge Ltd is a manufacturer of forged and semi-machined parts for both Automotive and non-automotive sectors. It is engaged in the business of manufacturing Rough Steel Forgings i.e., fuel injection forgings, steering rods, tie rods, engine and gear boxes, starter items etc. for automobile industry. The company's products include closed die forgings, light-duty crankshafts, connecting rods, rocker arms, transmission parts, wheel hubs, valve parts, claw pokes, brake parts, and socket for ball joint. Its segments are the Manufacture and sale of steel forgings, and Land and Development. The majority of the revenue is derived from the sale of steel forgings.
62GF Score
Get the complete analysis for BOM:531144
Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
Quick Browse
Personalize
Premium Gurus 
Create New Portfolio
BOM:531144 has been successfully added to your 
