Manufaturas de Brinquedos Estrela (BSP:ESTR4) Altman Z-Score: 0.49 (As of Jul. 02, 2026)


BSP:ESTR4 Manufaturas de Brinquedos Estrela SA BSP:ESTR4
48 GF Score
Price R$3.18
GF Value R$3.62
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 11 Warning Signs
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What is Manufaturas de Brinquedos Estrela Altman Z-Score?

Manufaturas de Brinquedos Estrela BSP:ESTR4 48 Altman Z-Score is 0.49 as of Jul. 02, 2026. GuruFocus rates BSP:ESTR4 with a GF Score™ of 48/100 and a GF Value™ of R$3.62 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 11 warning signs investors should review. Among 837 Travel & Leisure companies, Manufaturas de Brinquedos Estrela ranks worse than 82.92% on this metric.

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 0.5 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

Manufaturas de Brinquedos Estrela has a Altman Z-Score of 0.49, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Manufaturas de Brinquedos Estrela's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BSP:ESTR4' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -5.81   Med: -4.26   Max: 0.51
Current: 0.5

During the past 13 years, Manufaturas de Brinquedos Estrela's highest Altman Z-Score was 0.51. The lowest was -5.81. And the median was -4.26.


Manufaturas de Brinquedos Estrela  (BSP:ESTR4) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Manufaturas de Brinquedos Estrela Altman Z-Score Related Terms


Manufaturas de Brinquedos Estrela Altman Z-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Manufaturas de Brinquedos Estrela's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Manufaturas de Brinquedos Estrela Altman Z-Score Chart

Manufaturas de Brinquedos Estrela Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.65 -4.22 -4.04 -4.29 0.51

Manufaturas de Brinquedos Estrela Quarterly Data
Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -4.29 -4.43 -4.27 1.09 0.51

BSP:ESTR4 vs AS, HAS, LTH: Altman Z-Score Comparison

For the Leisure subindustry, Manufaturas de Brinquedos Estrela's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Manufaturas de Brinquedos Estrela Altman Z-Score vs Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Manufaturas de Brinquedos Estrela's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Manufaturas de Brinquedos Estrela's Altman Z-Score falls into.


BSP:ESTR4
48GF Score
Manufaturas de Brinquedos Estrela SA BSP:ESTR4
Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Manufaturas de Brinquedos Estrela Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Manufaturas de Brinquedos Estrela's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*-1.0548+1.4*-0.8741+3.3*0.7662+0.6*0.0443+1.0*0.4272
=0.49

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2025:
Total Assets was R$353.1 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R$122.6 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R$495.0 Mil.
Retained Earnings was R$-308.6 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -28.127 + 209.025 + -19.407 + -19.352 = R$142.1 Mil.
Interest Expense was -18.812 + -70.621 + -21.376 + -17.557 = R$-128.4 Mil.
Revenue was 42.087 + 50.831 + 28.687 + 29.206 = R$150.8 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was R$25.7 Mil.
Total Liabilities was R$579.7 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(122.622 - 495.019)/353.051
=-1.0548

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-308.593/353.051
=-0.8741

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(142.139 - -128.366)/353.051
=0.7662

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=25.706/579.705
=0.0443

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=150.811/353.051
=0.4272

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Manufaturas de Brinquedos Estrela has a Altman Z-Score of 0.49 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z-Score →
What does a Altman Z-Score of 0.49 mean?
Manufaturas de Brinquedos Estrela (BSP:ESTR4) has a Altman Z-Score of 0.49 as of Jul. 02, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Manufaturas de Brinquedos Estrela and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Manufaturas de Brinquedos Estrela ranks #694 out of 837 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, placing it in the top 82.9%.
Is Manufaturas de Brinquedos Estrela's Altman Z-Score too high?
Manufaturas de Brinquedos Estrela's current Altman Z-Score is 0.49. The Travel & Leisure industry median Altman Z-Score is 1.97. Manufaturas de Brinquedos Estrela's value of 0.49 is 75.1% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Manufaturas de Brinquedos Estrela ranks #694 out of 837 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Manufaturas de Brinquedos Estrela has a GF Score™ of 48/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Manufaturas de Brinquedos Estrela's Altman Z-Score compare to AS and HAS?
According to the Travel & Leisure industry distribution chart, Manufaturas de Brinquedos Estrela ranks #694 out of 837 companies for Altman Z-Score. This places Manufaturas de Brinquedos Estrela in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 1.97. Manufaturas de Brinquedos Estrela's value of 0.49 is 75.1% below this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Travel & Leisure company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Travel & Leisure companies is 1.97, based on 837 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Manufaturas de Brinquedos Estrela's current Altman Z-Score of 0.49 is 75.1% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Manufaturas de Brinquedos Estrela and its competitors. For the Travel & Leisure industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 1.97 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Manufaturas de Brinquedos Estrela's current Altman Z-Score is 0.49. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Manufaturas de Brinquedos Estrela stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Manufaturas de Brinquedos Estrela (BSP:ESTR4) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is R$3.62, compared to a current price of R$3.18 — trading 12.2% below its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 0.49 and 75.1% below the Travel & Leisure industry median of 1.97. Manufaturas de Brinquedos Estrela's overall GF Score™ is 48/100 with 11 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Manufaturas de Brinquedos Estrela (BSP:ESTR4), the current Altman Z-Score is 0.49 as of Jul. 02, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Manufaturas de Brinquedos Estrela (BSP:ESTR4) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Manufaturas de Brinquedos Estrela stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of R$3.18 is trading 12.2% below its estimated GF Value™ of R$3.62. GuruFocus considers Manufaturas de Brinquedos Estrela to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for BSP:ESTR4:

  • Altman Z-Score: 0.49
  • GF Value™: R$3.62 vs. price of R$3.18 (12.2% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 48/100 with 11 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 75.1% below the Travel & Leisure median (#694 of 837)

No single metric tells the full story. See the BSP:ESTR4 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Manufaturas de Brinquedos Estrela Business Description

Address Rua Gomes de Carvalho 1327 - 10th Floor, Sao Paulo, SP, BRA, 4547005
Manufaturas de Brinquedos Estrela SA manufactures and sells toys in Brazil and internationally. The company sells its products through online and physical stores. It manufactures and trades dolls, wooden toys, games, balls, radio-controlled helicopters and cars, railway models, play dough and toy cars.
48GF Score

Get the complete analysis for BSP:ESTR4

Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

R$3.18
Price
R$3.62
GF Value