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China Modern Dairy HoldingsCMDKF 57 Altman Z-Score is 0.58 as of Sep. 01, 2026, which is 13% below its 10-year median of 0.67. GuruFocus rates CMDKF with a GF Score™ of 57/100 and a GF Value™ of $0.14. The stock has 10 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,934 Consumer Packaged Goods companies, China Modern Dairy Holdings ranks worse than 89.04% on this metric.
The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.
Warning Sign:
Altman Z-score of 0.6 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.
China Modern Dairy Holdings has a Altman Z-Score of 0.58, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.
The zones of discrimination were as such:
When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.
The historical rank and industry rank for China Modern Dairy Holdings's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:
CMDKF'
s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.29 Med: 0.67 Max: 1.28
Current: 0.6
During the past 13 years, China Modern Dairy Holdings's highest Altman Z-Score was 1.28. The lowest was 0.29. And the median was 0.67.
China Modern Dairy Holdings (OTCPK:CMDKF) Altman Z-Score Explanation
X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.
X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.
X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.
X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.
X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
For the Farm Products subindustry, China Modern Dairy Holdings's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
China Modern Dairy Holdings Altman Z-Score vs Consumer Packaged Goods Industry
For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, China Modern Dairy Holdings's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where China Modern Dairy Holdings's Altman Z-Score falls into.
China Modern Dairy Holdings Altman Z-Score Calculation
Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.
China Modern Dairy Holdings (CMDKF) has a Altman Z-Score of 0.58 as of Sep. 01, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on China Modern Dairy Holdings and its competitors. This is 13% below median its historical median of 0.67. Over the past decade, China Modern Dairy Holdings' Altman Z-Score has ranged from 0.29 to 1.28. According to the industry distribution chart, China Modern Dairy Holdings ranks #1722 out of 1934 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, placing it in the top 89%.
Is China Modern Dairy Holdings' Altman Z-Score too high?
China Modern Dairy Holdings' current Altman Z-Score of 0.58 is 13% below median its 10-year median of 0.67. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.29 to a high of 1.28. The Consumer Packaged Goods industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.91. China Modern Dairy Holdings' value of 0.58 is 80% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, China Modern Dairy Holdings ranks #1722 out of 1934 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, China Modern Dairy Holdings has a GF Score™ of 57/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does China Modern Dairy Holdings' Altman Z-Score compare to ADM and BG?
According to the Consumer Packaged Goods industry distribution chart, China Modern Dairy Holdings ranks #1722 out of 1934 companies for Altman Z-Score. This places China Modern Dairy Holdings in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.91. China Modern Dairy Holdings' value of 0.58 is 80% below this benchmark. Historically, China Modern Dairy Holdings' own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 0.29 to 1.28 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 0.67 vs. the industry median of 2.91, China Modern Dairy Holdings has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Consumer Packaged Goods company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Consumer Packaged Goods companies is 2.91, based on 1,934 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. China Modern Dairy Holdings's current Altman Z-Score of 0.58 is 80% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on China Modern Dairy Holdings and its competitors. For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 2.91 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. China Modern Dairy Holdings's current Altman Z-Score is 0.58, which is 13% below median its own 10-year median of 0.67. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is China Modern Dairy Holdings stock overvalued right now?
China Modern Dairy Holdings (CMDKF) has a current Altman Z-Score of 0.58. The stock's GF Value™ is $0.14, compared to a current price of $0.22 — trading 57.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 0.58, which is 13% below median its 10-year median of 0.67 and 80% below the Consumer Packaged Goods industry median of 2.91. China Modern Dairy Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 57/100 with 10 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For China Modern Dairy Holdings (CMDKF), the current Altman Z-Score is 0.58 as of Sep. 01, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is China Modern Dairy Holdings (CMDKF) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, China Modern Dairy Holdings stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of $0.22 is trading 57.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of $0.14.
Key valuation signals for CMDKF:
Altman Z-Score: 0.58 (13% below median its 10-year median of 0.67)
GF Value™: $0.14 vs. price of $0.22 (57.1% above fair value)
Industry Position: 80% below the Consumer Packaged Goods median (#1722 of 1934)
No single metric tells the full story. See the CMDKF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
China Modern Dairy Holdings Ltd operates in the Chinese food industry. The business of the company includes the production of raw milk, and its revenue mainly depends on the sale of raw milk. The company produces and sells raw milk to customers for processing into dairy products, Liquid Milk, ice cream, formula milk and other dairy products business, which relates to its sale of liquid milk products. It also engaged in new business areas such as feed business, intelligent e-commerce platforms, and forage grass planting. The segments of the company are the Raw milk business and the integrated dairy farming solutions business. The company generates the majority of its revenue from the Raw milk business that engages in raising and breeding dairy cows to produce and sell raw milk.
57GF Score
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