AGF Management (FRA:A3J) Altman Z-Score: 2.87 (As of Sep. 01, 2026) — 44% Above Median

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

FRA:A3J AGF Management Ltd FRA:A3J
68 GF Score
Price €13.70
GF Value €7.97
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 8 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is AGF Management Altman Z-Score?

AGF Management FRA:A3J -1.44% 68 Altman Z-Score is 2.87 as of Sep. 01, 2026, which is 44% above its 10-year median of 1.99. GuruFocus rates FRA:A3J with a GF Score™ of 68/100 and a GF Value™ of €7.97 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 653 Asset Management companies, AGF Management ranks worse than 55.44% on this metric.

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 2.94 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

AGF Management has a Altman Z-Score of 2.87, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that AGF Management is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for AGF Management's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:A3J' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.26   Med: 1.99   Max: 2.94
Current: 2.94

During the past 13 years, AGF Management's highest Altman Z-Score was 2.94. The lowest was 1.26. And the median was 1.99.


AGF Management  (FRA:A3J) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


AGF Management Altman Z-Score Related Terms


AGF Management Altman Z-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for AGF Management's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

AGF Management Altman Z-Score Chart

AGF Management Annual Data
Trend Nov16 Nov17 Nov18 Nov19 Nov20 Nov21 Nov22 Nov23 Nov24 Nov25
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.09 1.97 2.10 2.08 2.32

AGF Management Quarterly Data
Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24 May24 Aug24 Nov24 Feb25 May25 Aug25 Nov25 Feb26 May26
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.06 2.11 2.32 2.83 2.58

FRA:A3J vs BLK, BX, KKR: Altman Z-Score Comparison

For the Asset Management subindustry, AGF Management's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


AGF Management Altman Z-Score vs Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, AGF Management's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where AGF Management's Altman Z-Score falls into.


FRA:A3J
68GF Score
AGF Management Ltd FRA:A3J
Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

AGF Management Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

AGF Management's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.0274+1.4*0.45+3.3*0.1003+0.6*2.5976+1.0*0.3204
=2.87

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in May. 2026:
Total Assets was €1,114.9 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €83.7 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €53.2 Mil.
Retained Earnings was €501.7 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 36.79 + 15.166 + 32.591 + 23.767 = €108.3 Mil.
Interest Expense was -0.95 + -0.838 + -0.766 + -0.958 = €-3.5 Mil.
Revenue was 91.949 + 89.078 + 89.31 + 86.844 = €357.2 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was €855.1 Mil.
Total Liabilities was €329.2 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(83.703 - 53.183)/1114.855
=0.0274

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=501.678/1114.855
=0.45

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(108.314 - -3.512)/1114.855
=0.1003

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=855.053/329.166
=2.5976

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=357.181/1114.855
=0.3204

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

AGF Management has a Altman Z-Score of 2.87 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z-Score →
What does a Altman Z-Score of 2.87 mean?
AGF Management (FRA:A3J) has a Altman Z-Score of 2.87 as of Sep. 01, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on AGF Management and its competitors. This is 44% above median its historical median of 1.99. Over the past decade, AGF Management's Altman Z-Score has ranged from 1.26 to 2.94. According to the industry distribution chart, AGF Management ranks #362 out of 653 companies in the Asset Management industry, placing it in the top 55.4%.
Is AGF Management's Altman Z-Score too high?
AGF Management's current Altman Z-Score of 2.87 is 44% above median its 10-year median of 1.99. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 1.26 to a high of 2.94. The Asset Management industry median Altman Z-Score is 3.59. AGF Management's value of 2.87 is 20.1% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, AGF Management ranks #362 out of 653 companies in the Asset Management industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, AGF Management has a GF Score™ of 68/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does AGF Management's Altman Z-Score compare to BLK and BX?
According to the Asset Management industry distribution chart, AGF Management ranks #362 out of 653 companies for Altman Z-Score. This places AGF Management in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 3.59. AGF Management's value of 2.87 is 20.1% below this benchmark. Historically, AGF Management's own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 1.26 to 2.94 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 1.99 vs. the industry median of 3.59, AGF Management has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for an Asset Management company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Asset Management companies is 3.59, based on 653 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. AGF Management's current Altman Z-Score of 2.87 is 20.1% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on AGF Management and its competitors. For the Asset Management industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 3.59 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. AGF Management's current Altman Z-Score is 2.87, which is 44% above median its own 10-year median of 1.99. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is AGF Management stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, AGF Management (FRA:A3J) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €7.97, compared to a current price of €13.70 — trading 71.9% above its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 2.87, which is 44% above median its 10-year median of 1.99 and 20.1% below the Asset Management industry median of 3.59. AGF Management's overall GF Score™ is 68/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For AGF Management (FRA:A3J), the current Altman Z-Score is 2.87 as of Sep. 01, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is AGF Management (FRA:A3J) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, AGF Management stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €13.70 is trading 71.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of €7.97. GuruFocus considers AGF Management to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for FRA:A3J:

  • Altman Z-Score: 2.87 (44% above median its 10-year median of 1.99)
  • GF Value™: €7.97 vs. price of €13.70 (71.9% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 68/100 with 8 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 20.1% below the Asset Management median (#362 of 653)

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:A3J stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


AGF Management Business Description

Other Exchanges AGFMF:USAAGF.B:Canada
Address 81 Bay Street, Suite 3900, CIBC SQUARE, Tower One, Toronto, ON, CAN, M5J 0G1
AGF Management is a Canadian-based independent asset manager. As of November 2025, the firm had CAD 60.4 billion in total assets under management with CAD 35.0 billion in retail mutual funds, CAD 9.5 billion in high net-worth private wealth, and the remaining in institutional, ETF, and private assets. AGF Management's funds are weighted toward equities with roughly three-quarters of the firm's retail AUM tied to equities.
68GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:A3J

Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€13.70
Price
€7.97
GF Value