Ninety One (FRA:L91) Altman Z-Score: 0.25 (As of Jun. 30, 2026) — 19% Below Median


FRA:L91 Ninety One Ltd FRA:L91
74 GF Score
Price €2.22
GF Value €2.12
! 7 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Ninety One Altman Z-Score?

Ninety One FRA:L91 -1.77% 74 Altman Z-Score is 0.25 as of Jun. 30, 2026, which is 19% below its 10-year median of 0.31. GuruFocus rates FRA:L91 with a GF Score™ of 74/100 and a GF Value™ of €2.12. The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 647 Asset Management companies, Ninety One ranks worse than 87.48% on this metric.

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 0.25 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

Ninety One has a Altman Z-Score of 0.25, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Ninety One's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:L91' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.25   Med: 0.31   Max: 0.35
Current: 0.25

During the past 10 years, Ninety One's highest Altman Z-Score was 0.35. The lowest was 0.25. And the median was 0.31.


Ninety One  (FRA:L91) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Ninety One Altman Z-Score Related Terms


Ninety One Altman Z-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Ninety One's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Ninety One Altman Z-Score Chart

Ninety One Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.33 0.31 0.29 0.26 0.26

Ninety One Semi-Annual Data
Mar17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23 Mar24 Sep24 Mar25 Sep25 Mar26
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.29 0.00 0.26 0.00 0.26

FRA:L91 vs BLK, BX, KKR: Altman Z-Score Comparison

For the Asset Management subindustry, Ninety One's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ninety One Altman Z-Score vs Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, Ninety One's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ninety One's Altman Z-Score falls into.


FRA:L91
74GF Score
Ninety One Ltd FRA:L91
Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Ninety One Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Ninety One's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.0269+1.4*0.0263+3.3*0.0142+0.6*0.1355+1.0*0.0513
=0.25

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026:
Total Assets was €17,157.3 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €16,576.9 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €16,115.8 Mil.
Retained Earnings was €451.3 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was €239.3 Mil.
Interest Expense was €-4.0 Mil.
Revenue was €880.3 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was €2,215.1 Mil.
Total Liabilities was €16,347.0 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(16576.86 - 16115.757)/17157.333
=0.0269

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=451.299/17157.333
=0.0263

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(239.317 - -4.037)/17157.333
=0.0142

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=2215.064/16347.001
=0.1355

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=880.339/17157.333
=0.0513

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Ninety One has a Altman Z-Score of 0.25 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z-Score →
What does a Altman Z-Score of 0.25 mean?
Ninety One (FRA:L91) has a Altman Z-Score of 0.25 as of Jun. 30, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Ninety One and its competitors. This is 19% below median its historical median of 0.31. Over the past decade, Ninety One's Altman Z-Score has ranged from 0.25 to 0.35. According to the industry distribution chart, Ninety One ranks #566 out of 647 companies in the Asset Management industry, placing it in the top 87.5%.
Is Ninety One's Altman Z-Score too high?
Ninety One's current Altman Z-Score of 0.25 is 19% below median its 10-year median of 0.31. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.25 to a high of 0.35. The Asset Management industry median Altman Z-Score is 3.51. Ninety One's value of 0.25 is 92.9% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Ninety One ranks #566 out of 647 companies in the Asset Management industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Ninety One has a GF Score™ of 74/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Ninety One's Altman Z-Score compare to BLK and BX?
According to the Asset Management industry distribution chart, Ninety One ranks #566 out of 647 companies for Altman Z-Score. This places Ninety One in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 3.51. Ninety One's value of 0.25 is 92.9% below this benchmark. Historically, Ninety One's own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 0.25 to 0.35 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 0.31 vs. the industry median of 3.51, Ninety One has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for an Asset Management company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Asset Management companies is 3.51, based on 647 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Ninety One's current Altman Z-Score of 0.25 is 92.9% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Ninety One and its competitors. For the Asset Management industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 3.51 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Ninety One's current Altman Z-Score is 0.25, which is 19% below median its own 10-year median of 0.31. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Ninety One stock overvalued right now?
Ninety One (FRA:L91) has a current Altman Z-Score of 0.25. The stock's GF Value™ is €2.12, compared to a current price of €2.22 — trading 4.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 0.25, which is 19% below median its 10-year median of 0.31 and 92.9% below the Asset Management industry median of 3.51. Ninety One's overall GF Score™ is 74/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Ninety One (FRA:L91), the current Altman Z-Score is 0.25 as of Jun. 30, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Ninety One (FRA:L91) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Ninety One stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €2.22 is trading 4.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of €2.12.

Key valuation signals for FRA:L91:

  • Altman Z-Score: 0.25 (19% below median its 10-year median of 0.31)
  • GF Value™: €2.12 vs. price of €2.22 (4.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 74/100 with 7 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 92.9% below the Asset Management median (#566 of 647)

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:L91 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Ninety One Business Description

Other Exchanges NY1:South Africa
Address 36 Hans Strijdom Avenue, Foreshore, Cape Town, WC, ZAF, 8001
Ninety One Ltd is an asset manager. The company provides a range of differentiated strategies managed by its specialist investment teams, providing access to a diverse range of asset classes and regions. It serves its client base via five regional teams namely Africa, the United Kingdom, Asia Pacific, the Americas and Europe and across two distribution channels Institutional and Advisor. Institutional clients include private and public sector pension funds, sovereign wealth funds, insurers, corporates, foundations and central banks, while Advisor clients include large retail groups, wealth managers, private banks and intermediaries serving individual investors.
74GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:L91

Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€2.22
Price
€2.12
GF Value