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Fosun International (HKSE:00656) Altman Z-Score : 0.46 (As of Apr. 29, 2024)


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What is Fosun International Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 0.34 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

Fosun International has a Altman Z-Score of 0.46, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Fosun International's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:00656' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.34   Med: 0.53   Max: 0.89
Current: 0.34

During the past 13 years, Fosun International's highest Altman Z-Score was 0.89. The lowest was 0.34. And the median was 0.53.


Fosun International Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Fosun International's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Fosun International Altman Z-Score Chart

Fosun International Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.49 0.41 0.40 0.36 -

Fosun International Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.40 - 0.36 - -

Competitive Comparison of Fosun International's Altman Z-Score

For the Conglomerates subindustry, Fosun International's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Fosun International's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Conglomerates Industry

For the Conglomerates industry and Industrials sector, Fosun International's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Fosun International's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Fosun International Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Fosun International's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*-0.0141+1.4*0.0852+3.3*0.0247+0.6*0.058+1.0*0.2452
=0.46

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was HK$884,197 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$311,314 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$323,746 Mil.
Retained Earnings was HK$75,374 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was HK$8,610 Mil.
Interest Expense was HK$-13,207 Mil.
Revenue was HK$216,787 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was HK$38,082 Mil.
Total Liabilities was HK$656,063 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(311314.326 - 323745.621)/884197.276
=-0.0141

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=75373.74/884197.276
=0.0852

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(8609.907 - -13206.517)/884197.276
=0.0247

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=38082.224/656062.522
=0.058

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=216787.314/884197.276
=0.2452

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Fosun International has a Altman Z-Score of 0.46 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Fosun International  (HKSE:00656) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Fosun International Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Fosun International (HKSE:00656) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
3 Garden Road, Room 808, Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Building, Central, Hong Kong, HKG
Fosun International Ltd is an investment holding company. The company's operating segments include Health; Happiness; Insurance; Asset Management and Intelligent Manufacturing. It generates maximum revenue from the Happiness segment. The Wealth Segment includes two major sub-segments: Insurance and Asset Management. The Happiness segment comprises principally the operation and investments in tourism and leisure, fashion consumer, and lifestyle industries. Geographically, it derives a majority of its revenue from the Chinese Mainland.

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