MS Group Holdings (HKSE:01451) Altman Z-Score: 4.59 (As of Aug. 06, 2026) — Near Median

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HKSE:01451 MS Group Holdings Ltd HKSE:01451
59 GF Score
Price HK$1.21
GF Value HK$0.87
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 3 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is MS Group Holdings Altman Z-Score?

MS Group Holdings HKSE:01451 +20.50% 59 Altman Z-Score is 4.59 as of Aug. 06, 2026, which is 2% below its 10-year median of 4.68. GuruFocus rates HKSE:01451 with a GF Score™ of 59/100 and a GF Value™ of HK$0.87 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 392 Packaging & Containers companies, MS Group Holdings ranks better than 75.51% on this metric.

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Good Sign:

Altman Z-score of 4.18 is strong.

MS Group Holdings has a Altman Z-Score of 4.59, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for MS Group Holdings's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:01451' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 3.91   Med: 4.68   Max: 5.3
Current: 4.18

During the past 11 years, MS Group Holdings's highest Altman Z-Score was 5.30. The lowest was 3.91. And the median was 4.68.


MS Group Holdings  (HKSE:01451) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


MS Group Holdings Altman Z-Score Related Terms


MS Group Holdings Altman Z-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for MS Group Holdings's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

MS Group Holdings Altman Z-Score Chart

MS Group Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.16 5.15 5.30 5.28 4.62

MS Group Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Dec15 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.30 0.00 5.28 0.00 4.62

HKSE:01451 vs SW, PKG, IP: Altman Z-Score Comparison

For the Packaging & Containers subindustry, MS Group Holdings's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


MS Group Holdings Altman Z-Score vs Packaging & Containers Industry

For the Packaging & Containers industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, MS Group Holdings's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where MS Group Holdings's Altman Z-Score falls into.


HKSE:01451
59GF Score
MS Group Holdings Ltd HKSE:01451
Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

MS Group Holdings Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

MS Group Holdings's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.5833+1.4*0.4681+3.3*0.1215+0.6*2.9446+1.0*1.0639
=4.59

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2025:
Total Assets was HK$274.0 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$236.6 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$76.8 Mil.
Retained Earnings was HK$128.3 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was HK$32.6 Mil.
Interest Expense was HK$-0.7 Mil.
Revenue was HK$291.5 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was HK$246.3 Mil.
Total Liabilities was HK$83.6 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(236.612 - 76.803)/273.992
=0.5833

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=128.265/273.992
=0.4681

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(32.605 - -0.674)/273.992
=0.1215

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=246.302/83.646
=2.9446

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=291.503/273.992
=1.0639

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

MS Group Holdings has a Altman Z-Score of 4.59 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z-Score →
What does a Altman Z-Score of 4.59 mean?
MS Group Holdings (HKSE:01451) has a Altman Z-Score of 4.59 as of Aug. 06, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on MS Group Holdings and its competitors. This is near median its historical median of 4.68. Over the past decade, MS Group Holdings' Altman Z-Score has ranged from 3.91 to 5.30. According to the industry distribution chart, MS Group Holdings ranks #96 out of 392 companies in the Packaging & Containers industry, placing it in the top 24.5%.
Is MS Group Holdings' Altman Z-Score too high?
MS Group Holdings' current Altman Z-Score of 4.59 is near median its 10-year median of 4.68. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 3.91 to a high of 5.30. The Packaging & Containers industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.64. MS Group Holdings' value of 4.59 is 73.9% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, MS Group Holdings ranks #96 out of 392 companies in the Packaging & Containers industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, MS Group Holdings has a GF Score™ of 59/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does MS Group Holdings' Altman Z-Score compare to SW and PKG?
According to the Packaging & Containers industry distribution chart, MS Group Holdings ranks #96 out of 392 companies for Altman Z-Score. This places MS Group Holdings in the top 25% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.64. MS Group Holdings' value of 4.59 is 73.9% above this benchmark. Historically, MS Group Holdings' own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 3.91 to 5.30 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 4.68 vs. the industry median of 2.64, MS Group Holdings has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Packaging & Containers company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Packaging & Containers companies is 2.64, based on 392 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. MS Group Holdings's current Altman Z-Score of 4.59 is 73.9% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on MS Group Holdings and its competitors. For the Packaging & Containers industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 2.64 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. MS Group Holdings's current Altman Z-Score is 4.59, which is near median its own 10-year median of 4.68. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is MS Group Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, MS Group Holdings (HKSE:01451) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is HK$0.87, compared to a current price of HK$1.21 — trading 38.5% above its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 4.59, which is near median its 10-year median of 4.68 and 73.9% above the Packaging & Containers industry median of 2.64. MS Group Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 59/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For MS Group Holdings (HKSE:01451), the current Altman Z-Score is 4.59 as of Aug. 06, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is MS Group Holdings (HKSE:01451) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, MS Group Holdings stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of HK$1.21 is trading 38.5% above its estimated GF Value™ of HK$0.87. GuruFocus considers MS Group Holdings to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for HKSE:01451:

  • Altman Z-Score: 4.59 (near median its 10-year median of 4.68)
  • GF Value™: HK$0.87 vs. price of HK$1.21 (38.5% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 59/100 with 3 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 73.9% above the Packaging & Containers median (#96 of 392)

No single metric tells the full story. See the HKSE:01451 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


MS Group Holdings Business Description

Address 9 Sheung Yuet Road, Room 907, 9th Floor, Enterprise Square Tower 1, Kowloon Bay, Hong Kong, HKG
MS Group Holdings Ltd is engaged in the manufacture and sales of plastic bottles and cups for infants and toddlers and plastic sports and stainless steel sports bottles. The segments of the company include the OEM Business, which comprises the production and sales of plastic and stainless steel sports bottles and cups for infants and toddlers and plastic sports bottles on an OEM basis predominately for the overseas markets; and the Yo Yo Monkey Business, which comprises the production and sales of infant and toddler products, particularly plastic bottles and cups, under the brand developed by the group and known as Yo Yo Monkey, principally for the PRC market. It derives majority of the revenue from the OEM Business. The group derives maximum revenue from USA.
59GF Score

Get the complete analysis for HKSE:01451

Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

HK$1.21
Price
HK$0.87
GF Value