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Hospital of ChinaHKSE:03869 73 Altman Z-Score is 0.83 as of Sep. 01, 2026, which is 131% above its 10-year median of 0.36. GuruFocus rates HKSE:03869 with a GF Score™ of 73/100 and a GF Value™ of HK$5.53 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 657 Healthcare Providers & Services companies, Hospital of China ranks worse than 76.86% on this metric.
The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.
Warning Sign:
Altman Z-score of 0.83 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.
Hospital of China has a Altman Z-Score of 0.83, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.
The zones of discrimination were as such:
When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.
The historical rank and industry rank for Hospital of China's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:
HKSE:03869'
s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -1.01 Med: 0.36 Max: 2.72
Current: 0.83
During the past 12 years, Hospital of China's highest Altman Z-Score was 2.72. The lowest was -1.01. And the median was 0.36.
Hospital of China (HKSE:03869) Altman Z-Score Explanation
X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.
X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.
X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.
X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.
X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.
Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.
Hospital of China Altman Z-Score Related Terms
Hospital of China Altman Z-Score Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Hospital of China's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
HKSE:03869 vs HCA, THC, EHC: Altman Z-Score Comparison
For the Medical Care Facilities subindustry, Hospital of China's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Hospital of China Altman Z-Score vs Healthcare Providers & Services Industry
For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry and Healthcare sector, Hospital of China's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Hospital of China's Altman Z-Score falls into.
Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.
Hospital of China's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:
Z
=
1.2
*
X1
+
1.4
*
X2
+
3.3
*
X3
+
0.6
*
X4
+
1.0
*
X5
=
1.2
*
0.1631
+
1.4
*
-0.3169
+
3.3
*
0.112
+
0.6
*
0.2263
+
1.0
*
0.5709
=
0.83
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.
Hospital of China (HKSE:03869) has a Altman Z-Score of 0.83 as of Sep. 01, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Hospital of China and its competitors. This is 131% above median its historical median of 0.36. According to the industry distribution chart, Hospital of China ranks #505 out of 657 companies in the Healthcare Providers & Services industry, placing it in the top 76.9%.
Is Hospital of China's Altman Z-Score too high?
Hospital of China's current Altman Z-Score of 0.83 is 131% above median its 10-year median of 0.36. The Healthcare Providers & Services industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.41. Hospital of China's value of 0.83 is 65.6% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Hospital of China ranks #505 out of 657 companies in the Healthcare Providers & Services industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Hospital of China has a GF Score™ of 73/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Hospital of China's Altman Z-Score compare to HCA and THC?
According to the Healthcare Providers & Services industry distribution chart, Hospital of China ranks #505 out of 657 companies for Altman Z-Score. This places Hospital of China in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.41. Hospital of China's value of 0.83 is 65.6% below this benchmark. While the company's 10-year median is 0.36 vs. the industry median of 2.41, Hospital of China has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Healthcare Providers & Services company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Healthcare Providers & Services companies is 2.41, based on 657 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Hospital of China's current Altman Z-Score of 0.83 is 65.6% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Hospital of China and its competitors. For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 2.41 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Hospital of China's current Altman Z-Score is 0.83, which is 131% above median its own 10-year median of 0.36. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Hospital of China stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Hospital of China (HKSE:03869) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is HK$5.53, compared to a current price of HK$3.40 — trading 38.5% below its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 0.83, which is 131% above median its 10-year median of 0.36 and 65.6% below the Healthcare Providers & Services industry median of 2.41. Hospital of China's overall GF Score™ is 73/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Hospital of China (HKSE:03869), the current Altman Z-Score is 0.83 as of Sep. 01, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Hospital of China (HKSE:03869) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Hospital of China stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of HK$3.40 is trading 38.5% below its estimated GF Value™ of HK$5.53.
GuruFocus considers Hospital of China to be Possible Value Trap.
Key valuation signals for HKSE:03869:
Altman Z-Score: 0.83 (131% above median its 10-year median of 0.36)
GF Value™: HK$5.53 vs. price of HK$3.40 (38.5% below fair value)
Industry Position: 65.6% below the Healthcare Providers & Services median (#505 of 657)
No single metric tells the full story. See the HKSE:03869 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Hospital Corporation of China Ltd is an investment holding company that operates and manages hospitals in the People's Republic of China. In addition to offering hospital management services, it also provides supply chain services, other ancillary services, and sells pharmaceutical products. The company has three operating segments, namely, Hospital management services, General hospital services, and the sale of pharmaceutical products. The General Hospital services segment is the primary revenue generator for the company. All the company's revenue is generates from PRC.
73GF Score
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