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Ying Kee Tea House Group (HKSE:08241) Altman Z-Score : -0.68 (As of Dec. 14, 2024)


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What is Ying Kee Tea House Group Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of -0.49 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

Ying Kee Tea House Group has a Altman Z-Score of -0.68, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Ying Kee Tea House Group's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:08241' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -0.49   Med: 0.38   Max: 18.55
Current: -0.49

During the past 9 years, Ying Kee Tea House Group's highest Altman Z-Score was 18.55. The lowest was -0.49. And the median was 0.38.


Ying Kee Tea House Group Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Ying Kee Tea House Group's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Ying Kee Tea House Group Altman Z-Score Chart

Ying Kee Tea House Group Annual Data
Trend Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only 0.38 0.58 0.24 0.22 -0.43

Ying Kee Tea House Group Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Mar24 Sep24
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.22 0.26 -0.02 -0.43 -

Competitive Comparison of Ying Kee Tea House Group's Altman Z-Score

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Ying Kee Tea House Group's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ying Kee Tea House Group's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Ying Kee Tea House Group's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ying Kee Tea House Group's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Ying Kee Tea House Group Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Ying Kee Tea House Group's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*-0.1504+1.4*-0.558+3.3*-0.041+0.6*0.4674+1.0*0.1341
=-0.68

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Sep. 2024:
Total Assets was HK$100.60 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$11.82 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$26.94 Mil.
Retained Earnings was HK$-56.13 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 0 + 0 + -3.376 + -2.925 = HK$-6.30 Mil.
Interest Expense was 0 + 0 + -1.096 + -1.078 = HK$-2.17 Mil.
Revenue was 0 + 0 + 6.449 + 7.04 = HK$13.49 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was HK$47.02 Mil.
Total Liabilities was HK$100.59 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(11.815 - 26.943)/100.599
=-0.1504

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-56.132/100.599
=-0.558

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-6.301 - -2.174)/100.599
=-0.041

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=47.015/100.586
=0.4674

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=13.489/100.599
=0.1341

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Ying Kee Tea House Group has a Altman Z-Score of -0.68 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Ying Kee Tea House Group  (HKSE:08241) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Ying Kee Tea House Group Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Ying Kee Tea House Group Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
5 Fung Yip Street, 8th Floor, Wah Shing Centre, Siu Sai Wan, Hong Kong, HKG
Ying Kee Tea House Group Ltd provides variety of Chinese tea leaves broadly categories into Pu-erh Tea, Oolong Tea, Fragrant tea, Green Tea, White Tea, Old Luk On Tea, and Black Tea. It also offers teawares and tea gift sets. The firm operates in a single segment and generates revenue from sales of tea products.
Executives
Chan King Chi 2202 Interest of your spouse
Chan Kun Yuen 2101 Beneficial owner
Chan Kwong Yuen 2101 Beneficial owner
Chan Shu Yuen 2101 Beneficial owner
Chan Tat Yuen 2101 Beneficial owner
Chu Min 2202 Interest of your spouse
Ng Wai Lam Lana Zoe 2202 Interest of your spouse
Po Miu Kuen Tammy 2202 Interest of your spouse
Coastal Lion Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Profit Ocean Enterprises Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Sky King Global Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Tri-luck Investments Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Wealth City Global Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you

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