Chemring GroupLSE:CHG +0.96%85 Altman Z-Score is 3.11 as of Jul. 04, 2026, which is 3% above its 10-year median of 3.02. GuruFocus rates LSE:CHG with a GF Score™ of 85/100 and a GF Value™ of £4.32 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 337 Aerospace & Defense companies, Chemring Group ranks worse than 58.75% on this metric.
The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.
Good Sign:
Altman Z-score of 3.11 is strong.
Chemring Group has a Altman Z-Score of 3.11, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z-Score is strong.
The zones of discrimination were as such:
When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.
The historical rank and industry rank for Chemring Group's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:
LSE:CHG'
s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.78 Med: 3.02 Max: 4.07
Current: 3.11
During the past 13 years, Chemring Group's highest Altman Z-Score was 4.07. The lowest was 1.78. And the median was 3.02.
Chemring Group (LSE:CHG) Altman Z-Score Explanation
X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.
X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.
X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.
X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.
X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.
Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.
Chemring Group Altman Z-Score Related Terms
Chemring Group Altman Z-Score Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Chemring Group's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
LSE:CHG vs SPCX, GE, RTX: Altman Z-Score Comparison
For the Aerospace & Defense subindustry, Chemring Group's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Chemring Group Altman Z-Score vs Aerospace & Defense Industry
For the Aerospace & Defense industry and Industrials sector, Chemring Group's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Chemring Group's Altman Z-Score falls into.
Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.
Chemring Group's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:
Z
=
1.2
*
X1
+
1.4
*
X2
+
3.3
*
X3
+
0.6
*
X4
+
1.0
*
X5
=
1.2
*
0.1511
+
1.4
*
0.091
+
3.3
*
0.085
+
0.6
*
3.2476
+
1.0
*
0.5764
=
3.11
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.
Chemring Group (LSE:CHG) has a Altman Z-Score of 3.11 as of Jul. 04, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Chemring Group and its competitors. This is near median its historical median of 3.02. Over the past decade, Chemring Group's Altman Z-Score has ranged from 1.78 to 4.07. According to the industry distribution chart, Chemring Group ranks #198 out of 337 companies in the Aerospace & Defense industry, placing it in the top 58.8%.
Is Chemring Group's Altman Z-Score too high?
Chemring Group's current Altman Z-Score of 3.11 is near median its 10-year median of 3.02. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 1.78 to a high of 4.07. The Aerospace & Defense industry median Altman Z-Score is 3.48. Chemring Group's value of 3.11 is 10.6% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Chemring Group ranks #198 out of 337 companies in the Aerospace & Defense industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Chemring Group has a GF Score™ of 85/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Chemring Group's Altman Z-Score compare to SPCX and GE?
According to the Aerospace & Defense industry distribution chart, Chemring Group ranks #198 out of 337 companies for Altman Z-Score. This places Chemring Group in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 3.48. Chemring Group's value of 3.11 is 10.6% below this benchmark. Historically, Chemring Group's own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 1.78 to 4.07 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 3.02 vs. the industry median of 3.48, Chemring Group has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for an Aerospace & Defense company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Aerospace & Defense companies is 3.48, based on 337 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Chemring Group's current Altman Z-Score of 3.11 is 10.6% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Chemring Group and its competitors. For the Aerospace & Defense industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 3.48 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Chemring Group's current Altman Z-Score is 3.11, which is near median its own 10-year median of 3.02. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Chemring Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Chemring Group (LSE:CHG) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is £4.32, compared to a current price of £5.78 — trading 33.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 3.11, which is near median its 10-year median of 3.02 and 10.6% below the Aerospace & Defense industry median of 3.48. Chemring Group's overall GF Score™ is 85/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Chemring Group (LSE:CHG), the current Altman Z-Score is 3.11 as of Jul. 04, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Chemring Group (LSE:CHG) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Chemring Group stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of £5.78 is trading 33.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of £4.32.
GuruFocus considers Chemring Group to be Significantly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for LSE:CHG:
Altman Z-Score: 3.11 (near median its 10-year median of 3.02)
GF Value™: £4.32 vs. price of £5.78 (33.7% above fair value)
Industry Position: 10.6% below the Aerospace & Defense median (#198 of 337)
No single metric tells the full story. See the LSE:CHG stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Chemring Group PLC is a defense technology company. The company's operating segment include: i) Countermeasures and Energetics segment: It is engaged in the development and manufacturing of expendable countermeasures for air and sea platforms, cartridge/propellant actuated devices, pyrotechnic devices for satellite launch and deployment, missile components, propellants, separation sub-systems, actuators, and energetic materials, ii) Sensors and Information: it is engaged in the development and manufacturing of electronic countermeasures, chemical and biological threat detection equipment, and explosive hazard detection (EHD) equipment. It generated the majority of the revenue from the Countermeasures and Energetics segment. Geographically, the maximum revenue is generated from the USA.
85GF Score
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