LUGDF (Lundin Gold) Altman Z-Score: 20.72 (As of Jun. 26, 2026) — 760% Above Median


LUGDF Lundin Gold Inc LUGDF
92 GF Score
Price $53.82
GF Value $46.44
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 1 Warning Sign
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What is Lundin Gold Altman Z-Score?

Lundin Gold LUGDF +3.98% 92 Altman Z-Score is 20.72 as of Jun. 26, 2026, which is 760% above its 10-year median of 2.41. GuruFocus rates LUGDF with a GF Score™ of 92/100 and a GF Value™ of $46.44 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review. Among 790 Metals & Mining companies, Lundin Gold ranks better than 92.15% on this metric.

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Good Sign:

Altman Z-score of 21.83 is strong.

Lundin Gold has a Altman Z-Score of 20.72, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Lundin Gold's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

LUGDF' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.16   Med: 2.41   Max: 39.7
Current: 21.83

During the past 13 years, Lundin Gold's highest Altman Z-Score was 39.70. The lowest was 0.16. And the median was 2.41.


Lundin Gold  (OTCPK:LUGDF) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Lundin Gold Altman Z-Score Related Terms


Lundin Gold Altman Z-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Lundin Gold's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Lundin Gold Altman Z-Score Chart

Lundin Gold Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.23 2.47 4.78 12.67 30.65

Lundin Gold Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 17.22 26.50 32.03 30.65 26.92

LUGDF vs NEM, AU: Altman Z-Score Comparison

For the Gold subindustry, Lundin Gold's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Lundin Gold Altman Z-Score vs Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Lundin Gold's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Lundin Gold's Altman Z-Score falls into.


LUGDF
92GF Score
Lundin Gold Inc LUGDF
Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Lundin Gold Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Lundin Gold's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.3126+1.4*0.1837+3.3*0.7126+0.6*27.7442+1.0*1.0893
=20.72

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026:
Total Assets was $1,830 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,027 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $455 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $336 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 397.334 + 334.121 + 284.163 + 288.696 = $1,304 Mil.
Interest Expense was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = $0 Mil.
Revenue was 567.38 + 526.596 + 447.119 + 452.88 = $1,994 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $12,978 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $468 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(1027.369 - 455.259)/1830.438
=0.3126

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=336.194/1830.438
=0.1837

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(1304.314 - 0)/1830.438
=0.7126

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=12977.923/467.771
=27.7442

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=1993.975/1830.438
=1.0893

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Lundin Gold has a Altman Z-Score of 20.72 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z-Score →
What does a Altman Z-Score of 20.72 mean?
Lundin Gold (LUGDF) has a Altman Z-Score of 20.72 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Lundin Gold and its competitors. This is 760% above median its historical median of 2.41. Over the past decade, Lundin Gold's Altman Z-Score has ranged from 0.16 to 39.70. According to the industry distribution chart, Lundin Gold ranks #62 out of 790 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, placing it in the top 7.8%.
Is Lundin Gold's Altman Z-Score too high?
Lundin Gold's current Altman Z-Score of 20.72 is 760% above median its 10-year median of 2.41. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.16 to a high of 39.70. The Metals & Mining industry median Altman Z-Score is 3.43. Lundin Gold's value of 20.72 is 504.1% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Lundin Gold ranks #62 out of 790 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Lundin Gold has a GF Score™ of 92/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Lundin Gold's Altman Z-Score compare to NEM and AU?
According to the Metals & Mining industry distribution chart, Lundin Gold ranks #62 out of 790 companies for Altman Z-Score. This places Lundin Gold in the top 8% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 3.43. Lundin Gold's value of 20.72 is 504.1% above this benchmark. Historically, Lundin Gold's own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 0.16 to 39.70 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 2.41 vs. the industry median of 3.43, Lundin Gold has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Metals & Mining company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Metals & Mining companies is 3.43, based on 790 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Lundin Gold's current Altman Z-Score of 20.72 is 504.1% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Lundin Gold and its competitors. For the Metals & Mining industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 3.43 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Lundin Gold's current Altman Z-Score is 20.72, which is 760% above median its own 10-year median of 2.41. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Lundin Gold stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Lundin Gold (LUGDF) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $46.44, compared to a current price of $53.82 — trading 15.9% above its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 20.72, which is 760% above median its 10-year median of 2.41 and 504.1% above the Metals & Mining industry median of 3.43. Lundin Gold's overall GF Score™ is 92/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Lundin Gold (LUGDF), the current Altman Z-Score is 20.72 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Lundin Gold (LUGDF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Lundin Gold stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $53.82 is trading 15.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of $46.44. GuruFocus considers Lundin Gold to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for LUGDF:

  • Altman Z-Score: 20.72 (760% above median its 10-year median of 2.41)
  • GF Value™: $46.44 vs. price of $53.82 (15.9% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 92/100 with 1 warning sign
  • Industry Position: 504.1% above the Metals & Mining median (#62 of 790)

No single metric tells the full story. See the LUGDF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Lundin Gold Business Description

Address 1055 Dunsmuir Street, Suite 2800, Four Bentall Centre, Po Box 49225, Vancouver, BC, CAN, V7X 1L2
Lundin Gold Inc is a Canada based company focused on its Fruta del Norte gold operation and developing its portfolio of mineral concessions in Ecuador. The Fruta del Norte deposit is located within long copper-gold metallogenic sub-province located in the Cordillera del Condor region in southeastern Ecuador. The company[s primary business activity is the Fruta del Norte operating mine in Ecuador which derives majority of its revenues.
92GF Score

Get the complete analysis for LUGDF

Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$53.82
Price
$46.44
GF Value