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Aptiv (MEX:APTV) Altman Z-Score : 2.08 (As of Dec. 14, 2024)


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What is Aptiv Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 2.17 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

Aptiv has a Altman Z-Score of 2.08, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Aptiv is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Aptiv's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:APTV' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.17   Med: 3.08   Max: 4.6
Current: 2.17

During the past 13 years, Aptiv's highest Altman Z-Score was 4.60. The lowest was 2.17. And the median was 3.08.


Aptiv Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Aptiv's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Aptiv Altman Z-Score Chart

Aptiv Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.34 3.98 4.57 2.68 2.87

Aptiv Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.03 2.87 2.71 2.61 2.29

Competitive Comparison of Aptiv's Altman Z-Score

For the Auto Parts subindustry, Aptiv's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Aptiv's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Aptiv's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Aptiv's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Aptiv Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Aptiv's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.1164+1.4*0.2719+3.3*0.0896+0.6*0.8988+1.0*0.7238
=2.08

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Sep. 2024:
Total Assets was MXN487,650 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN171,069 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN114,283 Mil.
Retained Earnings was MXN132,594 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 8013.952 + 18833.066 + 6124.018 + 5278.991 = MXN38,250 Mil.
Interest Expense was -1988.72 + -1172.487 + -1078.757 + -1205.172 = MXN-5,445 Mil.
Revenue was 95576.716 + 92534.84 + 81338.246 + 83496.326 = MXN352,946 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was MXN275,513 Mil.
Total Liabilities was MXN306,539 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(171069.327 - 114282.501)/487649.97
=0.1164

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=132594.48/487649.97
=0.2719

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(38250.027 - -5445.136)/487649.97
=0.0896

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=275512.928/306538.591
=0.8988

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=352946.128/487649.97
=0.7238

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Aptiv has a Altman Z-Score of 2.08 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Aptiv  (MEX:APTV) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Aptiv Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Aptiv Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
5 Hanover Quay, Grand Canal Dock, Dublin, IRL, D02 VY79
Aptiv's signal and power solutions segment supplies components and systems that make up a vehicle's electrical system, including wiring assemblies and harnesses, connectors, electrical centers, and hybrid electrical systems. The advanced safety and user experience segment provides body controls, infotainment and connectivity systems, passive and active safety electronics, advanced driver-assist technologies, and displays, as well as the development of software for these systems. In 2023, Aptiv's top 10 customers accounted for 54% of revenue, all of which were less than 10%. Historically, General Motors, Stellantis, Ford, and Volkswagen, have been the firms largest customers. North America, Europe, and Asia represented approximately 37%, 33%, and 28% of total 2023 revenue, respectively.