Burlington Stores (MEX:BURL) Altman Z-Score: 3.53 (As of Jun. 25, 2026) — 14% Above Median


MEX:BURL Burlington Stores Inc MEX:BURL
77 GF Score
Price MXN5,539.22
GF Value MXN4,780.30
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 4 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Burlington Stores Altman Z-Score?

Burlington Stores MEX:BURL 77 Altman Z-Score is 3.53 as of Jun. 25, 2026, which is 14% above its 10-year median of 3.10. GuruFocus rates MEX:BURL with a GF Score™ of 77/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN4,780.30 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,118 Retail - Cyclical companies, Burlington Stores ranks better than 63.69% on this metric.

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Good Sign:

Altman Z-score of 3.49 is strong.

Burlington Stores has a Altman Z-Score of 3.53, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Burlington Stores's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:BURL' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.98   Med: 3.1   Max: 5.17
Current: 3.49

During the past 13 years, Burlington Stores's highest Altman Z-Score was 5.17. The lowest was 1.98. And the median was 3.10.


Burlington Stores  (MEX:BURL) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Burlington Stores Altman Z-Score Related Terms


Burlington Stores Altman Z-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Burlington Stores's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Burlington Stores Altman Z-Score Chart

Burlington Stores Annual Data
Trend Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24 Jan25 Jan26
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.28 2.94 2.81 3.24 3.19

Burlington Stores Quarterly Data
Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24 Apr24 Jul24 Oct24 Jan25 Apr25 Jul25 Oct25 Jan26 Apr26
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.02 3.09 3.05 3.19 3.40

MEX:BURL vs LULU, GAP, URBN: Altman Z-Score Comparison

For the Apparel Retail subindustry, Burlington Stores's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Burlington Stores Altman Z-Score vs Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Burlington Stores's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Burlington Stores's Altman Z-Score falls into.


MEX:BURL
77GF Score
Burlington Stores Inc MEX:BURL
Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Burlington Stores Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Burlington Stores's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.0361+1.4*0.2263+3.3*0.0934+0.6*2.6843+1.0*1.2521
=3.53

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Apr. 2026:
Total Assets was MXN171,258 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN43,881 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN37,702 Mil.
Retained Earnings was MXN38,756 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 2499.004 + 7249.631 + 2560.511 + 2393.309 = MXN14,702 Mil.
Interest Expense was -288.928 + -323.582 + -355.24 + -327.575 = MXN-1,295 Mil.
Revenue was 50034.057 + 63279.455 + 50269.175 + 50847.22 = MXN214,430 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was MXN373,358 Mil.
Total Liabilities was MXN139,089 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(43880.581 - 37702.494)/171258.308
=0.0361

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=38756.123/171258.308
=0.2263

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(14702.455 - -1295.325)/171258.308
=0.0934

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=373358.141/139088.817
=2.6843

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=214429.907/171258.308
=1.2521

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Burlington Stores has a Altman Z-Score of 3.53 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z-Score →
What does a Altman Z-Score of 3.53 mean?
Burlington Stores (MEX:BURL) has a Altman Z-Score of 3.53 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Burlington Stores and its competitors. This is 14% above median its historical median of 3.10. Over the past decade, Burlington Stores' Altman Z-Score has ranged from 1.98 to 5.17. According to the industry distribution chart, Burlington Stores ranks #406 out of 1118 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, placing it in the top 36.3%.
Is Burlington Stores' Altman Z-Score too high?
Burlington Stores' current Altman Z-Score of 3.53 is 14% above median its 10-year median of 3.10. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 1.98 to a high of 5.17. The Retail - Cyclical industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.73. Burlington Stores' value of 3.53 is 29.3% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Burlington Stores ranks #406 out of 1118 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Burlington Stores has a GF Score™ of 77/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Burlington Stores' Altman Z-Score compare to LULU and GAP?
According to the Retail - Cyclical industry distribution chart, Burlington Stores ranks #406 out of 1118 companies for Altman Z-Score. This puts Burlington Stores in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.73. Burlington Stores' value of 3.53 is 29.3% above this benchmark. Historically, Burlington Stores' own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 1.98 to 5.17 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 3.10 vs. the industry median of 2.73, Burlington Stores has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Retail - Cyclical company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Retail - Cyclical companies is 2.73, based on 1,118 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Burlington Stores's current Altman Z-Score of 3.53 is 29.3% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Burlington Stores and its competitors. For the Retail - Cyclical industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 2.73 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Burlington Stores's current Altman Z-Score is 3.53, which is 14% above median its own 10-year median of 3.10. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Burlington Stores stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Burlington Stores (MEX:BURL) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN4,780.30, compared to a current price of MXN5,539.22 — trading 15.9% above its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 3.53, which is 14% above median its 10-year median of 3.10 and 29.3% above the Retail - Cyclical industry median of 2.73. Burlington Stores' overall GF Score™ is 77/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Burlington Stores (MEX:BURL), the current Altman Z-Score is 3.53 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Burlington Stores (MEX:BURL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Burlington Stores stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of MXN5,539.22 is trading 15.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN4,780.30. GuruFocus considers Burlington Stores to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:BURL:

  • Altman Z-Score: 3.53 (14% above median its 10-year median of 3.10)
  • GF Value™: MXN4,780.30 vs. price of MXN5,539.22 (15.9% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 77/100 with 4 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 29.3% above the Retail - Cyclical median (#406 of 1118)

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:BURL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Burlington Stores Business Description

Address 2006 Route 130 North, Burlington, NJ, USA, 08016
Burlington Stores Inc is an off-price retailer offering an extensive selection of in-season, fashion-focused merchandise, including women's ready-to-wear apparel, menswear, youth apparel, baby, beauty, footwear, accessories, home, toys, gifts, and coats. The company sells a broad selection of desirable, first-quality, current-brand, labeled merchandise acquired directly from nationally recognized manufacturers and other suppliers. It sells products in categories such as Ladies apparel, Accessories and shoes, Home, Mens apparel, Kids apparel and baby, and Outerwear.
77GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:BURL

Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN5,539.22
Price
MXN4,780.30
GF Value