Northrop Grumman (MEX:NOC) Altman Z-Score: 3.06 (As of Jun. 28, 2026) — Near Median


MEX:NOC Northrop Grumman Corp MEX:NOC
77 GF Score
Price MXN9,415.00
GF Value MXN10,501.99
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 2 Warning Signs
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What is Northrop Grumman Altman Z-Score?

Northrop Grumman MEX:NOC 77 Altman Z-Score is 3.06 as of Jun. 28, 2026, which is 2% above its 10-year median of 3.00. GuruFocus rates MEX:NOC with a GF Score™ of 77/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN10,501.99 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 337 Aerospace & Defense companies, Northrop Grumman ranks worse than 56.08% on this metric.

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Good Sign:

Altman Z-score of 3.08 is strong.

Northrop Grumman has a Altman Z-Score of 3.06, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Northrop Grumman's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:NOC' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.29   Med: 3   Max: 3.59
Current: 3.08

During the past 13 years, Northrop Grumman's highest Altman Z-Score was 3.59. The lowest was 2.29. And the median was 3.00.


Northrop Grumman  (MEX:NOC) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Northrop Grumman Altman Z-Score Related Terms


Northrop Grumman Altman Z-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Northrop Grumman's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Northrop Grumman Altman Z-Score Chart

Northrop Grumman Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.30 3.59 2.87 2.84 3.07

Northrop Grumman Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.92 2.90 3.25 3.07 3.55

MEX:NOC vs RKLB, TDG, GD: Altman Z-Score Comparison

For the Aerospace & Defense subindustry, Northrop Grumman's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Northrop Grumman Altman Z-Score vs Aerospace & Defense Industry

For the Aerospace & Defense industry and Industrials sector, Northrop Grumman's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Northrop Grumman's Altman Z-Score falls into.


MEX:NOC
77GF Score
Northrop Grumman Corp MEX:NOC
Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Northrop Grumman Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Northrop Grumman's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.039+1.4*0.3419+3.3*0.1257+0.6*2.0976+1.0*0.8596
=3.06

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026:
Total Assets was MXN901,761 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN266,343 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN231,197 Mil.
Retained Earnings was MXN308,287 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 18573.681 + 31329.918 + 24269.377 + 26869.268 = MXN101,042 Mil.
Interest Expense was -2921.297 + -3150.998 + -2953.416 + -3257.452 = MXN-12,283 Mil.
Revenue was 178181.109 + 210882.759 + 191201.597 + 194901.049 = MXN775,167 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was MXN1,244,168 Mil.
Total Liabilities was MXN593,132 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(266342.979 - 231197.247)/901761.23
=0.039

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=308287.039/901761.23
=0.3419

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(101042.244 - -12283.163)/901761.23
=0.1257

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=1244167.877/593131.569
=2.0976

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=775166.514/901761.23
=0.8596

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Northrop Grumman has a Altman Z-Score of 3.06 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z-Score →
What does a Altman Z-Score of 3.06 mean?
Northrop Grumman (MEX:NOC) has a Altman Z-Score of 3.06 as of Jun. 28, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Northrop Grumman and its competitors. This is near median its historical median of 3.00. Over the past decade, Northrop Grumman's Altman Z-Score has ranged from 2.29 to 3.59. According to the industry distribution chart, Northrop Grumman ranks #189 out of 337 companies in the Aerospace & Defense industry, placing it in the top 56.1%.
Is Northrop Grumman's Altman Z-Score too high?
Northrop Grumman's current Altman Z-Score of 3.06 is near median its 10-year median of 3.00. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 2.29 to a high of 3.59. The Aerospace & Defense industry median Altman Z-Score is 3.41. Northrop Grumman's value of 3.06 is 10.3% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Northrop Grumman ranks #189 out of 337 companies in the Aerospace & Defense industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Northrop Grumman has a GF Score™ of 77/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Northrop Grumman's Altman Z-Score compare to RKLB and TDG?
According to the Aerospace & Defense industry distribution chart, Northrop Grumman ranks #189 out of 337 companies for Altman Z-Score. This places Northrop Grumman in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 3.41. Northrop Grumman's value of 3.06 is 10.3% below this benchmark. Historically, Northrop Grumman's own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 2.29 to 3.59 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 3.00 vs. the industry median of 3.41, Northrop Grumman has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for an Aerospace & Defense company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Aerospace & Defense companies is 3.41, based on 337 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Northrop Grumman's current Altman Z-Score of 3.06 is 10.3% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Northrop Grumman and its competitors. For the Aerospace & Defense industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 3.41 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Northrop Grumman's current Altman Z-Score is 3.06, which is near median its own 10-year median of 3.00. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Northrop Grumman stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Northrop Grumman (MEX:NOC) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN10,501.99, compared to a current price of MXN9,415.00 — trading 10.4% below its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 3.06, which is near median its 10-year median of 3.00 and 10.3% below the Aerospace & Defense industry median of 3.41. Northrop Grumman's overall GF Score™ is 77/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Northrop Grumman (MEX:NOC), the current Altman Z-Score is 3.06 as of Jun. 28, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Northrop Grumman (MEX:NOC) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Northrop Grumman stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of MXN9,415.00 is trading 10.4% below its estimated GF Value™ of MXN10,501.99. GuruFocus considers Northrop Grumman to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:NOC:

  • Altman Z-Score: 3.06 (near median its 10-year median of 3.00)
  • GF Value™: MXN10,501.99 vs. price of MXN9,415.00 (10.4% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 77/100 with 2 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 10.3% below the Aerospace & Defense median (#189 of 337)

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:NOC stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Northrop Grumman Business Description

Address 2980 Fairview Park Drive, Falls Church, VA, USA, 22042
Northrop Grumman is a diversified defense contractor providing aeronautics, defense, and space systems. The company's aerospace segment produces autonomous and piloted aircraft such as Global Hawk drones and the new B-21 bomber, creates the fuselage for the massive F-35 program, and maintains and upgrades numerous other military aircraft. Defense systems makes artillery and missile ammunition and guidance systems, long-range missiles, and missile defense systems. Mission systems creates and integrates a variety of radar, navigation, and communication systems for avionics, weapons control, and countermeasures on a range of platforms from helicopters to destroyers. Space systems produces satellites, sensors, space structures, and rocket motors.
77GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:NOC

Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN9,415.00
Price
MXN10,501.99
GF Value