MXCHY (Orbia AdvanceB de CV) Altman Z-Score: 1.23 (As of Jul. 02, 2026) — 21% Below Median


MXCHY Orbia Advance Corp SAB de CV MXCHY
70 GF Score
Price $2.53
GF Value $2.28
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 11 Warning Signs
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What is Orbia AdvanceB de CV Altman Z-Score?

Orbia AdvanceB de CV MXCHY -0.78% 70 Altman Z-Score is 1.23 as of Jul. 02, 2026, which is 21% below its 10-year median of 1.56. GuruFocus rates MXCHY with a GF Score™ of 70/100 and a GF Value™ of $2.28 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 11 warning signs investors should review. Among 545 Conglomerates companies, Orbia AdvanceB de CV ranks worse than 72.66% on this metric.

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 1.25 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

Orbia AdvanceB de CV has a Altman Z-Score of 1.23, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Orbia AdvanceB de CV's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MXCHY' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.99   Med: 1.56   Max: 2.05
Current: 1.25

During the past 13 years, Orbia AdvanceB de CV's highest Altman Z-Score was 2.05. The lowest was 0.99. And the median was 1.56.


Orbia AdvanceB de CV  (OTCPK:MXCHY) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Orbia AdvanceB de CV Altman Z-Score Related Terms


Orbia AdvanceB de CV Altman Z-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Orbia AdvanceB de CV's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Orbia AdvanceB de CV Altman Z-Score Chart

Orbia AdvanceB de CV Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.86 1.69 1.48 0.99 1.03

Orbia AdvanceB de CV Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.14 1.16 1.20 1.03 1.24

MXCHY vs HON, MMM: Altman Z-Score Comparison

For the Conglomerates subindustry, Orbia AdvanceB de CV's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Orbia AdvanceB de CV Altman Z-Score vs Conglomerates Industry

For the Conglomerates industry and Industrials sector, Orbia AdvanceB de CV's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Orbia AdvanceB de CV's Altman Z-Score falls into.


MXCHY
70GF Score
Orbia Advance Corp SAB de CV MXCHY
Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Orbia AdvanceB de CV Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Orbia AdvanceB de CV's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.1069+1.4*0.0866+3.3*0.0335+0.6*0.2901+1.0*0.6927
=1.23

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026:
Total Assets was $11,218 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $3,939 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $2,740 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $972 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -5 + -50 + -28 + 43 = $-40 Mil.
Interest Expense was -108 + -104 + -104 + -100 = $-416 Mil.
Revenue was 1963 + 1875 + 1966 + 1967 = $7,771 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $2,481 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $8,550 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(3939 - 2740)/11218
=0.1069

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=972/11218
=0.0866

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-40 - -416)/11218
=0.0335

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=2480.749/8550
=0.2901

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=7771/11218
=0.6927

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Orbia AdvanceB de CV has a Altman Z-Score of 1.23 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z-Score →
What does a Altman Z-Score of 1.23 mean?
Orbia AdvanceB de CV (MXCHY) has a Altman Z-Score of 1.23 as of Jul. 02, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Orbia AdvanceB de CV and its competitors. This is 21% below median its historical median of 1.56. Over the past decade, Orbia AdvanceB de CV's Altman Z-Score has ranged from 0.99 to 2.05. According to the industry distribution chart, Orbia AdvanceB de CV ranks #396 out of 545 companies in the Conglomerates industry, placing it in the top 72.7%.
Is Orbia AdvanceB de CV's Altman Z-Score too high?
Orbia AdvanceB de CV's current Altman Z-Score of 1.23 is 21% below median its 10-year median of 1.56. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.99 to a high of 2.05. The Conglomerates industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.07. Orbia AdvanceB de CV's value of 1.23 is 40.6% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Orbia AdvanceB de CV ranks #396 out of 545 companies in the Conglomerates industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Orbia AdvanceB de CV has a GF Score™ of 70/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Orbia AdvanceB de CV's Altman Z-Score compare to HON and MMM?
According to the Conglomerates industry distribution chart, Orbia AdvanceB de CV ranks #396 out of 545 companies for Altman Z-Score. This places Orbia AdvanceB de CV in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.07. Orbia AdvanceB de CV's value of 1.23 is 40.6% below this benchmark. Historically, Orbia AdvanceB de CV's own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 0.99 to 2.05 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 1.56 vs. the industry median of 2.07, Orbia AdvanceB de CV has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Conglomerates company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Conglomerates companies is 2.07, based on 545 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Orbia AdvanceB de CV's current Altman Z-Score of 1.23 is 40.6% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Orbia AdvanceB de CV and its competitors. For the Conglomerates industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 2.07 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Orbia AdvanceB de CV's current Altman Z-Score is 1.23, which is 21% below median its own 10-year median of 1.56. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Orbia AdvanceB de CV stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Orbia AdvanceB de CV (MXCHY) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $2.28, compared to a current price of $2.53 — trading 11% above its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 1.23, which is 21% below median its 10-year median of 1.56 and 40.6% below the Conglomerates industry median of 2.07. Orbia AdvanceB de CV's overall GF Score™ is 70/100 with 11 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Orbia AdvanceB de CV (MXCHY), the current Altman Z-Score is 1.23 as of Jul. 02, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Orbia AdvanceB de CV (MXCHY) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Orbia AdvanceB de CV stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $2.53 is trading 11% above its estimated GF Value™ of $2.28. GuruFocus considers Orbia AdvanceB de CV to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for MXCHY:

  • Altman Z-Score: 1.23 (21% below median its 10-year median of 1.56)
  • GF Value™: $2.28 vs. price of $2.53 (11% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 70/100 with 11 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 40.6% below the Conglomerates median (#396 of 545)

No single metric tells the full story. See the MXCHY stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Orbia AdvanceB de CV Business Description

Address Avenida Paseo de la Reforma 483, Piso 47, Colonia Cuauhtemoc, Alcaldia Cuauhtemoc, Ciudad de Mexico, MEX, MEX, 06500
Orbia Advance Corp SAB de CV operates in the following segments: Polymer Solutions (Vestolit and Alphagary), Building and Infrastructure (Wavin), Precision Agriculture (Netafim), Connectivity Solutions (Dura-Line), and Fluor & Energy Materials (Koura). The majority of the company's revenue is generated by the Polymer Solutions segment. The five Orbia business groups have a collective focus on expanding access to health and well-being, reinventing the future of cities and homes, ensuring food, water, and sanitation security, connecting communities to information, and enabling the energy transition with basic and materials, specialty products, and solutions. Geographically, the group derives the majority of its revenue from the USA and has a presence in other markets world-wide.
70GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MXCHY

Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$2.53
Price
$2.28
GF Value