Tokai Soft Co (NGO:4430) Altman Z-Score: 2.48 (As of Jul. 02, 2026) — 25% Below Median


NGO:4430 Tokai Soft Co Ltd NGO:4430
85 GF Score
Price 円943.00
GF Value 円1,040.55
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is Tokai Soft Co Altman Z-Score?

Tokai Soft Co NGO:4430 85 Altman Z-Score is 2.48 as of Jul. 02, 2026, which is 25% below its 10-year median of 3.32. GuruFocus rates NGO:4430 with a GF Score™ of 85/100 and a GF Value™ of 円1,040.55. The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 2,766 Software companies, Tokai Soft Co ranks worse than 63.23% on this metric.

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 2.07 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

Tokai Soft Co has a Altman Z-Score of 2.48, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Tokai Soft Co is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Tokai Soft Co's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

NGO:4430' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.07   Med: 3.32   Max: 5.31
Current: 2.07

During the past 9 years, Tokai Soft Co's highest Altman Z-Score was 5.31. The lowest was 2.07. And the median was 3.32.


Tokai Soft Co  (NGO:4430) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Tokai Soft Co Altman Z-Score Related Terms


Tokai Soft Co Altman Z-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Tokai Soft Co's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Tokai Soft Co Altman Z-Score Chart

Tokai Soft Co Annual Data
Trend May17 May18 May19 May20 May21 May22 May23 May24 May25
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only 2.94 2.70 3.11 3.57 2.19

Tokai Soft Co Quarterly Data
Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24 May24 Nov24 May25 Nov25 Feb26
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.57 2.75 2.19 2.17 0.00

NGO:4430 vs MSFT, ORCL, PLTR: Altman Z-Score Comparison

For the Software - Infrastructure subindustry, Tokai Soft Co's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Tokai Soft Co Altman Z-Score vs Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Tokai Soft Co's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Tokai Soft Co's Altman Z-Score falls into.


NGO:4430
85GF Score
Tokai Soft Co Ltd NGO:4430
Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Tokai Soft Co Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Tokai Soft Co's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.23+1.4*0.438+3.3*0.0384+0.6*1.9677+1.0*0.285
=2.48

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Nov. 2025:
Total Assets was 円10,617 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円4,769 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円2,327 Mil.
Retained Earnings was 円4,651 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 402.368 + 0 + 0 + 0 = 円402 Mil.
Interest Expense was -4.915 + 0 + 0 + 0 = 円-5 Mil.
Revenue was 3026.301 + 0 + 0 + 0 = 円3,026 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was 円7,939 Mil.
Total Liabilities was 円4,035 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(4768.759 - 2326.934)/10617.33
=0.23

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=4650.67/10617.33
=0.438

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(402.368 - -4.915)/10617.33
=0.0384

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=7939.063/4034.718
=1.9677

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=3026.301/10617.33
=0.285

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Tokai Soft Co has a Altman Z-Score of 2.48 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z-Score →
What does a Altman Z-Score of 2.48 mean?
Tokai Soft Co (NGO:4430) has a Altman Z-Score of 2.48 as of Jul. 02, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Tokai Soft Co and its competitors. This is 25% below median its historical median of 3.32. Over the past decade, Tokai Soft Co's Altman Z-Score has ranged from 2.07 to 5.31. According to the industry distribution chart, Tokai Soft Co ranks #1749 out of 2766 companies in the Software industry, placing it in the top 63.2%.
Is Tokai Soft Co's Altman Z-Score too high?
Tokai Soft Co's current Altman Z-Score of 2.48 is 25% below median its 10-year median of 3.32. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 2.07 to a high of 5.31. The Software industry median Altman Z-Score is 3.11. Tokai Soft Co's value of 2.48 is 20.3% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Tokai Soft Co ranks #1749 out of 2766 companies in the Software industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Tokai Soft Co has a GF Score™ of 85/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Tokai Soft Co's Altman Z-Score compare to MSFT and ORCL?
According to the Software industry distribution chart, Tokai Soft Co ranks #1749 out of 2766 companies for Altman Z-Score. This places Tokai Soft Co in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 3.11. Tokai Soft Co's value of 2.48 is 20.3% below this benchmark. Historically, Tokai Soft Co's own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 2.07 to 5.31 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 3.32 vs. the industry median of 3.11, Tokai Soft Co has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Software company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Software companies is 3.11, based on 2,766 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Tokai Soft Co's current Altman Z-Score of 2.48 is 20.3% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Tokai Soft Co and its competitors. For the Software industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 3.11 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Tokai Soft Co's current Altman Z-Score is 2.48, which is 25% below median its own 10-year median of 3.32. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Tokai Soft Co stock overvalued right now?
Tokai Soft Co (NGO:4430) has a current Altman Z-Score of 2.48. The stock's GF Value™ is 円1,040.55, compared to a current price of 円943.00 — trading 9.4% below its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 2.48, which is 25% below median its 10-year median of 3.32 and 20.3% below the Software industry median of 3.11. Tokai Soft Co's overall GF Score™ is 85/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Tokai Soft Co (NGO:4430), the current Altman Z-Score is 2.48 as of Jul. 02, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Tokai Soft Co (NGO:4430) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Tokai Soft Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of 円943.00 is trading 9.4% below its estimated GF Value™ of 円1,040.55.

Key valuation signals for NGO:4430:

  • Altman Z-Score: 2.48 (25% below median its 10-year median of 3.32)
  • GF Value™: 円1,040.55 vs. price of 円943.00 (9.4% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 85/100 with 5 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 20.3% below the Software median (#1749 of 2766)

No single metric tells the full story. See the NGO:4430 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Tokai Soft Co Business Description

Other Exchanges 4430:Japan
Address 2-16-1 Noritake, Nakamura-ku, Nagoya, JPN, 451-0043
Tokai Soft Co Ltd provides software solutions. The company is engaged in a wide range of businesses as an engineering company that combines technologies for total system construction, network and solution solutions, and support technologies that provide stable operation.
85GF Score

Get the complete analysis for NGO:4430

Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円943.00
Price
円1,040.55
GF Value