Okaya (NGO:7485) Altman Z-Score: 2.22 (As of Jul. 11, 2026) — 11% Below Median


NGO:7485 Okaya & Co Ltd NGO:7485
79 GF Score
Price 円5,150.00
GF Value 円3,768.26
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
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What is Okaya Altman Z-Score?

Okaya NGO:7485 +2.59% 79 Altman Z-Score is 2.22 as of Jul. 11, 2026, which is 11% below its 10-year median of 2.49. GuruFocus rates NGO:7485 with a GF Score™ of 79/100 and a GF Value™ of 円3,768.26 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 610 Steel companies, Okaya ranks worse than 58.03% on this metric.

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 2.14 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

Okaya has a Altman Z-Score of 2.22, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Okaya is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Okaya's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

NGO:7485' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.14   Med: 2.49   Max: 2.75
Current: 2.14

During the past 13 years, Okaya's highest Altman Z-Score was 2.75. The lowest was 2.14. And the median was 2.49.


Okaya  (NGO:7485) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Okaya Altman Z-Score Related Terms


Okaya Altman Z-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Okaya's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Okaya Altman Z-Score Chart

Okaya Annual Data
Trend Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20 Feb21 Feb22 Feb23 Feb24 Feb25 Feb26
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.52 2.22 2.23 2.25 2.14

Okaya Quarterly Data
Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24 May24 Aug24 Nov24 Feb25 May25 Aug25 Nov25 Feb26 May26
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.21 2.28 2.24 2.14 0.00

NGO:7485 vs NUE, STLD, RS: Altman Z-Score Comparison

For the Steel subindustry, Okaya's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Okaya Altman Z-Score vs Steel Industry

For the Steel industry and Basic Materials sector, Okaya's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Okaya's Altman Z-Score falls into.


NGO:7485
79GF Score
Okaya & Co Ltd NGO:7485
Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Okaya Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Okaya's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.1875+1.4*0.2738+3.3*0.0531+0.6*0.4042+1.0*1.1923
=2.22

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Feb. 2026:
Total Assets was 円995,955 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円544,204 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円357,454 Mil.
Retained Earnings was 円272,644 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 14491 + 10589 + 11004 + 13377 = 円49,461 Mil.
Interest Expense was -835 + -866 + -854 + -867 = 円-3,422 Mil.
Revenue was 308470 + 292392 + 292734 + 293871 = 円1,187,467 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was 円198,186 Mil.
Total Liabilities was 円490,324 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(544204 - 357454)/995955
=0.1875

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=272644/995955
=0.2738

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(49461 - -3422)/995955
=0.0531

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=198186.029/490324
=0.4042

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=1187467/995955
=1.1923

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Okaya has a Altman Z-Score of 2.22 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z-Score →
What does a Altman Z-Score of 2.22 mean?
Okaya (NGO:7485) has a Altman Z-Score of 2.22 as of Jul. 11, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Okaya and its competitors. This is 11% below median its historical median of 2.49. Over the past decade, Okaya's Altman Z-Score has ranged from 2.14 to 2.75. According to the industry distribution chart, Okaya ranks #354 out of 610 companies in the Steel industry, placing it in the top 58%.
Is Okaya's Altman Z-Score too high?
Okaya's current Altman Z-Score of 2.22 is 11% below median its 10-year median of 2.49. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 2.14 to a high of 2.75. The Steel industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.46. Okaya's value of 2.22 is 9.8% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Okaya ranks #354 out of 610 companies in the Steel industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Okaya has a GF Score™ of 79/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Okaya's Altman Z-Score compare to NUE and STLD?
According to the Steel industry distribution chart, Okaya ranks #354 out of 610 companies for Altman Z-Score. This places Okaya in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.46. Okaya's value of 2.22 is 9.8% below this benchmark. Historically, Okaya's own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 2.14 to 2.75 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 2.49 vs. the industry median of 2.46, Okaya has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Steel company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Steel companies is 2.46, based on 610 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Okaya's current Altman Z-Score of 2.22 is 9.8% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Okaya and its competitors. For the Steel industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 2.46 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Okaya's current Altman Z-Score is 2.22, which is 11% below median its own 10-year median of 2.49. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Okaya stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Okaya (NGO:7485) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円3,768.26, compared to a current price of 円5,150.00 — trading 36.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 2.22, which is 11% below median its 10-year median of 2.49 and 9.8% below the Steel industry median of 2.46. Okaya's overall GF Score™ is 79/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Okaya (NGO:7485), the current Altman Z-Score is 2.22 as of Jul. 11, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Okaya (NGO:7485) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Okaya stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of 円5,150.00 is trading 36.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円3,768.26. GuruFocus considers Okaya to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for NGO:7485:

  • Altman Z-Score: 2.22 (11% below median its 10-year median of 2.49)
  • GF Value™: 円3,768.26 vs. price of 円5,150.00 (36.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 79/100 with 6 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 9.8% below the Steel median (#354 of 610)

No single metric tells the full story. See the NGO:7485 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Okaya Business Description

Address 4-18, Sakae 2-chome, Naka-ku, Aichi Prefecture, Nagoya, JPN
Okaya & Co Ltd is a Japan-based trading company. It is engaged in the businesses of iron and steel; information and electronics; industrial machinery and materials; and living-related products. Its products include iron and steel, special steel, non-ferrous metals, electrical and electronic parts, chemical products, machinery and tools, piping and housing equipment, construction-related items, and food products.
79GF Score

Get the complete analysis for NGO:7485

Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円5,150.00
Price
円3,768.26
GF Value