Winton Land (NZSE:WIN) Altman Z-Score: 2.02 (As of Jul. 02, 2026) — 56% Below Median


NZSE:WIN Winton Land Ltd NZSE:WIN
31 GF Score
Price NZ$1.39
GF Value NZ$0.91
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is Winton Land Altman Z-Score?

Winton Land NZSE:WIN -0.71% 31 Altman Z-Score is 2.02 as of Jul. 02, 2026, which is 56% below its 10-year median of 4.56. GuruFocus rates NZSE:WIN with a GF Score™ of 31/100 and a GF Value™ of NZ$0.91 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,731 Real Estate companies, Winton Land ranks better than 72.1% on this metric.

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 2.11 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

Winton Land has a Altman Z-Score of 2.02, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Winton Land is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Winton Land's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

NZSE:WIN' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.11   Med: 4.56   Max: 12.87
Current: 2.11

During the past 5 years, Winton Land's highest Altman Z-Score was 12.87. The lowest was 2.11. And the median was 4.56.


Winton Land  (NZSE:WIN) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Winton Land Altman Z-Score Related Terms


Winton Land Altman Z-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Winton Land's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Winton Land Altman Z-Score Chart

Winton Land Annual Data
Trend Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24 Jun25
Altman Z-Score
0.00 12.87 5.65 3.47 2.64

Winton Land Semi-Annual Data
Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 3.47 0.00 2.64 0.00

Winton Land Altman Z-Score Competitor Comparison

For the Real Estate - Development subindustry, Winton Land's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Winton Land Altman Z-Score vs Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Winton Land's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Winton Land's Altman Z-Score falls into.


NZSE:WIN
31GF Score
Winton Land Ltd NZSE:WIN
Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Winton Land Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Winton Land's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.0362+1.4*0.1985+3.3*0.0248+0.6*2.3875+1.0*0.1848
=2.02

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Jun. 2025:
Total Assets was NZ$703.89 Mil.
Total Current Assets was NZ$71.35 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was NZ$45.87 Mil.
Retained Earnings was NZ$139.73 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was NZ$15.17 Mil.
Interest Expense was NZ$-2.27 Mil.
Revenue was NZ$130.11 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was NZ$412.29 Mil.
Total Liabilities was NZ$172.69 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(71.347 - 45.87)/703.894
=0.0362

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=139.732/703.894
=0.1985

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(15.17 - -2.274)/703.894
=0.0248

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=412.293/172.687
=2.3875

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=130.108/703.894
=0.1848

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Winton Land has a Altman Z-Score of 2.02 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z-Score →
What does a Altman Z-Score of 2.02 mean?
Winton Land (NZSE:WIN) has a Altman Z-Score of 2.02 as of Jul. 02, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Winton Land and its competitors. This is 56% below median its historical median of 4.56. Over the past decade, Winton Land's Altman Z-Score has ranged from 2.11 to 12.87. According to the industry distribution chart, Winton Land ranks #483 out of 1731 companies in the Real Estate industry, placing it in the top 27.9%.
Is Winton Land's Altman Z-Score too high?
Winton Land's current Altman Z-Score of 2.02 is 56% below median its 10-year median of 4.56. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 2.11 to a high of 12.87. The Real Estate industry median Altman Z-Score is 1.30. Winton Land's value of 2.02 is 55.4% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Winton Land ranks #483 out of 1731 companies in the Real Estate industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Winton Land has a GF Score™ of 31/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Winton Land's Altman Z-Score compare to competitors?
According to the Real Estate industry distribution chart, Winton Land ranks #483 out of 1731 companies for Altman Z-Score. This puts Winton Land in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 1.30. Winton Land's value of 2.02 is 55.4% above this benchmark. Historically, Winton Land's own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 2.11 to 12.87 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 4.56 vs. the industry median of 1.30, Winton Land has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Real Estate company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Real Estate companies is 1.30, based on 1,731 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Winton Land's current Altman Z-Score of 2.02 is 55.4% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Winton Land and its competitors. For the Real Estate industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 1.30 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Winton Land's current Altman Z-Score is 2.02, which is 56% below median its own 10-year median of 4.56. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Winton Land stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Winton Land (NZSE:WIN) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is NZ$0.91, compared to a current price of NZ$1.39 — trading 52.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 2.02, which is 56% below median its 10-year median of 4.56 and 55.4% above the Real Estate industry median of 1.30. Winton Land's overall GF Score™ is 31/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Winton Land (NZSE:WIN), the current Altman Z-Score is 2.02 as of Jul. 02, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Winton Land (NZSE:WIN) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Winton Land stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of NZ$1.39 is trading 52.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of NZ$0.91. GuruFocus considers Winton Land to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for NZSE:WIN:

  • Altman Z-Score: 2.02 (56% below median its 10-year median of 4.56)
  • GF Value™: NZ$0.91 vs. price of NZ$1.39 (52.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 31/100 with 5 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 55.4% above the Real Estate median (#483 of 1731)

No single metric tells the full story. See the NZSE:WIN stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Winton Land Business Description

Other Exchanges WTN:Australia
Address 11 Westhaven Drive Cracker Bay, Level 2, Auckland, NTL, NZL, 1010
Winton Land Ltd is a privately owned developer with projects in New Zealand and Australia. It specializes in developing integrated and fully master-planned communities. The company has a portfolio of several residential lots, dwellings, apartment units, and retirement village units. The company has three reportable segments, which are Residential development, Retirement villages, and Commercial portfolio, and the company generates the majority of its revenue from residential development.
31GF Score

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Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

NZ$1.39
Price
NZ$0.91
GF Value