Jiangxi Changyun Co (SHSE:600561) Altman Z-Score: 0.03 (As of Jul. 21, 2026) — 77% Below Median

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SHSE:600561 Jiangxi Changyun Co Ltd SHSE:600561
44 GF Score
Price ¥4.75
GF Value ¥4.90
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is Jiangxi Changyun Co Altman Z-Score?

Jiangxi Changyun Co SHSE:600561 -2.46% 44 Altman Z-Score is 0.03 as of Jul. 21, 2026, which is 77% below its 10-year median of 0.13. GuruFocus rates SHSE:600561 with a GF Score™ of 44/100 and a GF Value™ of ¥4.90 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 997 Transportation companies, Jiangxi Changyun Co ranks worse than 93.88% on this metric.

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 0.05 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

Jiangxi Changyun Co has a Altman Z-Score of 0.03, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Jiangxi Changyun Co's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SHSE:600561' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -0.2   Med: 0.13   Max: 1.02
Current: 0.05

During the past 13 years, Jiangxi Changyun Co's highest Altman Z-Score was 1.02. The lowest was -0.20. And the median was 0.13.


Jiangxi Changyun Co  (SHSE:600561) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Jiangxi Changyun Co Altman Z-Score Related Terms


Jiangxi Changyun Co Altman Z-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Jiangxi Changyun Co's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Jiangxi Changyun Co Altman Z-Score Chart

Jiangxi Changyun Co Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.13 -0.07 0.05 0.05 0.14

Jiangxi Changyun Co Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.05 0.13 0.13 0.14 0.14

SHSE:600561 vs UNP, CSX, NSC: Altman Z-Score Comparison

For the Railroads subindustry, Jiangxi Changyun Co's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Jiangxi Changyun Co Altman Z-Score vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Jiangxi Changyun Co's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Jiangxi Changyun Co's Altman Z-Score falls into.


SHSE:600561
44GF Score
Jiangxi Changyun Co Ltd SHSE:600561
Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Jiangxi Changyun Co Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Jiangxi Changyun Co's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*-0.4527+1.4*-0.0525+3.3*0.0233+0.6*0.4229+1.0*0.3203
=0.03

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026:
Total Assets was ¥4,318 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥781 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥2,736 Mil.
Retained Earnings was ¥-227 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -32.007 + 45.018 + -18.547 + 49.94 = ¥44 Mil.
Interest Expense was -12.493 + -13.976 + -14.368 + -15.514 = ¥-56 Mil.
Revenue was 268.594 + 407.901 + 344.488 + 362.286 = ¥1,383 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was ¥1,351 Mil.
Total Liabilities was ¥3,195 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(781.157 - 2736)/4318.043
=-0.4527

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-226.519/4318.043
=-0.0525

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(44.404 - -56.351)/4318.043
=0.0233

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=1351.264/3195.253
=0.4229

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=1383.269/4318.043
=0.3203

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Jiangxi Changyun Co has a Altman Z-Score of 0.03 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z-Score →
What does a Altman Z-Score of 0.03 mean?
Jiangxi Changyun Co (SHSE:600561) has a Altman Z-Score of 0.03 as of Jul. 21, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Jiangxi Changyun Co and its competitors. This is 77% below median its historical median of 0.13. According to the industry distribution chart, Jiangxi Changyun Co ranks #936 out of 997 companies in the Transportation industry, placing it in the top 93.9%.
Is Jiangxi Changyun Co's Altman Z-Score too high?
Jiangxi Changyun Co's current Altman Z-Score of 0.03 is 77% below median its 10-year median of 0.13. The Transportation industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.26. Jiangxi Changyun Co's value of 0.03 is 98.7% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Jiangxi Changyun Co ranks #936 out of 997 companies in the Transportation industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Jiangxi Changyun Co has a GF Score™ of 44/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Jiangxi Changyun Co's Altman Z-Score compare to UNP and CSX?
According to the Transportation industry distribution chart, Jiangxi Changyun Co ranks #936 out of 997 companies for Altman Z-Score. This places Jiangxi Changyun Co in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.26. Jiangxi Changyun Co's value of 0.03 is 98.7% below this benchmark. While the company's 10-year median is 0.13 vs. the industry median of 2.26, Jiangxi Changyun Co has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Transportation company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Transportation companies is 2.26, based on 997 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Jiangxi Changyun Co's current Altman Z-Score of 0.03 is 98.7% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Jiangxi Changyun Co and its competitors. For the Transportation industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 2.26 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Jiangxi Changyun Co's current Altman Z-Score is 0.03, which is 77% below median its own 10-year median of 0.13. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Jiangxi Changyun Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Jiangxi Changyun Co (SHSE:600561) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is ¥4.90, compared to a current price of ¥4.75 — trading 3.1% below its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 0.03, which is 77% below median its 10-year median of 0.13 and 98.7% below the Transportation industry median of 2.26. Jiangxi Changyun Co's overall GF Score™ is 44/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Jiangxi Changyun Co (SHSE:600561), the current Altman Z-Score is 0.03 as of Jul. 21, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Jiangxi Changyun Co (SHSE:600561) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Jiangxi Changyun Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of ¥4.75 is trading 3.1% below its estimated GF Value™ of ¥4.90. GuruFocus considers Jiangxi Changyun Co to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for SHSE:600561:

  • Altman Z-Score: 0.03 (77% below median its 10-year median of 0.13)
  • GF Value™: ¥4.90 vs. price of ¥4.75 (3.1% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 44/100 with 5 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 98.7% below the Transportation median (#936 of 997)

No single metric tells the full story. See the SHSE:600561 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Jiangxi Changyun Co Business Description

Address No. 1, Ping'an West 2nd Street, Honggutan New District, Nanchang, CHN, 330038
Jiangxi Changyun Co Ltd provides transportation services and is mainly engaged in the construction of road passenger and passenger stations. The company is also involved in the maintenance of the transport business, travel services, logistics, car rental, and property management. The company generates the majority of its revenue from road passenger transport business.
44GF Score

Get the complete analysis for SHSE:600561

Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

¥4.75
Price
¥4.90
GF Value