Shandong Keyuan Pharmaceutical Co (SZSE:301281) Altman Z-Score: 9.12 (As of Jul. 12, 2026) — 24% Below Median


SZSE:301281 Shandong Keyuan Pharmaceutical Co Ltd SZSE:301281
67 GF Score
Price ¥50.42
GF Value ¥30.41
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 7 Warning Signs
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What is Shandong Keyuan Pharmaceutical Co Altman Z-Score?

Shandong Keyuan Pharmaceutical Co SZSE:301281 -1.12% 67 Altman Z-Score is 9.12 as of Jul. 12, 2026, which is 24% below its 10-year median of 12.06. GuruFocus rates SZSE:301281 with a GF Score™ of 67/100 and a GF Value™ of ¥30.41 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 953 Drug Manufacturers companies, Shandong Keyuan Pharmaceutical Co ranks better than 84.05% on this metric.

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Good Sign:

Altman Z-score of 9.12 is strong.

Shandong Keyuan Pharmaceutical Co has a Altman Z-Score of 9.12, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Shandong Keyuan Pharmaceutical Co's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SZSE:301281' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 6.59   Med: 12.06   Max: 21.73
Current: 9.12

During the past 13 years, Shandong Keyuan Pharmaceutical Co's highest Altman Z-Score was 21.73. The lowest was 6.59. And the median was 12.06.


Shandong Keyuan Pharmaceutical Co  (SZSE:301281) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Shandong Keyuan Pharmaceutical Co Altman Z-Score Related Terms


Shandong Keyuan Pharmaceutical Co Altman Z-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Shandong Keyuan Pharmaceutical Co's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Shandong Keyuan Pharmaceutical Co Altman Z-Score Chart

Shandong Keyuan Pharmaceutical Co Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 17.28 11.22 6.59

Shandong Keyuan Pharmaceutical Co Quarterly Data
Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 12.10 10.58 10.56 6.59 6.68

SZSE:301281 vs LLY, JNJ, ABBV: Altman Z-Score Comparison

For the Drug Manufacturers - General subindustry, Shandong Keyuan Pharmaceutical Co's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Shandong Keyuan Pharmaceutical Co Altman Z-Score vs Drug Manufacturers Industry

For the Drug Manufacturers industry and Healthcare sector, Shandong Keyuan Pharmaceutical Co's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Shandong Keyuan Pharmaceutical Co's Altman Z-Score falls into.


SZSE:301281
67GF Score
Shandong Keyuan Pharmaceutical Co Ltd SZSE:301281
Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Shandong Keyuan Pharmaceutical Co Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Shandong Keyuan Pharmaceutical Co's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.2747+1.4*0.1751+3.3*0.0148+0.6*13.7392+1.0*0.2504
=9.12

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026:
Total Assets was ¥1,790.8 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥731.6 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥239.7 Mil.
Retained Earnings was ¥313.6 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 32.693 + -15.166 + -11.82 + 20.117 = ¥25.8 Mil.
Interest Expense was -0.059 + -0.533 + 0 + -0.015 = ¥-0.6 Mil.
Revenue was 161.303 + 95.54 + 74.822 + 116.661 = ¥448.3 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was ¥5,460.0 Mil.
Total Liabilities was ¥397.4 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(731.573 - 239.675)/1790.796
=0.2747

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=313.586/1790.796
=0.1751

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(25.824 - -0.607)/1790.796
=0.0148

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=5459.982/397.401
=13.7392

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=448.326/1790.796
=0.2504

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Shandong Keyuan Pharmaceutical Co has a Altman Z-Score of 9.12 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z-Score →
What does a Altman Z-Score of 9.12 mean?
Shandong Keyuan Pharmaceutical Co (SZSE:301281) has a Altman Z-Score of 9.12 as of Jul. 12, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Shandong Keyuan Pharmaceutical Co and its competitors. This is 24% below median its historical median of 12.06. Over the past decade, Shandong Keyuan Pharmaceutical Co's Altman Z-Score has ranged from 6.59 to 21.73. According to the industry distribution chart, Shandong Keyuan Pharmaceutical Co ranks #152 out of 953 companies in the Drug Manufacturers industry, placing it in the top 15.9%.
Is Shandong Keyuan Pharmaceutical Co's Altman Z-Score too high?
Shandong Keyuan Pharmaceutical Co's current Altman Z-Score of 9.12 is 24% below median its 10-year median of 12.06. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 6.59 to a high of 21.73. The Drug Manufacturers industry median Altman Z-Score is 3.25. Shandong Keyuan Pharmaceutical Co's value of 9.12 is 180.6% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Shandong Keyuan Pharmaceutical Co ranks #152 out of 953 companies in the Drug Manufacturers industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Shandong Keyuan Pharmaceutical Co has a GF Score™ of 67/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Shandong Keyuan Pharmaceutical Co's Altman Z-Score compare to LLY and JNJ?
According to the Drug Manufacturers industry distribution chart, Shandong Keyuan Pharmaceutical Co ranks #152 out of 953 companies for Altman Z-Score. This places Shandong Keyuan Pharmaceutical Co in the top 16% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 3.25. Shandong Keyuan Pharmaceutical Co's value of 9.12 is 180.6% above this benchmark. Historically, Shandong Keyuan Pharmaceutical Co's own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 6.59 to 21.73 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 12.06 vs. the industry median of 3.25, Shandong Keyuan Pharmaceutical Co has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Drug Manufacturers company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Drug Manufacturers companies is 3.25, based on 953 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Shandong Keyuan Pharmaceutical Co's current Altman Z-Score of 9.12 is 180.6% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Shandong Keyuan Pharmaceutical Co and its competitors. For the Drug Manufacturers industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 3.25 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Shandong Keyuan Pharmaceutical Co's current Altman Z-Score is 9.12, which is 24% below median its own 10-year median of 12.06. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Shandong Keyuan Pharmaceutical Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Shandong Keyuan Pharmaceutical Co (SZSE:301281) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ¥30.41, compared to a current price of ¥50.42 — trading 65.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 9.12, which is 24% below median its 10-year median of 12.06 and 180.6% above the Drug Manufacturers industry median of 3.25. Shandong Keyuan Pharmaceutical Co's overall GF Score™ is 67/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Shandong Keyuan Pharmaceutical Co (SZSE:301281), the current Altman Z-Score is 9.12 as of Jul. 12, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Shandong Keyuan Pharmaceutical Co (SZSE:301281) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Shandong Keyuan Pharmaceutical Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of ¥50.42 is trading 65.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of ¥30.41. GuruFocus considers Shandong Keyuan Pharmaceutical Co to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for SZSE:301281:

  • Altman Z-Score: 9.12 (24% below median its 10-year median of 12.06)
  • GF Value™: ¥30.41 vs. price of ¥50.42 (65.8% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 67/100 with 7 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 180.6% above the Drug Manufacturers median (#152 of 953)

No single metric tells the full story. See the SZSE:301281 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Shandong Keyuan Pharmaceutical Co Business Description

Address Keyuan Street, Shandong Shanghe Economic Development Zone, Shandong Province, Jinan, CHN, 251601
Shandong Keyuan Pharmaceutical Co Ltd is engaged in the research and development, production, and sales of chemical raw materials and their preparations.
67GF Score

Get the complete analysis for SZSE:301281

Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

¥50.42
Price
¥30.41
GF Value